South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-04-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x321a27bb28e8dff9b162a14100a4e0aa96441b68a57b08be0470c2b8eed8f4c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,460
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,997
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,460 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 21c | 1,955$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.54 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 56c | 1,417$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.4 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 25c | 1,296$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.17 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 75c | 985$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.25 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 16c | 946.84$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.28 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 77c | 726.31$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.27 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 77c | 714.85$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.77 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 15c | 520.37$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.06 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 20c | 400.03$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.01 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 18c | 264.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Yes | 28c | 253.94$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.56 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 21c | 251.13$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…32f8backed Yes | 25c | 192.72$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.79 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed No | 66c | 160.32$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.92 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 31c | 123.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 44c | 119.83$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.73 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Yes | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 44c | 89.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 17c | 82.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 148 | 24.3%36 W · 112 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 44c | 65.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 79c | 63.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 26c | 41.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked Yes | 44c | 29.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92af…8b55backed No | 74c | 29.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 73c | 14.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-04-26?this page
- Will CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza end in a draw?No won
- Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-04-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.