Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AVS Futebol vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc20ad00114668916ac4195dbf5dae384f443399b91da8c819d421079cf9c0469
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,369
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,813
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,369 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 13c | 48,373$6,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,420.5 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 1c | 9,026$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.83 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 9c | 3,356$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,067.8 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 25c | 2,456$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.1 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 2,310$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.93 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Yes | 12c | 1,907$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.24 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba2…1650backed Yes | 52c | 1,861$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.34 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 77c | 1,647$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.9 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 77c | 1,129$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.91 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5a…0122backed Yes | 46c | 1,052$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.94 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 29c | 926.85$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.75 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Yes | 36c | 777.71$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.37 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 76c | 744.93$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.1 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfec4…1958backed Yes | 60c | 605.61$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed Yes | 15c | 596.25$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.37 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9857…a505backed No | 5c | 555.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 76c | 476$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.16 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x078e…3ebdbacked Yes | 67c | 438.9$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 53c | 408.49$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.82 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 72c | 383.96$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.51 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f84…be62backed Yes | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 12c | 372.87$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.44 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 53c | 367.6$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.27 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 27c | 364.7$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.72 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 43c | 339.84$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Yes | 9c | 302.81$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +164.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Yes | 9c | 293.04$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.35 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +70%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc454…8c31backed Yes | 34c | 282.47$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.43 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Yes | 71c | 279.14$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 23c | 250.68$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.66 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e91…1428backed Yes | 48c | 202.66$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +83%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 8c | 197.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.14 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 24c | 195.89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.77 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Yes | 41c | 192.92$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.82 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 39c | 163.19$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.11 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044e…28d3backed Yes | 60c | 162.49$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…b254backed Yes | 60c | 147.35$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.35 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 37c | 143.55$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.44 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 8c | 141.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.38 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed No | 53c | 137.52$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.89 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Yes | 75c | 136.05$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.01 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a30…b094backed Yes | 40c | 120.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.3 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…5269backed Yes | 41c | 117.63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 10c | 110.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.75 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 22c | 106.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e65…b28bbacked Yes | 19c | 104.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.78 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 57c | 97.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.22 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 48c | 86.35$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 61c | 80.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdba4…1528backed Yes | 46c | 78.96$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e8…6edabacked Yes | 43c | 67.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 43c | 65.69$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 75 | 77.3%58 W · 17 L | +12.7wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked No | 34c | 59.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61c6…2e9fbacked Yes | 49c | 58.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked No | 61c | 56.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 46c | 55.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 47c | 54.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 37c | 54.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab7c…746dbacked Yes | 49c | 52.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 65c | 50.15$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 32c | 48.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 35c | 48.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.23 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 68c | 47.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 74c | 46.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…f39abacked Yes | 42c | 42.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 30c | 42.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb5…8740backed Yes | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Yes | 76c | 30.37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83f5…0f32backed Yes | 68c | 24.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9912…a027backed No | 49c | 22.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 57c | 20.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd762…9ebfbacked Yes | 73c | 20.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b5…56abbacked No | 66c | 16.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked No | 64c | 16.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed No | 75c | 15.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AVS Futebol vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?this page
- Will AVS Futebol win on 2026-04-26?No won
- Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.