Australian A League · resolved market
Spread: Central Coast Mariners FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a5d36ab63b9ddbc74ef706f1aaa0f7ebf443ea19fbc2e3e0892cbe9a4764c99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Melbourne City FCof Central Coast Mariners FC, Melbourne City FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Central Coast Mariners FC | 2c | 2,728$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.84 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Central Coast Mariners FC | 3c | 1,460$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Central Coast Mariners FC | 3c | 1,200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd8…14cfbacked Central Coast Mariners FC | 4c | 626$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa663…b740backed Central Coast Mariners FC | 4c | 586$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5185…932fbacked Central Coast Mariners FC | 3c | 530$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Central Coast Mariners FC | 3c | 503.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…3b97backed Central Coast Mariners FC | 3c | 480$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9232…d5c6backed Central Coast Mariners FC | 4c | 467$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a17…969bbacked Central Coast Mariners FC | 4c | 456$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…331abacked Central Coast Mariners FC | 3c | 424$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab1…372cbacked Central Coast Mariners FC | 4c | 410$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf76a…bec1backed Central Coast Mariners FC | 4c | 410$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfac6…8e15backed Central Coast Mariners FC | 4c | 405$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f8…71a8backed Central Coast Mariners FC | 4c | 400$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x645b…edcfbacked Central Coast Mariners FC | 4c | 380$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Central Coast Mariners FC (-1.5)this page
- Melbourne City FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Melbourne City FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Melbourne City FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Melbourne City FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Melbourne City FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Central Coast Mariners FC (-2.5)Melbourne City FC won
- Spread: Melbourne City FC (-1.5)Central Coast Mariners FC won
- Spread: Melbourne City FC (-2.5)Central Coast Mariners FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.