Lol · resolved market
LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3992a46769098831890591b1b82a1ecf963e269c2baef084b0d27de822a1f71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shiftersof Shifters, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $296,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $315,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $296,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 330 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Shifters | 27c | 14,543$3,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,616.63 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2518…254fbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 12,321$5,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,568.8 | 533 | 55%293 W · 240 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 10,439$4,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950.6 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Natus Vincere | 1c | 8,888$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.21 | 377 | 5.6%21 W · 356 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Shifters | 27c | 8,884$2,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,461.65 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 8,797$6,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,319.01 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Shifters | 29c | 8,738$2,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,203.67 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf344…13ffbacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 8,462$6,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,178.95 | 281 | 66.5%187 W · 94 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b49…04a8backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 6,875$4,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,928.97 | 399 | 64.4%257 W · 142 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Shifters | 39c | 6,757$2,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,133.55 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 5,841$4,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,203.76 | 360 | 34.4%124 W · 236 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Shifters | 56c | 5,510$3,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,438.91 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Shifters | 43c | 5,135$2,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,921.99 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Shifters | 26c | 5,007$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,685.89 | 308 | 45.1%139 W · 169 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa948…e143backed Natus Vincere | 0c | 4,885$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Shifters | 29c | 4,787$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,398.77 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Shifters | 53c | 3,815$2,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,778.74 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Shifters | 77c | 3,812$2,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.13 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Shifters | 72c | 3,774$2,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.01 | 677 | 60.4%409 W · 268 L | +42.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 3,757$2,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,191.51 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…5d1bbacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 3,687$2,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,567.88 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 41cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Shifters | 35c | 3,301$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,138.42 | 854 | 42.7%365 W · 489 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…d02bbacked Natus Vincere | 16c | 3,249$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.27 | 143 | 27.3%39 W · 104 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0636…c529backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 3,126$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.95 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 3,040$1,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423.62 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bd…f03ebacked Natus Vincere | 6c | 3,016$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.18 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 3,000$2,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,201.54 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Shifters | 29c | 3,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,139.99 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…07a9backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 2,768$1,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.2 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13b4…f4d9backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 2,724$1,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.61 | 260 | 62.7%163 W · 97 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd408…e85cbacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 2,601$1,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,898.73 | 384 | 62%238 W · 146 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Shifters | 30c | 2,488$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.32 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x141f…7711backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 2,450$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.96 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 2,449$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.85 | 537 | 53.6%288 W · 249 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x092b…614ebacked Shifters | 28c | 2,395$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,724.68 | 156 | 44.2%69 W · 87 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29e6…3365backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 2,264$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675.45 | 253 | 68.4%173 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…6163backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 2,148$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.88 | 453 | 66%299 W · 154 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 2,030$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.63 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…ab69backed Shifters | 28c | 2,028$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.7 | 542 | 46.3%251 W · 291 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Natus Vincere | 17c | 2,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71b0…9ef4backed Natus Vincere | 11c | 1,987$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.06 | 252 | 52.4%132 W · 120 L | +19.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd421…7155backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 1,933$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.07 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Shifters | 27c | 1,928$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.46 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Shifters | 45c | 1,853$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.09 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Shifters | 27c | 1,806$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.49 | 536 | 40.3%216 W · 320 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd57b…c48fbacked Natus Vincere | 74c | 1,785$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.19 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 73cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 1,770$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.85 | 1,007 | 48.2%485 W · 522 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Shifters | 42c | 1,754$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.91 | 354 | 31.1%110 W · 244 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…f0f0backed Natus Vincere | 16c | 1,732$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.96 | 298 | 46.6%139 W · 159 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…0169backed Shifters | 27c | 1,730$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.81 | 404 | 35.1%142 W · 262 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Shifters | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Shifters | 52c | 1,419$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.85 | 893 | 47%420 W · 473 L | +44.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 1,364$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.96 | 288 | 27.4%79 W · 209 L | -30.6wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Shifters | 26c | 1,318$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.47 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Shifters | 73c | 1,317$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.21 | 139 | 36%50 W · 89 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…aad4backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 1,300$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.5 | 126 | 61.9%78 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d7…dacfbacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 1,290$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.19 | 289 | 65.1%188 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Shifters | 29c | 1,279$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.7 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53a5…55dfbacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 1,235$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.54 | 433 | 58.2%252 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Shifters | 28c | 1,219$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.61 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed Shifters | 28c | 1,206$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.5 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…60d6backed Natus Vincere | 1c | 1,196$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Shifters | 61c | 1,192$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.49 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Shifters | 28c | 1,075$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.97 | 133 | 33.8%45 W · 88 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…c645backed Shifters | 28c | 1,025$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.1 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Shifters | 63c | 1,020$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.57 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Shifters | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce68…f6b8backed Natus Vincere | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Natus Vincere | 72c | 999.99$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…ab7bbacked Shifters | 51c | 999.98$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.99 | 835 | 60.8%508 W · 327 L | +45.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Natus Vincere | 9c | 999.98$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Natus Vincere | 5c | 992.89$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.58 | 661 | 16.5%109 W · 552 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…5a1dbacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 952.75$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.62 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb08…b630backed Natus Vincere | 4c | 942.61$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked Natus Vincere | 28c | 940.18$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.3 | 243 | 26.7%65 W · 178 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa63b…b8cfbacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 918.44$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.93 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Shifters | 29c | 883.63$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.38 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Shifters | 29c | 868$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.28 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Shifters | 29c | 861.66$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.78 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Shifters | 75c | 830.13$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.17 | 410 | 60.5%248 W · 162 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Shifters | 30c | 812.17$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.52 | 1,003 | 54%542 W · 461 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Natus Vincere | 71c | 788.85$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.08 | 271 | 42.4%115 W · 156 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5393…384dbacked Natus Vincere | 71c | 780.61$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.24 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Shifters | 44c | 761.09$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.51 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 750$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.5 | 511 | 60.3%308 W · 203 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a6…e96bbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 741.3$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.82 | 1,218 | 48.7%593 W · 625 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ce…6c4abacked Shifters | 27c | 735.42$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.86 | 573 | 47.6%273 W · 300 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 688.24$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.53 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9a…c3f4backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 664.83$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.26 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d86…a6f9backed Shifters | 29c | 661.05$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.57 | 274 | 32.5%89 W · 185 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…fcbdbacked Shifters | 28c | 635.59$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.62 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 615.68$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.57 | 668 | 43%287 W · 381 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed Shifters | 28c | 611.28$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.12 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Shifters | 69c | 609.02$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.28 | 205 | 50.2%103 W · 102 L | +15.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…a80dbacked Natus Vincere | 72c | 592.31$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.46 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd22…dc4dbacked Natus Vincere | 14c | 582.84$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 580.14$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.49 | 584 | 20.2%118 W · 466 L | -58.1wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8227…0bccbacked Shifters | 42c | 579.12$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.89 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 578.4$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.36 | 1,183 | 52%615 W · 568 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)Shifters won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonNatus Vincere won
- LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.