NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00bb4fa01cba69206a0c2590d847cac6066ca211fe6a5098f1b9791bde4c6e15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $221,738
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $224,512
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,738 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 304 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 52c | 37,525$19,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,442.59 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 53c | 19,264$10,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,142.82 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 15,678$7,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,207.13 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…6312backed Under | 48c | 12,793$6,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,201.12 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Over | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Over | 50c | 9,978$4,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,988.78 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…e043backed Under | 52c | 8,780$4,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,565.43 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7829…cfd3backed Under | 51c | 5,729$2,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,922.04 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Under | 50c | 5,644$2,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,822.02 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe49d…ff91backed Under | 49c | 4,867$2,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,384.98 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x162b…3d49backed Under | 51c | 4,636$2,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,364.26 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 50c | 4,444$2,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,206.12 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6969…d1b9backed Over | 50c | 4,174$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,094.17 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.40per pick | 47cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea2…9ad4backed Over | 52c | 4,109$2,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,972.28 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Over | 41c | 3,794$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,238.7 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d39…c732backed Over | 47c | 3,719$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,970.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 58c | 3,536$2,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.08 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 47c | 3,355$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.43 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Over | 47c | 3,218$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705.7 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Over | 50c | 3,032$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.84 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe458…7abebacked Over | 50c | 2,498$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Over | 43c | 2,300$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2148…ae1dbacked Under | 50c | 2,250$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Under | 50c | 2,198$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.01 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Over | 47c | 2,127$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.52 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Under | 16c | 2,054$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.52 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa56d…82e7backed Over | 48c | 2,012$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.64 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6447…8075backed Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 1,608$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.42 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 59c | 1,583$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.55 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked Over | 62c | 1,576$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.93 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…0584backed Under | 50c | 1,552$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fea1backed Under | 50c | 1,527$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.51 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 1,482$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.14 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…b624backed Over | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +120.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Under | 35c | 1,377$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.47 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 66c | 1,190$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.6 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 43c | 1,147$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.03 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked Over | 44c | 1,121$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.77 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 38c | 1,080$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.81 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccc1…889dbacked Under | 50c | 1,065$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.75 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Over | 47c | 1,030$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.9 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a0…f673backed Over | 48c | 1,027$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x964d…2acdbacked Over | 76c | 1,004$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…5a67backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfca2…9488backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06cd…2a26backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b0…f655backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…b413backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…fa20backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda71…799dbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Over | 52c | 999.31$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.67 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Under | 48c | 994.96$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.58 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb18d…3464backed Under | 5c | 991.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.14 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 47c | 982.48$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.77 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Under | 55c | 906.43$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.54 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 52c | 861.95$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed Over | 50c | 822.08$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.04 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 50c | 815.96$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.35 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Under | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.84 | 194 | 34.5%67 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5e…5778backed Under | 5c | 791.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a6…5daabacked Under | 48c | 726.93$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…3c93backed Under | 48c | 726.92$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 50c | 725.08$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.54 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7e…8a0fbacked Under | 49c | 713.48$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.6 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Over | 47c | 708.72$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.62 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 71c | 693.41$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.68 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Over | 47c | 685.49$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.31 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…0270backed Over | 74c | 615.57$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.04 | 277 | 45.8%127 W · 150 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 48c | 615.19$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.9 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Over | 49c | 556.6$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.14 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff2…2e8abacked Under | 57c | 555.15$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.43 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Over | 42c | 549.86$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.87 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…3afdbacked Over | 42c | 520.68$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.41 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 46c | 510.66$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.71 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36a…25abbacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 499.18$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.57 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 21c | 465.9$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.21 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 48c | 438.73$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.19 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Over | 41c | 434.07$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.1 | 154 | 46.1%71 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Over | 46c | 424.95$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.47 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426f…e76bbacked Over | 46c | 423.85$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.88 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd5…b74abacked Under | 50c | 417.1$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.55 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Over | 47c | 412$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.36 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Over | 47c | 412$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.36 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Over | 45c | 408.29$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.56 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ff…f0c4backed Under | 31c | 399.98$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.99 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e5…b4bdbacked Over | 51c | 391.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Over | 48c | 387.52$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.51 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7e…eab2backed Under | 8c | 360.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 357.08$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.68 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01f…8404backed Under | 51c | 352.2$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.62 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Over | 48c | 343.92$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.84 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 53c | 327.64$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.25 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Over | 47c | 323.38$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.39 | 114 | 53.5%61 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 46c | 300$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5this page
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 13.5Yes won
- Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)Trail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 240.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.