NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcde3a7591623c042eaf0a2248b16ede248242ad7b30c3e37ed66bddbcc8ce51e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Nuggets, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $217,950
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $213,191
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $217,950 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 47,096$24,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,685.43 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 46c | 31,548$14,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,548.34 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Nuggets | 44c | 22,009$9,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,751.86 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 21,198$11,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,465.54 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Nuggets | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 19,667$10,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,850.37 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Nuggets | 40c | 15,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Trail Blazers | 60c | 14,475$8,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,792.28 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa56d…82e7backed Nuggets | 48c | 10,006$4,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,802.94 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Nuggets | 47c | 6,200$2,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,913.82 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets | 45c | 5,500$2,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,477.26 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x144e…eca0backed Nuggets | 47c | 5,315$2,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498.05 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Nuggets | 46c | 5,179$2,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400.79 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Trail Blazers | 57c | 4,415$2,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900.85 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 3,823$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,834.89 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 3,715$2,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,676.72 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…4cc6backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 3,228$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.08 | 144 | 55.6%80 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 3,157$1,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.99 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Nuggets | 44c | 3,126$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.96 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked Nuggets | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 2,809$1,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.4 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Trail Blazers | 56c | 2,434$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.96 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 2,254$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.87 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Nuggets | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Nuggets | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Nuggets | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7c…51b6backed Nuggets | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.99 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets | 28c | 1,904$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.96 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Nuggets | 46c | 1,900$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.39 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 1,891$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.72 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…0d11backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 1,836$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.98 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Nuggets | 30c | 1,834$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.11 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nuggets | 44c | 1,531$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.21 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 1,443$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.55 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Nuggets | 46c | 1,427$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.54 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Nuggets | 47c | 1,181$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.07 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Trail Blazers | 78c | 1,156$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.78 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 1,142$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.41 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Nuggets | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…1b06backed Nuggets | 45c | 1,074$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Nuggets | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets | 48c | 1,014$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.88 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…3296backed Nuggets | 48c | 1,010$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.7 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…2561backed Nuggets | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…5a67backed Nuggets | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…6adbbacked Nuggets | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…9e4bbacked Nuggets | 49c | 999.96$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.98 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Nuggets | 47c | 957.42$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Nuggets | 45c | 900$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Nuggets | 42c | 859.02$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.93 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb097…0e61backed Nuggets | 45c | 792.66$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.7 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Trail Blazers | 56c | 787.7$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.59 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Nuggets | 47c | 750.97$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.57 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Nuggets | 44c | 700$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 686.98$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.88 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nuggets | 43c | 647.07$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.67 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Nuggets | 46c | 642.96$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.59 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 571.31$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.46 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 550.08$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.54 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 540.22$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.5 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Trail Blazers | 55c | 534.01$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.17 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Nuggets | 41c | 520.96$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.47 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e1…a9cfbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 515.48$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Nuggets | 45c | 512.41$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.59 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Nuggets | 47c | 499.96$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.02 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Trail Blazers | 61c | 476.35$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.9 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Nuggets | 46c | 425.7$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.07 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Trail Blazers | 57c | 423.79$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.17 | 192 | 58.3%112 W · 80 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Nuggets | 48c | 403.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.76 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 360.15$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.67 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Nuggets | 43c | 356.31$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.7 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 341.88$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.65 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Nuggets | 47c | 325.97$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.87 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ba…0bc3backed Nuggets | 45c | 322.33$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.05 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Nuggets | 46c | 320.04$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.22 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Nuggets | 46c | 315.52$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.14 | 395 | 52.2%206 W · 189 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Trail Blazers | 55c | 306.93$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.28 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Nuggets | 43c | 300.26$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4740…fa66backed Nuggets | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 304 | 44.7%136 W · 168 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Nuggets | 42c | 277.24$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.44 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 266.44$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.56 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Nuggets | 47c | 250.15$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.69 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Nuggets | 46c | 247.02$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.92 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 245.66$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.25 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Nuggets | 49c | 222$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.78 | 177 | 40.1%71 W · 106 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Nuggets | 44c | 220.76$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.39 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Nuggets | 9c | 214.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68f2…ffd2backed Nuggets | 50c | 211.46$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Nuggets | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Nuggets | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…020dbacked Nuggets | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Nuggets | 45c | 201.52$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.39 | 202 | 40.1%81 W · 121 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cee…dfadbacked Nuggets | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Nuggets | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Nuggets | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb225…f7e2backed Nuggets | 48c | 191.4$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.87 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc97b…27e5backed Nuggets | 48c | 179.57$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Nuggets | 44c | 176.01$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Nuggets | 45c | 171.91$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.36 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Nuggets | 45c | 171.28$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.1 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)this page
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 13.5Yes won
- Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)Trail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 240.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.