TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Melbourne City FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,253
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,672

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,253 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes57c19,665$11,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,482.52737%10 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+25.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No43c10,533$4,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,546.2443748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8b0…7b16backed Yes32c3,100$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,107.981050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+33.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Yes55c3,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.941957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked No51c2,963$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003647.2%17 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4815…8ba4backed Yes58c2,735$1,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.79333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-42.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No43c2,321$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.4211055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No56c2,259$1,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,257.8998844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No43c1,599$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.6633444%147 W · 187 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No53c822.8$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.4230536.1%110 W · 195 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No43c813.95$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3504355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2139…7fe2backed Yes56c653$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.322100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa68e…94b3backed No44c553$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Yes56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.711540%6 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed No62c472.46$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.044148.8%20 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed No44c418.84$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.25560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No69c332.43$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.9330954.7%169 W · 140 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked No58c319.47$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.363850%19 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06e1…8b57backed No48c299.96$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed No50c256$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Yes56c254.28$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.764854.2%26 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca38…720fbacked No47c243.82$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.92922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick46cpaid-64.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed No68c235.29$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Yes42c229.98$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.641275%9 W · 3 L+4.1wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+117.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes53c224.2$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.643234.4%11 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3248…8ba9backed No52c200.31$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1052166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002650%13 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf68…ed10backed No68c180.48$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.73771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No42c180$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.610448.1%50 W · 54 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No46c179.67$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.1534937.8%132 W · 217 L-13.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No46c179.2$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1310837%40 W · 68 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Yes56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.576746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No43c176.68$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5111057.3%63 W · 47 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No43c175.01$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.253748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked No49c159.86$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.512846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No49c156.47$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5724732.4%80 W · 167 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No43c153.44$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.0732453.1%172 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0168…0905backed Yes31c140.19$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.731752.9%9 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick34cpaid+52.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5583…1fbbbacked No45c136.13$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No44c124.45$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7611940.3%48 W · 71 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No44c124.43$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7513243.2%57 W · 75 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c49…792fbacked No12c123.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked No43c114.13$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.481850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Yes47c109.63$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.634546.7%21 W · 24 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+39.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524557.8%26 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked No45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452416.7%4 W · 20 L-6.3wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-66.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed No43c98.65$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.773154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe97b…5ecdbacked Yes56c96.16$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.31850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+19.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45b5…2d74backed Yes53c93.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-37.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8165…97b8backed No49c90.72$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.082161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+35.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5409…b663backed No45c88.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x68d1…f166backed Yes37c80.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+56.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08d1…28adbacked Yes56c80.27$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.32450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed No68c74.79$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.86540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-36.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x811c…fd36backed Yes56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.431963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed No44c67.41$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.66475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45dd…7b56backed No46c66.93$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.791030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-36.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4042…d76fbacked Yes56c62.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.51637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3622…083dbacked Yes33c61.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.451040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7770…f99bbacked Yes56c61.29$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.97475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…572dbacked Yes56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.572751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes27c50.27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+35.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbec3…22b6backed Yes30c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354645.7%21 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+34.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed No63c48.21$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.293345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes45c46.64$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.652147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked No68c45.19$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.736050%30 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Yes44c44.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.981735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb17…32b2backed No45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-31.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes55c39.89$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8411752.1%61 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea77…686ebacked Yes51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.22250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x38a5…37a5backed Yes51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.22450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8de1…b933backed No46c38.79$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes52c38.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.313050%15 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d7e…1532backed Yes56c37.75$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.612100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+66.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67f4…0cb2backed Yes54c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Yes56c35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.411457.9%66 W · 48 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes53c33.85$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.914553.3%24 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Yes56c32.4$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.351844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa270…02b0backed No46c31.82$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes49c29.96$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.224252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.411346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b55…7f2cbacked Yes56c26.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Yes52c26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.483161.3%19 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed No49c24.32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.922755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecd2…38d1backed Yes56c23.7$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.43580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+24.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No69c23.48$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2719849%97 W · 101 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4143…fe78backed Yes51c22.4$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7413…f879backed No45c22.38$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Yes67c22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.268853.4%47 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf515…c725backed Yes51c21.71$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf903…ef54backed Yes51c21.37$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbe…4d88backed Yes55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+110%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe777…c734backed Yes52c19.35$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.291546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No65c18.48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.075352.8%28 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.