TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Madrid Open: Terence Atmane vs Alexander Zverev

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Alexander Zverevof Terence Atmane, Alexander Zverev
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$832,738
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$777,193

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $832,738 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44a1…bd21backed Terence Atmane18c144,285$25,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,894.6223731.6%75 W · 162 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Terence Atmane14c72,575$10,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,122.628,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba81…dc35backed Terence Atmane16c49,040$7,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,984.3322242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Terence Atmane13c34,057$4,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,434.784,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Terence Atmane15c30,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,499.971822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-28.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Terence Atmane9c21,814$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,979.847,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Terence Atmane14c21,331$2,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,975.986,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90b8…5b23backed Terence Atmane18c18,454$3,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,311.25933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x76cc…fbbcbacked Terence Atmane8c16,460$1,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,316.8313427.6%37 W · 97 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadb6…c177backed Terence Atmane1c13,604$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.5742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick25cpaid-11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Terence Atmane16c13,383$2,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,125.2880938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Alexander Zverev80c9,540$7,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,908.0827063.7%172 W · 98 L-0.8wins0.00per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Terence Atmane11c7,682$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8111,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Terence Atmane17c7,343$1,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,247.54,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Terence Atmane7c6,877$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.312,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Terence Atmane1c6,566$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.911,2068%96 W · 1,110 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Terence Atmane5c5,636$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.691,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc0c…218abacked Terence Atmane15c5,583$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.0854138.1%206 W · 335 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Terence Atmane15c5,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7509242.4%39 W · 53 L-8.0wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Terence Atmane4c4,351$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.4111941.2%49 W · 70 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Terence Atmane15c4,042$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.32,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Terence Atmane7c3,757$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.483,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacac…2d37backed Terence Atmane17c3,699$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.849040%36 W · 54 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Terence Atmane16c3,383$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.279737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0140…9510backed Terence Atmane3c3,209$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.182548%12 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Terence Atmane17c3,088$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.055,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Terence Atmane14c2,865$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.18,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Terence Atmane15c2,708$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.1534047.4%161 W · 179 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Terence Atmane15c2,532$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.793135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b2c…2151backed Terence Atmane5c2,334$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.2638911.6%45 W · 344 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa101…001dbacked Terence Atmane18c2,268$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.742969%20 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+62.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x85de…4620backed Terence Atmane4c2,249$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.931729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5123…2f31backed Terence Atmane2c2,232$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4518315.8%29 W · 154 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc105…c1b0backed Terence Atmane15c2,083$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.432313%3 W · 20 L-4.8wins-0.21per pick34cpaid-75.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Terence Atmane14c2,052$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.222,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacf8…e791backed Terence Atmane19c2,003$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.5633037.3%123 W · 207 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd1f…2bd0backed Terence Atmane19c2,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3802425%6 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Terence Atmane15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30058232%186 W · 396 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Terence Atmane15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30058734.6%203 W · 384 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Terence Atmane11c1,997$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.6911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Terence Atmane9c1,859$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.1417933%59 W · 120 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d99…9675backed Terence Atmane6c1,827$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.5515530.3%47 W · 108 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f9d…c744backed Terence Atmane12c1,625$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.9911247.3%53 W · 59 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Terence Atmane5c1,618$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.253,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fae…0d19backed Terence Atmane4c1,595$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7742839.7%170 W · 258 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1be…9662backed Terence Atmane3c1,401$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.892814.3%4 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Terence Atmane15c1,352$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.6595140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Terence Atmane18c1,321$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.772132%231 W · 490 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec8…762abacked Terence Atmane7c1,243$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.686139.3%24 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Terence Atmane16c1,187$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.9223429.9%70 W · 164 L-1.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7402…8020backed Terence Atmane8c1,156$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.497526.7%20 W · 55 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-37.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e76…cb85backed Terence Atmane8c1,146$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45e4…7e20backed Terence Atmane15c1,048$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.1618747.6%89 W · 98 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e1…ecdbbacked Terence Atmane8c1,041$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.1448935.8%175 W · 314 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Terence Atmane18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18031736.9%117 W · 200 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed Terence Atmane14c999.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14060943.3%264 W · 345 L-24.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Terence Atmane19c998.97$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.815436.4%56 W · 98 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3af3…b510backed Terence Atmane10c949.64$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.76333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-42%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Terence Atmane4c942.64$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4824844.8%111 W · 137 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fa5…63afbacked Terence Atmane7c930.71$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.157810.3%8 W · 70 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-48.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Terence Atmane16c930.47$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.752,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4748…9666backed Terence Atmane5c924.57$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1548440.3%195 W · 289 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed Terence Atmane19c862.02$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.7114343.4%62 W · 81 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8e5…00a8backed Terence Atmane17c844$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.4820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x471c…3b43backed Terence Atmane8c797.93$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.217549.7%87 W · 88 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4c5…c8c1backed Terence Atmane14c777$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.7839055.6%217 W · 173 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb126…9848backed Alexander Zverev80c741$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.24100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xacf9…626dbacked Terence Atmane9c709.14$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2427936.2%101 W · 178 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddec…0015backed Terence Atmane16c700$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1125040%20 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Terence Atmane9c694.93$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9856827.3%155 W · 413 L+23.1wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x347a…83e3backed Terence Atmane4c690.09$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4431339.9%125 W · 188 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbe4…e51fbacked Terence Atmane17c682.24$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.98757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4013…4281backed Terence Atmane5c674.06$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3720%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x415c…d51ebacked Terence Atmane10c667.44$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.3414325.9%37 W · 106 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Terence Atmane8c655.81$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4668026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2642…bfc4backed Terence Atmane14c652.18$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.314231%13 W · 29 L+4.8wins+0.12per pick19cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa363…46c8backed Terence Atmane8c646.9$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6322821.1%48 W · 180 L-0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee96…0634backed Terence Atmane14c642.86$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Terence Atmane15c632.67$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.91,42848.2%689 W · 739 L+4.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbef…0c11backed Terence Atmane8c621.42$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2368157.6%392 W · 289 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Terence Atmane15c600$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901,72948.9%845 W · 884 L+53.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a0c…89ccbacked Terence Atmane17c585.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+42.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Terence Atmane4c565.44$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6284736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x796c…49dbbacked Terence Atmane9c565.05$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.988448.8%41 W · 43 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…07d4backed Terence Atmane17c558.94$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.02250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdfb…f1ffbacked Terence Atmane19c534.04$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.47248.3%2 W · 22 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick24cpaid-64.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Terence Atmane4c518.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.211,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Terence Atmane15c513.96$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.6538013.9%53 W · 327 L-38.3wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-55.2%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xf4fa…f25ebacked Terence Atmane4c499.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.617840.4%72 W · 106 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Terence Atmane4c496.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3927836.7%102 W · 176 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffdc…ce87backed Terence Atmane14c490.04$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.42744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-32.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Terence Atmane12c486.61$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4c3…2e3fbacked Terence Atmane17c475.1$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.77336.1%2 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick13cpaid-44.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e4a…f43dbacked Terence Atmane8c473.56$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4113033.8%44 W · 86 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Terence Atmane6c450.18$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5965157.1%372 W · 279 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd752…85d4backed Terence Atmane5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.426833.6%90 W · 178 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc829…cad3backed Terence Atmane16c400$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6411945.4%54 W · 65 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf390…d1bbbacked Terence Atmane7c396.76$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.855433.3%18 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e75…50d7backed Terence Atmane5c373.7$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.866749.3%33 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Terence Atmane14c372.31$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.121,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.