Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: OG vs Team Spirit (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90c2097fbc998557e513738ce3afad79c5bcf395a811c9172df712e9d60f38d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OGof OG, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $227,324
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $240,413
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $227,324 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 276 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed OG | 31c | 20,423$6,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,014.96 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked OG | 55c | 19,197$10,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,615.85 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Team Spirit | 46c | 12,175$5,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,576 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x303b…53cabacked Team Spirit | 1c | 12,086$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.7 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Spirit | 31c | 11,418$3,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,549.51 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Team Spirit | 43c | 10,885$4,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,715.23 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed OG | 35c | 5,999$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,899.1 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e42…3559backed Team Spirit | 67c | 5,881$3,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,966.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Team Spirit | 66c | 5,484$3,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,635.25 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…e310backed OG | 58c | 5,031$2,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,113.01 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ac…86d0backed OG | 54c | 5,000$2,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,306.87 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked OG | 55c | 4,700$2,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked OG | 31c | 4,515$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,115.51 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Team Spirit | 68c | 3,988$2,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,729.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…abccbacked Team Spirit | 54c | 3,674$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Spirit | 70c | 3,571$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed OG | 61c | 3,535$2,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.03 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed OG | 37c | 3,489$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,182.78 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Team Spirit | 65c | 3,403$2,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,212 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked OG | 37c | 3,211$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010.96 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed OG | 57c | 2,593$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.35 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9c…bcfcbacked Team Spirit | 48c | 2,536$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Team Spirit | 35c | 2,512$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.42 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Team Spirit | 68c | 2,500$1,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.49 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Team Spirit | 67c | 2,399$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.49 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…40e3backed OG | 56c | 2,357$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.04 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Team Spirit | 15c | 2,294$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…c38cbacked Team Spirit | 37c | 2,219$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Team Spirit | 63c | 2,130$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.2 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed OG | 37c | 2,127$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.75 | 168 | 35.7%60 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Spirit | 41c | 1,897$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.83 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Team Spirit | 67c | 1,857$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.5 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Team Spirit | 61c | 1,830$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.39 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfce…b388backed Team Spirit | 65c | 1,812$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Team Spirit | 68c | 1,734$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.59 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked OG | 33c | 1,600$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…f8fbbacked OG | 31c | 1,505$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.39 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked Team Spirit | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Team Spirit | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked OG | 59c | 1,364$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.36 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed OG | 37c | 1,330$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.35 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe35e…7754backed Team Spirit | 44c | 1,308$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.69 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked OG | 32c | 1,307$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.41 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed OG | 51c | 1,300$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked OG | 56c | 1,272$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.66 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked OG | 44c | 1,200$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Team Spirit | 68c | 1,200$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.69 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed OG | 29c | 1,086$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.12 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked OG | 40c | 1,044$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.6 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Team Spirit | 47c | 1,025$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.75 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Team Spirit | 5c | 1,000$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 206 | 42.2%87 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec61…4a2ebacked Team Spirit | 69c | 999.99$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked OG | 32c | 989.82$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.97 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed OG | 66c | 973.3$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.28 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked OG | 79c | 901.36$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.95 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea61…cc32backed OG | 55c | 753.55$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.5 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Team Spirit | 69c | 720.02$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.87 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…1691backed Team Spirit | 15c | 714.69$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.82 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…1d61backed Team Spirit | 70c | 709.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd2…a1fdbacked Team Spirit | 44c | 681.77$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.98 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Team Spirit | 6c | 628.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda2f…9716backed Team Spirit | 49c | 614.37$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -58%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…a603backed Team Spirit | 48c | 609.87$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.43 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed OG | 33c | 600.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.88 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c61…470fbacked Team Spirit | 45c | 557.21$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.36 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Team Spirit | 51c | 556$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.63 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Team Spirit | 69c | 538.25$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.39 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed OG | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…940abacked Team Spirit | 69c | 499.99$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.99 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb61…8e04backed OG | 59c | 482.15$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.18 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked Team Spirit | 70c | 470$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6e…fad0backed Team Spirit | 51c | 457.74$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.93 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed OG | 30c | 450$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Team Spirit | 56c | 442.03$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.5 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…bab9backed Team Spirit | 70c | 436.52$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.16 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Team Spirit | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc47f…94b4backed Team Spirit | 47c | 427.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Team Spirit | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95a5…a523backed OG | 31c | 403.23$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.23 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4e9ebacked Team Spirit | 67c | 402.53$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.7 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…d3e6backed OG | 31c | 387.63$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +165.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…964dbacked Team Spirit | 3c | 371.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed OG | 35c | 365.71$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.71 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Team Spirit | 65c | 365.71$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.71 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d1…b52bbacked Team Spirit | 70c | 357$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…349fbacked OG | 76c | 355.15$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.65 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…8b3abacked Team Spirit | 67c | 354.06$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.22 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked OG | 30c | 333$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.1 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Team Spirit | 64c | 330.1$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.75 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…3ff3backed OG | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8d…210fbacked Team Spirit | 61c | 321.21$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.94 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked Team Spirit | 62c | 316.85$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…b07abacked OG | 33c | 306.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.51 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…8cd4backed OG | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefa…c212backed Team Spirit | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f2…3263backed Team Spirit | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 61 | 75.4%46 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa17…3aa2backed Team Spirit | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Team Spirit | 70c | 289.41$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.59 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Team Spirit | 70c | 285.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed Team Spirit | 31c | 276.94$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.12 | 203 | 61.6%125 W · 78 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: OG vs Team Spirit (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: OG vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerOG won
- Dota 2: OG vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerOG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.