Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Atmane vs Zverev
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa046dbaa1e263bce2a22d1dc7e486f0a716f89aa43f0b684f62f8a2e4e016dc9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zverevof Atmane, Zverev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,819
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,088
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,819 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ce3…07b5backed Zverev | 79c | 374.03$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.77 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 58cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Atmane | 21c | 255.74$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.63 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff1…bdbcbacked Zverev | 80c | 245.74$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.15 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -6.3wins | -0.23per pick | 58cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Atmane | 20c | 183.84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…a62ebacked Zverev | 76c | 144.69$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.36 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Atmane | 20c | 143.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Atmane | 35c | 138.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 248 | 44.8%111 W · 137 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Atmane | 20c | 134$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Zverev | 73c | 117.35$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -13.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Zverev | 76c | 88.75$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8544…94d6backed Atmane | 24c | 79.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Zverev | 66c | 48.08$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Atmane | 24c | 48.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x169d…e8dbbacked Zverev | 80c | 24.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Zverev | 65c | 18.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd4…a74cbacked Zverev | 73c | 17.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Atmane vs Zverevthis page
- Atmane vs. Zverev: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Atmane vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Atmane vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Madrid Open: Terence Atmane vs Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev won
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Atmane (+1.5)Zverev won
- Terence Atmane vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.