TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Melbourne City FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,255
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,591

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,255 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1e77…8c33backed Under61c33,230$20,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,957.342259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Over40c10,031$4,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,012.52475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+51.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over37c6,232$2,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,330.5998844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6204…0b06backed Over36c3,233$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.4540%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4907…f72abacked Over40c2,312$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over34c2,230$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.3613049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Over47c1,731$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.492650%13 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over38c1,418$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.545558.2%32 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over37c1,196$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.77922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-43.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over38c1,139$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.993850%19 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over38c1,053$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4008129.6%24 W · 57 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over36c833.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005925.4%15 W · 44 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over38c799.85$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.084148.8%20 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over38c789.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004818.8%9 W · 39 L-7.3wins-0.15per pick34cpaid-43.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xeb1f…6a93backed Over40c760$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-42.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under66c754.92$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.921258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under66c753.43$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.434753.2%25 W · 22 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over43c706.58$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.7347850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over29c648.41$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.1424732.4%80 W · 167 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under68c596$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.284843.8%21 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca38…720fbacked Under56c573.85$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.84922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick46cpaid-64.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under64c563.52$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.528048.8%39 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Over38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007435.1%26 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over25c503.04$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1253616.7%6 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed62…6f83backed Over41c502.8$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over39c466.27$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.888353%44 W · 39 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over40c447.6$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.48853.4%47 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over34c417.98$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.117254.2%39 W · 33 L+9.2wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+17.6%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Over38c408.64$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.281850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d1c…f13cbacked Under69c400$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick70cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd121…b0a5backed Under62c394.85$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.85560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over34c393.99$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.2911940.3%48 W · 71 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over35c374.99$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.2513243.2%57 W · 75 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over33c374.44$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.3710837%40 W · 68 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over36c327.6$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.432453.1%172 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over34c312.32$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.438625.6%22 W · 64 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under57c300$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1302548%12 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Over38c294.94$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.693234.4%11 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed Under65c294$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.95853.4%31 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Over35c294$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.94944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over38c291.58$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.8540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-36.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed26…6282backed Under80c282.92$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.74785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick74cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over36c261.93$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9130536.1%110 W · 195 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Under54c251.34$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.34785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.41per pick44cpaid+125.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Over25c220$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.162236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Over38c208.86$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.37560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fdc…47a4backed Under73c203.76$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.49250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over38c198.1$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.285352.8%28 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over38c164$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9411752.1%61 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade1…0493backed Under53c162.99$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.61250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Over42c160.96$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.61435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-40.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked Under63c158.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.721764.7%11 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick71cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Over27c156.51$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.262669.2%18 W · 8 L+4.2wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+33.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over38c154.5$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.712352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under54c150$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.513540.7%55 W · 80 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over40c142.5$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Over38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd69d…fe68backed Over8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2530%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Over38c114.39$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.472846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over20c108.91$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.773345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under80c103.52$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0214951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under68c101.58$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5934937.8%132 W · 217 L-13.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x48db…b26ebacked Under75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over20c99.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207739%30 W · 47 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7797…668bbacked Over35c98$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfde8…c52fbacked Over38c78.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4042…d76fbacked Over41c73.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa1c…0144backed Under52c71.15$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Over38c69.46$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.393154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under71c65$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.035846.6%27 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe117…b02ebacked Under80c62.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.64250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-37.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…572dbacked Over40c62.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over46c62.25$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.571631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.22per pick53cpaid-44.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under59c61$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0123551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3157…5903backed Under53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1703…1ab4backed Under63c53.97$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.971770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under67c53.62$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5928659.4%170 W · 116 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over25c53.53$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3819849%97 W · 101 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Over38c53.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.283050%15 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204337.2%16 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Over26c46.41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.231118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over39c45.24$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6411057.3%63 W · 47 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over36c43.74$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5610757.9%62 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154540%18 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x65af…df77backed Under77c38.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.961662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+47%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Over37c35.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.366162.3%38 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Over38c33.92$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.892740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c02…502bbacked Over37c33.72$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3a7…aefcbacked Over40c32.35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.94540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-36.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x129b…190abacked Under64c31.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.331450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Under56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.24252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Over40c29.95$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.982147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x93fa…551bbacked Over36c28.06$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5c4…7982backed Under65c26.66$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee8…7406backed Under56c25.36$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc468…7180backed Under65c18.46$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.