Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Atmane (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00e27feaca272dde8d1e93b78c9071f5cd970e1929dfa6ba53115e5db543b8f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zverevof Zverev, Atmane
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Atmane | 38c | 1,570$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.05 | 416 | 45.4%189 W · 227 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Atmane | 35c | 958.79$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.99 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Zverev | 66c | 743.14$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.37 | 464 | 73.3%340 W · 124 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Atmane | 73c | 509.24$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.84 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Zverev | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Zverev | 55c | 485.34$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.48 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Atmane | 37c | 479.44$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.81 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Zverev | 65c | 410.8$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.97 | 247 | 47.4%117 W · 130 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Atmane | 38c | 369.12$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.21 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Zverev | 62c | 341.81$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.76 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Atmane | 35c | 302.03$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.71 | 211 | 49.8%105 W · 106 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4696…e741backed Atmane | 35c | 298.75$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.56 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Zverev | 66c | 296.85$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.93 | 373 | 51.2%191 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Zverev | 57c | 270.47$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.25 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Atmane | 39c | 248.97$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Atmane | 35c | 238.85$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.58 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Zverev | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Zverev | 59c | 198.99$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.58 | 486 | 37.7%183 W · 303 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8337…9aacbacked Atmane | 49c | 197.02$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e4…4455backed Zverev | 69c | 183.92$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.51 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4775…0bcebacked Zverev | 60c | 178$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Zverev | 65c | 172.41$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.56 | 419 | 55.8%234 W · 185 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e93…79f3backed Zverev | 65c | 168.19$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.87 | 212 | 57.5%122 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Atmane | 46c | 165.54$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.47 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Zverev | 65c | 151.13$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.89 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa23…7afabacked Zverev | 65c | 150.49$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.59 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…395cbacked Zverev | 69c | 142.27$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.6 | 222 | 52.7%117 W · 105 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1225…7874backed Atmane | 44c | 123.91$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.21 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Zverev | 21c | 120$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.8 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19c0…61d9backed Zverev | 66c | 112.03$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Zverev | 21c | 106$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.74 | 246 | 32.9%81 W · 165 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed Atmane | 43c | 103.9$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.02 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Zverev | 62c | 99.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…a1d3backed Zverev | 59c | 98.85$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef4…22e0backed Zverev | 56c | 97.7$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.19 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Zverev | 63c | 88.44$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0806…4adabacked Zverev | 66c | 74.21$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Atmane | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Atmane | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Atmane | 34c | 57.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 535 | 44.1%236 W · 299 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Zverev | 62c | 53.77$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Zverev | 21c | 53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.87 | 290 | 39.3%114 W · 176 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…9cf1backed Atmane | 41c | 48.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…5584backed Zverev | 60c | 48.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 134 | 58.2%78 W · 56 L | +11.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Atmane | 35c | 42.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 313 | 39.9%125 W · 188 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3e…b265backed Zverev | 60c | 40.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Atmane | 35c | 33.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…adbabacked Zverev | 66c | 29.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Atmane | 36c | 28.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x504b…b939backed Atmane | 41c | 28.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1619…ca7bbacked Atmane | 38c | 26.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Atmane (+1.5)this page
- Atmane vs. Zverev: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Atmane vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Atmane vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Madrid Open: Terence Atmane vs Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev won
- Set 1 Winner: Atmane vs ZverevZverev won
- Terence Atmane vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.