TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Melbourne City FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$86,869
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,275

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,869 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1e77…8c33backed Under39c56,267$22,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,213.212259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over61c17,345$10,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,745.5443748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over60c5,207$3,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,090.2298844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea28…383ebacked Over61c2,610$1,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfabc…2134backed Over50c1,822$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.0514060.7%85 W · 55 L+19.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over60c1,717$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.865257.7%30 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over60c1,713$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.465246.2%24 W · 28 L-6.1wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over60c1,713$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.462748.1%13 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over60c1,713$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.464553.3%24 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over60c1,711$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.491643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over60c1,694$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.022352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Over47c1,550$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.492100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over49c1,308$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.416946.4%32 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over60c1,250$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5005154.9%28 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over61c1,205$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.955558.2%32 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under53c864.83$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.8213049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over60c849.6$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.75540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-36.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over60c833.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.333850%19 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over60c833.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.335754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb188…1b06backed Over60c833.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+63.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over60c833.32$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.335255.8%29 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d0…8814backed Over60c765.45$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.182161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over61c737.7$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.74355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under45c735.77$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3308048.8%39 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under50c715$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.454843.8%21 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Over60c689.04$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.042650%13 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed Over60c676.8$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.63650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over60c666.65$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.662445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0cfc…7f6bbacked Under4c658.27$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Over60c583.33$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.341850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Under39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008139.5%32 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Over60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Over61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1951764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+27.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Over61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1952070%14 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+34.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Over61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1951770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over60c466.25$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.54355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under60c464.31$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.9728659.4%170 W · 116 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over61c450$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.52157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5104…a114backed Under45c441.13$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2116…eb8fbacked Under8c404.02$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3630%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over39c399.99$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2454551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under24c378.76$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.7523551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd06f…0263backed Over53c352.08$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.011060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over79c340.33$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.1110757.9%62 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Over60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.33560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under74c329.75$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.572441.7%10 W · 14 L-4.5wins-0.19per pick60cpaid-41.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa3e9…2732backed Over63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.46366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.461540%6 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under15c307.57$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.16823.5%16 W · 52 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under40c306.91$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.6914951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over61c300$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11711057.3%63 W · 47 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Over61c300$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1171776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.22per pick54cpaid+42.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over61c300$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1171675%12 W · 4 L+3.6wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+45.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Over60c299.08$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.633357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over60c299.08$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.636549.2%32 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over60c299.08$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.633756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Over60c299.08$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.632653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over60c299.08$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.632657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde19…e90dbacked Under41c293$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.13366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over72c285.03$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.925352.8%28 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over60c281.29$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.534148.8%20 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3622…083dbacked Over50c275.34$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.651040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Under45c261.99$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.871060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over38c261.79$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.528353%44 W · 39 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2256…e997backed Over53c253.58$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.58650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004854.2%26 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Over61c250$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.52065%13 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over61c250$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.51872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.9wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+42.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over38c247.29$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.328853.4%47 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over59c245.76$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.766958%40 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over58c244.99$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.1210837%40 W · 68 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Under41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002650%13 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Over60c232.42$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.97580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+25.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Under62c225.44$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.781844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x80aa…e8eabacked Under8c220.36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6730%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Over57c214.87$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.243234.4%11 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Over61c211.53$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.562740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcca9…af95backed Under7c209.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1930%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Under49c206.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008327.7%23 W · 60 L-10.2wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-38.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over61c201.89$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7411752.1%61 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa68e…94b3backed Over60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Under38c199.99$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766841.2%28 W · 40 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over60c199.98$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.993262.5%20 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over62c198.58$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4619849%97 W · 101 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe02…1204backed Under38c194.78$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89dc…8f42backed Over57c174.46$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.461861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.671758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bea…038ebacked Under9c163.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5450%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4dd…d678backed Over62c162$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Over61c150$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.51668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over52c150$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723278.1%25 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick72cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over60c141.99$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.4232453.1%172 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72ee…a848backed Over57c141.6$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.441758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7797…668bbacked Over60c141$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Over60c132.42$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.97540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-35.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x231f…254bbacked Over60c132.42$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.97955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over66c130.22$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.27944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-38.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Under39c125$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.752416.7%4 W · 20 L-6.3wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-66.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x15bb…2033backed Over60c124.84$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.887100%7 W · 0 L+2.9wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+85.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x25e3…b729backed Over40c123.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.764100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+129.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.