NHL · resolved market
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6cec062286640705d6901eb4f889dca34372e59fa114e0482e468d1ca6094a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Sabres, Bruins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Bruins | 70c | 30,000$21,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,999.99 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f24…05efbacked Sabres | 30c | 15,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,500 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b88…9856backed Sabres | 30c | 6,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sabres | 30c | 3,999$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.56 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed Sabres | 30c | 2,700$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Sabres | 30c | 2,136$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.13 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc83d…3301backed Sabres | 30c | 1,480$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sabres | 51c | 1,222$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.55 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bruins | 70c | 1,013$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.32 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Bruins | 70c | 980.14$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.09 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Bruins | 52c | 816$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.82 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Sabres | 30c | 600$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…8df0backed Bruins | 60c | 542.04$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.97 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Sabres | 40c | 468.31$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.98 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Sabres | 48c | 453.9$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.19 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Bruins | 52c | 427.85$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.48 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Bruins | 70c | 400$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…9971backed Sabres | 30c | 314.32$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.49 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Sabres | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 261 | 36%94 W · 167 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0206…bf76backed Sabres | 30c | 266.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.67 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Bruins | 70c | 256$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.2 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bruins | 48c | 246.97$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.53 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bruins | 23c | 242$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.02 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Bruins | 36c | 242$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.7 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Sabres | 38c | 229.41$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.16 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Bruins | 70c | 207.31$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.12 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Bruins | 52c | 205.25$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.73 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Bruins | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Sabres | 30c | 194.07$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.85 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Bruins | 69c | 192.97$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.15 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Sabres | 53c | 183.51$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.81 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +8.6wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Bruins | 57c | 156.85$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.54 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Bruins | 71c | 149.16$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.91 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Sabres | 56c | 137.54$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 288 | 47.2%136 W · 152 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Bruins | 51c | 108.59$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Sabres | 41c | 107.85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.63 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Sabres | 31c | 107.73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.39 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Bruins | 52c | 100.63$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.91 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Sabres | 29c | 100.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.02 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Bruins | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…359ebacked Sabres | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Sabres | 56c | 96.69$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.92 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Sabres | 57c | 89.29$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.77 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Sabres | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Bruins | 53c | 77.58$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47eb…90ecbacked Sabres | 30c | 75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 42cpaid | +161%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…069bbacked Sabres | 29c | 70$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8499…950dbacked Sabres | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Bruins | 52c | 62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bruins | 64c | 52.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed Sabres | 50c | 51.85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Sabres | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Sabres | 49c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Sabres | 77c | 42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 148 | 55.4%82 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Bruins | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Sabres | 45c | 36.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Sabres | 44c | 35.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Sabres | 48c | 31.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Bruins | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Sabres | 67c | 29.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3bce…db46backed Bruins | 52c | 28.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…20b4backed Sabres | 52c | 26.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…daebbacked Bruins | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Bruins | 51c | 19.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)this page
- Sabres vs. BruinsSabres won
- Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 4.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5Under won
- Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Sabres (-2.5)Sabres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.