NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a1da6e1f17daada3bc45b2271cc79144dbfb227710ea5539efead68c645792c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,263
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,263 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 52c | 8,146$4,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,235.73 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 32c | 4,092$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.8 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Under | 48c | 3,900$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,028 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x533c…2658backed Over | 73c | 3,297$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 37c | 2,160$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.92 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 29c | 1,971$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.95 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc83f…23e4backed Over | 63c | 1,920$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.6 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Under | 37c | 1,292$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.44 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 48c | 1,231$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.87 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 1,187$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.07 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8c…85fbbacked Under | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 55c | 910.18$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.18 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 27c | 678$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.84 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b84…6accbacked Under | 37c | 669.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.23 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 48c | 560$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.2 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Over | 58c | 514.31$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Over | 48c | 507.42$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.87 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 44c | 454.97$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.74 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Under | 48c | 416.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.66 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 42c | 385.21$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.89 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 28c | 380$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.79 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 61c | 357.23$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.91 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 60c | 330$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.96 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 35c | 293.97$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.26 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 48c | 266.15$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.75 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 35c | 249$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.85 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 65c | 240.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.37 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 66c | 236.51$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.25 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Under | 43c | 216.72$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.64 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Under | 29c | 202.16$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.53 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Under | 71c | 177.93$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.56 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Over | 52c | 167.31$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 48c | 159.25$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.81 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Under | 29c | 146.84$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.26 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 48c | 136.96$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.65 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Over | 63c | 133.49$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.42 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc61…8a6abacked Over | 30c | 127$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 30c | 120.98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.69 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 47c | 118.86$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Under | 27c | 110.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.1 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 55c | 108.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.59 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 29c | 103.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.21 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.38 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 41c | 96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…20b4backed Over | 19c | 95.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under | 31c | 93.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.52 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Under | 50c | 92.95$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce7…cfaabacked Over | 52c | 90.85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 63c | 89.97$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.82 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 64c | 84.58$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.42 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 59c | 84.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Under | 49c | 83.16$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.41 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 19c | 74.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa590…271cbacked Over | 65c | 72.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Under | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Over | 52c | 63.16$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 45c | 61$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 333 | 63.7%212 W · 121 L | +44.3wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 62c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…01c6backed Under | 38c | 57.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 48c | 55.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.63 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c22…3479backed Under | 61c | 52.54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1201…a74dbacked Under | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 48c | 41.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 52c | 40.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 41c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Over | 67c | 33.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4619…2108backed Over | 51c | 33.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 61c | 25.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Over | 70c | 24.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +8.9wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Over | 44c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed Over | 61c | 19.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 70c | 14.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5this page
- Sabres vs. BruinsSabres won
- Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 4.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5Under won
- Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Sabres won
- Spread: Sabres (-2.5)Sabres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.