NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66108acdb9a92f4697dedbd3708d9a06ac1d2c916e7f46724e9ef25334cb81cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,405
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,033
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,405 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Over | 65c | 4,050$2,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 51c | 3,426$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.85 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 49c | 2,592$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.09 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8d…01debacked Over | 52c | 2,227$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.19 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 33c | 2,160$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.99 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 43c | 1,936$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.26 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 1,441$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.98 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Under | 13c | 852.16$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.8 | 188 | 35.1%66 W · 122 L | +24.5wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 49c | 803.85$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.89 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 14c | 753.65$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.59 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Over | 50c | 601$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.5 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 8c | 584.9$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 50c | 582.06$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.03 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 46c | 406.62$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.89 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 51c | 197.93$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.98 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5279…a8dbbacked Over | 56c | 197.24$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.73 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 49c | 196.36$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Under | 47c | 193.61$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Over | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 30c | 176.18$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.18 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 50c | 171.36$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.68 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 51c | 169.04$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.92 | 194 | 34.5%67 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 50c | 158.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 47c | 155$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a8…800dbacked Under | 49c | 153.1$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.02 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under | 50c | 139.68$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.84 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb0…3a13backed Over | 67c | 132.33$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Under | 19c | 113.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 50c | 95.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 43c | 90.92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under | 13c | 88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Under | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 455 | 44.8%204 W · 251 L | +21.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd923…7ba3backed Over | 51c | 76.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Under | 35c | 73.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Over | 50c | 67.9$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 50c | 61.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 49c | 59.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Under | 49c | 59.49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1425…a3b6backed Over | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…0db0backed Under | 49c | 39.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Under | 49c | 38.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 331 | 59.2%196 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Over | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Over | 72c | 37.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 47c | 37.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 51c | 37.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63fc…4a6cbacked Over | 80c | 37.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 49c | 26.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 481 | 46.2%222 W · 259 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5this page
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 13.5Yes won
- Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)Trail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 240.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.