Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x483276b09d0923621d0451bed1ab9fd45406cc4761ff1405daaf6ecd05f58f8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nottingham Forest FCof Nottingham Forest FC, Chelsea FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,623
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7c58…a5a1backed Chelsea FC | 62c | 47,210$29,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,186.86 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Nottingham Forest FC | 38c | 43,175$16,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,693.94 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed Chelsea FC | 62c | 7,555$4,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,687.61 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Nottingham Forest FC | 6c | 5,203$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,908.96 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nottingham Forest FC | 41c | 4,002$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,361.62 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nottingham Forest FC | 38c | 1,894$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.2 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Nottingham Forest FC | 38c | 1,256$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.94 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Nottingham Forest FC | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.99 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bc…2f60backed Chelsea FC | 16c | 974.32$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Nottingham Forest FC | 6c | 682.3$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.77 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Nottingham Forest FC | 30c | 649.29$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.51 | 173 | 27.2%47 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Nottingham Forest FC | 7c | 640.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.24 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x278f…ef30backed Chelsea FC | 62c | 550.47$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.09 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff4c…25a4backed Chelsea FC | 62c | 481.84$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 8c | 390.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.28 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed Nottingham Forest FC | 4c | 375$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -6.7wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +21%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Nottingham Forest FC | 40c | 305.94$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.08 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Chelsea FC | 56c | 300$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Nottingham Forest FC | 38c | 278.07$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.52 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Nottingham Forest FC | 78c | 262.27$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.67 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4db9…14f5backed Chelsea FC | 72c | 232.95$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.42 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Chelsea FC | 8c | 171.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Nottingham Forest FC | 19c | 170.21$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.35 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | +12.1wins | +0.16per pick | 13cpaid | +125%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1f…48a4backed Chelsea FC | 66c | 150.62$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Nottingham Forest FC | 47c | 146.24$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.01 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Nottingham Forest FC | 38c | 139.75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.79 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Nottingham Forest FC | 42c | 124.68$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.42 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a50…6c6bbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 10c | 101.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.01 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -11.4wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Chelsea FC | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…d11dbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 30c | 99.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.84 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7861…3d27backed Chelsea FC | 63c | 96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Chelsea FC | 27c | 74.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 45c | 61.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.74 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +13.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x45cf…0f46backed Nottingham Forest FC | 38c | 59.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Nottingham Forest FC | 79c | 51.79$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Chelsea FC | 70c | 49.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ff…d0dfbacked Chelsea FC | 62c | 48.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -5.0wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…bea8backed Chelsea FC | 70c | 44.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc683…7483backed Nottingham Forest FC | 37c | 42.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab35…118dbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a0…20dabacked Chelsea FC | 66c | 38.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78d8…cffcbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 42 | 78.6%33 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 64cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 31c | 33.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b48…1d20backed Nottingham Forest FC | 36c | 30.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +131.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4043…3f36backed Chelsea FC | 62c | 28.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…b55dbacked Chelsea FC | 73c | 25.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Nottingham Forest FC | 45c | 23.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 209 | 56%117 W · 92 L | +15.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c71…a55abacked Chelsea FC | 66c | 22.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Nottingham Forest FC | 49c | 22.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30a2…deacbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 80c | 20.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Chelsea FC | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)this page
- Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)Chelsea FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.