NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x064967f2c0686d65b94199bc5e0fedb0f4efa7ae1d3b23cd81a2f896235bf096
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,088
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,493
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,088 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 41c | 4,818$1,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,971.51 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 59c | 2,273$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.93 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Under | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Over | 20c | 1,990$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 59c | 1,950$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.5 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 62c | 716.27$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.69 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 55c | 501.13$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.19 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Over | 55c | 390.23$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.13 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 60c | 334.08$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.28 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…03c2backed Under | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c22…3479backed Over | 33c | 292.69$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 59c | 241$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.62 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Over | 41c | 236.59$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 24c | 225$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.15 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa590…271cbacked Under | 51c | 189.39$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.97 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 45c | 157.34$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.81 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Under | 51c | 144.69$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.44 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 63c | 142.39$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.2 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 41c | 138.05$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.01 | 288 | 47.2%136 W · 152 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 43c | 125.62$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.96 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce7…cfaabacked Over | 41c | 115.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 61c | 106.79$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.84 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under | 42c | 106.07$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.77 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 25c | 106$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Over | 39c | 98.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 37c | 97.38$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.56 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 59c | 88.3$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 48c | 85.06$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.93 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 59c | 73.17$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Under | 39c | 72.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.31 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Under | 58c | 66.19$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 177 | 61.6%109 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac7…5a6bbacked Under | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 58c | 63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfd…a4bbbacked Over | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 38c | 56.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Under | 54c | 45.41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +8.6wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Under | 50c | 43.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cac…988ebacked Under | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Under | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 60c | 35.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Over | 37c | 33.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2e…7f4ebacked Under | 60c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f53…8910backed Under | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Under | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 49c | 28.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 148 | 55.4%82 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa530…88f6backed Under | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Over | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -41%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 62c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 62c | 20.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5this page
- Sabres vs. BruinsSabres won
- Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 4.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Sabres won
- Spread: Sabres (-2.5)Sabres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.