TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Spread: Melbourne City FC (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Central Coast Mariners FCof Melbourne City FC, Central Coast Mariners FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,203
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,247

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,203 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x609a…4966backed Central Coast Mariners FC74c427.35$316 inWon+$111.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc55…afe5backed Melbourne City FC26c427.35$111 inLost-$111.1120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7985…f134backed Central Coast Mariners FC74c412.03$305 inWon+$107.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34ae…58cebacked Melbourne City FC26c412.03$107 inLost-$107.1320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Melbourne City FC27c179.38$49 inLost-$48.6724732.4%80 W · 167 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Melbourne City FC26c77.69$20 inLost-$206746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…20bfbacked Central Coast Mariners FC66c75.76$50 inWon+$25.761752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1c9…748cbacked Central Coast Mariners FC72c55.49$40 inWon+$15.492100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Central Coast Mariners FC74c47.72$35 inWon+$12.4134937.8%132 W · 217 L-13.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Melbourne City FC34c31.76$11 inLost-$10.819849%97 W · 101 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa2…9c82backed Central Coast Mariners FC78c25.64$20 inWon+$5.64250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x216b…8528backed Central Coast Mariners FC80c25$20 inWon+$52369.6%16 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Central Coast Mariners FC75c20$15 inWon+$57536%27 W · 48 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.