NHL · resolved market
Islanders vs. Sabres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bba5382764c65c406e92994d2d56cada283819896f7ae395adaebeda24d7f24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Islanders, Sabres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $437,531
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $455,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $437,531 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Islanders | 42c | 50,000$21,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,000 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Sabres | 61c | 45,294$27,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,664.7 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Sabres | 62c | 45,230$28,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,217.53 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Islanders | 39c | 38,237$14,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,925.48 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe74a…40eebacked Sabres | 62c | 35,000$21,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,300 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +99.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Islanders | 37c | 25,136$9,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,373.97 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Islanders | 38c | 22,146$8,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,425.67 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…a00abacked Sabres | 62c | 20,000$12,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,600 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Islanders | 38c | 15,632$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Sabres | 58c | 12,045$6,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,058.71 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Sabres | 59c | 11,432$6,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,675.49 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Islanders | 38c | 10,029$3,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,811.11 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Sabres | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,799.97 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Sabres | 62c | 8,000$4,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,040 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Islanders | 14c | 7,739$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.08 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Islanders | 38c | 7,600$2,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,906.97 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Islanders | 38c | 7,454$2,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,832.46 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Sabres | 60c | 6,984$4,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,793.77 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Islanders | 25c | 6,597$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Islanders | 24c | 5,287$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.78 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Islanders | 38c | 5,200$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Islanders | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Sabres | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.99 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Sabres | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.93 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Sabres | 73c | 4,855$3,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.53 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Islanders | 38c | 4,708$1,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,789.04 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Islanders | 39c | 4,632$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Sabres | 62c | 4,500$2,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Islanders | 39c | 4,020$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sabres | 71c | 3,944$2,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.29 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Islanders | 44c | 3,913$1,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730.83 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…767cbacked Sabres | 56c | 3,787$2,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Islanders | 39c | 3,673$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.93 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Islanders | 38c | 3,309$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.42 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Sabres | 76c | 3,255$2,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.99 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Sabres | 62c | 3,169$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.05 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Islanders | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.29per pick | 44cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Islanders | 41c | 2,605$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.62 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Islanders | 1c | 2,555$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Islanders | 42c | 2,509$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.09 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Islanders | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Sabres | 58c | 2,400$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Sabres | 60c | 2,399$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Islanders | 3c | 2,300$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Islanders | 31c | 2,239$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.87 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Sabres | 63c | 2,110$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.25 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Sabres | 62c | 2,100$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6acc…e6eebacked Sabres | 50c | 2,000$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.25 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Islanders | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Islanders | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Islanders | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Islanders | 38c | 1,868$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Sabres | 75c | 1,818$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.97 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…3527backed Islanders | 39c | 1,795$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccb8…33cdbacked Islanders | 35c | 1,729$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Islanders | 38c | 1,530$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.8 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Sabres | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.97 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Sabres | 79c | 1,444$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.75 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Sabres | 61c | 1,310$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.59 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Islanders | 4c | 1,300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Islanders | 25c | 1,284$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.81 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Islanders | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Sabres | 61c | 1,250$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.47 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Sabres | 60c | 1,209$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.72 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f74…558dbacked Sabres | 62c | 1,181$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.65 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Islanders | 21c | 1,177$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.22 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…c066backed Islanders | 35c | 1,080$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Sabres | 51c | 1,073$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.55 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Islanders | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Islanders | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Islanders | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb4…7ec0backed Islanders | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Islanders | 50c | 950$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Islanders | 19c | 940.88$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.18 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2822…741dbacked Islanders | 43c | 930$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.9 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6e…255abacked Sabres | 70c | 855.65$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.28 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sabres | 74c | 805.01$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.64 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…9881backed Islanders | 39c | 800$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 306 | 57.8%177 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Islanders | 42c | 781.98$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.43 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb74b…d765backed Islanders | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Sabres | 59c | 765$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.41 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Sabres | 54c | 752.53$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.01 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Islanders | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67e3…e5b3backed Islanders | 28c | 725.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Islanders | 14c | 710.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Sabres | 59c | 705$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.37 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Islanders | 41c | 700$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Islanders | 24c | 638.16$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.78 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Sabres | 58c | 601.38$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.58 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…8db6backed Islanders | 7c | 600$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8331…62e7backed Sabres | 61c | 600$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Islanders | 28c | 587.37$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.68 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Sabres | 62c | 584.02$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.45 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Islanders | 36c | 557.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Sabres | 61c | 538.9$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.85 | 352 | 45.2%159 W · 193 L | -19.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Islanders | 29c | 536.58$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.06 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d08…0e4fbacked Islanders | 32c | 517.68$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.36 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked Sabres | 61c | 511$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.69 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6af9…52b6backed Islanders | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Islanders | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 209 | 51.7%108 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.