Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: OG vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb508ed326f062dfb317ec0539b35a3a95249a3f2a2c0c515c7ea76e88115892
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OGof OG, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,750
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,750 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked OG | 18c | 5,587$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,574.28 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…e310backed Team Spirit | 53c | 5,246$2,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,769.1 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Team Spirit | 38c | 3,050$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.75 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed OG | 37c | 3,031$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.34 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked OG | 39c | 3,000$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,823.81 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed OG | 42c | 2,363$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.11 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked OG | 41c | 2,217$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.22 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked OG | 58c | 1,373$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.92 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…46ddbacked Team Spirit | 37c | 1,336$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Team Spirit | 44c | 1,262$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.56 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Team Spirit | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked OG | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.79 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Team Spirit | 56c | 1,157$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.98 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Spirit | 48c | 1,100$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…abccbacked Team Spirit | 58c | 1,049$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec61…4a2ebacked Team Spirit | 9c | 999.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked OG | 40c | 988$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.87 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f3…8cbdbacked OG | 49c | 812.57$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed OG | 52c | 772.35$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.35 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Spirit | 59c | 760.71$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.17 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked OG | 49c | 605.59$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Team Spirit | 60c | 581.01$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.6 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed OG | 19c | 526.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.6 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked Team Spirit | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Team Spirit | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…1691backed Team Spirit | 27c | 484$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.99 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed OG | 21c | 465.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.38 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Spirit | 45c | 463.93$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Team Spirit | 56c | 438.43$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed OG | 73c | 421.54$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.58 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Team Spirit | 18c | 416.2$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.58 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked OG | 51c | 390.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.48 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95e7…4152backed Team Spirit | 44c | 377.09$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.42 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32b7…fe56backed Team Spirit | 62c | 356.94$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Team Spirit | 59c | 350.2$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.67 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Team Spirit | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…d9cdbacked OG | 59c | 314.41$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6c…30c5backed Team Spirit | 22c | 311.28$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.5 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb22d…3a13backed Team Spirit | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58bc…1fdbbacked Team Spirit | 9c | 275.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 11cpaid | +140.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xada6…9447backed Team Spirit | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5d…efa1backed Team Spirit | 25c | 240$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Team Spirit | 61c | 208$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.72 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Team Spirit | 63c | 205.54$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.49 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked OG | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x871c…7f0abacked Team Spirit | 52c | 202.18$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.76 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cc…3f0fbacked Team Spirit | 30c | 167.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 72.9%43 W · 16 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd5…8d10backed Team Spirit | 43c | 160$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.1 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Team Spirit | 47c | 154.58$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Team Spirit | 60c | 153$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 43cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea61…cc32backed OG | 35c | 149.43$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.26 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a20…42c4backed OG | 46c | 137.74$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Team Spirit | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Team Spirit | 62c | 119$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.78 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…f3a0backed Team Spirit | 41c | 115$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked OG | 40c | 106$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked OG | 40c | 103.33$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed OG | 42c | 102.28$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.47 | 203 | 61.6%125 W · 78 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Team Spirit | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…3202backed Team Spirit | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Team Spirit | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed OG | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9798…12d2backed OG | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b6…1765backed Team Spirit | 52c | 90$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…0e36backed Team Spirit | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 129 | 65.1%84 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Team Spirit | 18c | 81.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6c…2527backed OG | 50c | 76.01$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd553…d677backed Team Spirit | 37c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…3ad4backed Team Spirit | 35c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x158f…09f1backed OG | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Team Spirit | 54c | 67.74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Team Spirit | 60c | 61$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Team Spirit | 64c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…8229backed Team Spirit | 58c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Team Spirit | 61c | 56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb382…c498backed OG | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Team Spirit | 61c | 53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked OG | 49c | 52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33da…f818backed Team Spirit | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b9…c68cbacked OG | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed OG | 38c | 48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 61cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaef…db07backed Team Spirit | 40c | 47.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 144 | 61.8%89 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed OG | 38c | 45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed OG | 38c | 44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6634…8bf2backed Team Spirit | 50c | 43.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4969…6d77backed Team Spirit | 51c | 41.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed OG | 40c | 41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…e77bbacked OG | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x047a…941ebacked OG | 39c | 39.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 236 | 40.7%96 W · 140 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e10…e039backed OG | 52c | 38.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac5…27d0backed OG | 73c | 38.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Team Spirit | 60c | 38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed OG | 38c | 37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +65%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…c132backed Team Spirit | 57c | 35.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed OG | 40c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe354…f429backed OG | 49c | 34.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…01a9backed Team Spirit | 41c | 34.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad7…f012backed Team Spirit | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…aeb8backed OG | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed OG | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: OG vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: OG vs Team Spirit (BO3)OG won
- Dota 2: OG vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerOG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.