South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-04-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x099be817e1a394a4ca23e190d2a861e5b33f96de064d94e216df912b7fda80ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,475
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,475 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 46c | 1,577$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.51 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 1,264$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.46 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 53c | 1,258$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.65 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 55c | 1,169$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.49 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 80c | 1,105$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.41 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 30c | 917.21$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.69 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 44c | 877.47$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.38 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 52c | 530.77$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.48 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 21c | 489$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.47 | 148 | 24.3%36 W · 112 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 27c | 478.1$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.01 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 53c | 462.91$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.04 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 38c | 462.45$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.37 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 59c | 443.79$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.1 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 58c | 433.69$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.36 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 19c | 415.48$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.49 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 41c | 250$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 44c | 224.44$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.54 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 47c | 209.96$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.28 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +18.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Yes | 50c | 203.85$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.97 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…32f8backed No | 53c | 195.02$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.36 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 47c | 120$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a7…3155backed Yes | 47c | 103.27$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.86 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 45c | 97.5$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.62 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 43c | 88$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 54c | 77.79$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.01 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf3…80abbacked Yes | 49c | 77.53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.92 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 41c | 76.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.41 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 49c | 62.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 165 | 59.4%98 W · 67 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…8e23backed Yes | 51c | 60.85$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e8…6edabacked No | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee8a…69acbacked Yes | 55c | 53.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7c…4eefbacked Yes | 55c | 53.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 46c | 50.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 44c | 43.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 64c | 41.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb792…fa38backed Yes | 49c | 41.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 42c | 34.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Yes | 48c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 45c | 32.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d43…d0ddbacked No | 47c | 31.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 52c | 28.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b03…13eebacked Yes | 54c | 27.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 45c | 26.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 77c | 23.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed No | 53c | 21.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked No | 57c | 19.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Yes | 67c | 19.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 56c | 18.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 56c | 18.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-04-26?this page
- Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-04-26?No won
- Will CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.