NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 240.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d0304f21941c01292bf8e7c3432340477c907683d8428368b2fb470de27aa99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,061
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,061 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 61c | 2,784$1,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.72 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 52c | 2,541$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.47 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 33c | 1,669$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.18 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 39c | 1,395$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.33 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 722.41$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.42 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 33c | 699.97$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.99 | 604 | 44.2%267 W · 337 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 70c | 698.42$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.33 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 44c | 650.55$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.46 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Under | 57c | 442.66$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.32 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 43c | 399.99$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Under | 31c | 399.5$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.23 | 194 | 34.5%67 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 54c | 383.28$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.64 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 48c | 373.42$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.64 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 69c | 362.31$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 31c | 326.9$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.34 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a8…2dedbacked Over | 73c | 269.11$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.33 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Over | 40c | 253.67$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.45 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 43c | 249.99$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.49 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 49c | 239.98$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.79 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 48c | 229.29$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.58 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Over | 51c | 224.01$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.76 | 188 | 35.1%66 W · 122 L | +24.5wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 57c | 204.03$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.89 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 28c | 203.93$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.81 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 44c | 194.55$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.95 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 37c | 192.85$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 48c | 188.02$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.77 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf793…6265backed Under | 53c | 184.54$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.16 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ece…068abacked Under | 36c | 163.45$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.84 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Under | 19c | 158.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 111 | 28.8%32 W · 79 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 44c | 150.82$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…7c0abacked Under | 45c | 126.94$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 46c | 125.47$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.72 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…0058backed Under | 40c | 120.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…d7babacked Over | 58c | 120$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…7f2ebacked Over | 77c | 106.86$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 191 | 66.5%127 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e4…d947backed Under | 47c | 106.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c5…fb87backed Under | 60c | 99.23$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…df72backed Under | 25c | 96.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 105 | 23.8%25 W · 80 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 37c | 92.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 37c | 92.41$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 37c | 90.41$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over | 55c | 81$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.81 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Over | 54c | 79.62$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.32 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 52c | 78.77$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 43c | 78.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 44c | 75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 68c | 61.65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 54c | 60.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 47c | 59.95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Over | 58c | 59.52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 455 | 44.8%204 W · 251 L | +21.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…10d9backed Under | 53c | 58.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Over | 46c | 58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.13 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Under | 61c | 57.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.17 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 53c | 53.05$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 46c | 53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Over | 68c | 51.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 156 | 62.8%98 W · 58 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x989b…245ebacked Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6664…e24dbacked Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc015…7bf1backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x151d…3e41backed Under | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa684…5d09backed Under | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x756e…2f96backed Under | 37c | 39.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 44c | 38.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…4648backed Under | 56c | 38.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 45c | 38.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad8e…20fabacked Over | 65c | 38.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec3…2c88backed Under | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 37c | 34.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7987…884abacked Over | 71c | 34.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 258 | 50%129 W · 129 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 46c | 34.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391c…ea3fbacked Under | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…46e4backed Over | 53c | 32.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aeb…42d4backed Over | 79c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf9…dde4backed Over | 60c | 31.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Over | 48c | 30.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a61…4db6backed Under | 49c | 30.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Over | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 249 | 36.9%92 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Over | 46c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbf…3ef8backed Over | 45c | 29.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3170…b59abacked Over | 40c | 28.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +147.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 56c | 28.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 47c | 28.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 47c | 27.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 67c | 26.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fcb…3ba4backed Over | 46c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…0303backed Over | 67c | 24.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…1753backed Under | 57c | 24.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Over | 52c | 24.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 54c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 57c | 23.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Under | 57c | 23.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1968…8c66backed Under | 57c | 23.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Under | 57c | 23.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 57c | 23.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 57c | 23.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 57c | 23.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 57c | 23.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4abb…d858backed Over | 78c | 22.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 76cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Under | 57c | 21.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 240.5this page
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 13.5Yes won
- Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)Trail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.