Premier League · resolved market
Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6895bd77e1d4dffef3743c4a99aea3ca9c7a2679f35c4a717dcff7fb35a47e67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $227,568
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $288,577
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $227,568 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 54c | 39,082$21,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,944.18 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…9b1abacked Under | 69c | 30,167$20,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,324.94 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 40c | 27,979$11,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,057.49 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 33c | 21,732$7,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,123.56 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 80c | 18,502$14,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,771.81 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 47c | 10,859$5,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,129.1 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab1…b4ecbacked Under | 51c | 8,180$4,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,036.32 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Under | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 44c | 4,579$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 30c | 3,965$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.55 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 27c | 3,753$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.85 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 40c | 3,096$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.34 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…dababacked Under | 53c | 2,976$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.36 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 20c | 2,866$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.23 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 23c | 2,786$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.57 | 212 | 50%106 W · 106 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 39c | 2,541$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Under | 58c | 2,052$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.97 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…d24dbacked Over | 22c | 1,458$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.47 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 37c | 1,400$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 46c | 1,373$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.22 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Under | 71c | 1,113$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.68 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.99 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 79c | 1,044$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.31 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 20c | 1,009$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.6 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 44c | 970.92$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.03 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbc…095ebacked Over | 51c | 923.51$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.85 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 45cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22ac…7409backed Under | 70c | 908.51$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.51 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 23c | 902.14$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.69 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 33c | 868$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.44 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 24c | 837.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.97 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 20c | 795.6$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.12 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…b500backed Under | 71c | 784.96$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f4adbacked Under | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 59c | 700$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ba…3bccbacked Over | 17c | 591.66$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.47 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69c1…da5fbacked Under | 58c | 586.92$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5721…6746backed Under | 61c | 540.57$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.82 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Over | 12c | 529.44$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.83 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 306 | 45.8%140 W · 166 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9101…78ddbacked Under | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 74c | 500$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 200 | 40.5%81 W · 119 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Over | 21c | 454.55$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.46 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 20c | 432.6$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.52 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +21.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 19c | 430.7$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.85 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 20c | 413.6$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.82 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 19c | 411$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 137 | 21.2%29 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a0…3762backed Under | 68c | 409.59$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.22 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -7.9wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 44c | 403.93$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…17bdbacked Over | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 101 | 25.7%26 W · 75 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 66c | 350.44$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.46 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0886…b3a6backed Over | 18c | 306.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Over | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 20c | 297$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 76c | 290$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Over | 42c | 274.27$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.42 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2a…aefbbacked Under | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 19c | 266.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…bbb2backed Over | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -49%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…3f31backed Under | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf823…e7efbacked Under | 74c | 256.76$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.76 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 23c | 229.29$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.15 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 28c | 223.82$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.68 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked Under | 73c | 205.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 65c | 200$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.27 | 192 | 44.8%86 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53fa…83f9backed Over | 43c | 196.39$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.45 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 26c | 186.09$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +13.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x81d7…32d8backed Over | 55c | 182.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…2b89backed Under | 57c | 176.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 21c | 174$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 61c | 172.97$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.2 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Over | 33c | 171.86$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…f31fbacked Under | 55c | 168$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecd9…ebc3backed Over | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 19c | 146.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 209 | 56%117 W · 92 L | +15.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…a5e9backed Over | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbc…3122backed Under | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…6b8abacked Under | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 70cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71fd…1397backed Over | 23c | 130.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d63…aa21backed Over | 31c | 127.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 31c | 125.16$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5087…2d85backed Over | 19c | 123.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 51c | 119.61$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…e4abbacked Over | 45c | 113.64$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.07 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6924…1455backed Under | 62c | 111.4$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.84 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Over | 19c | 111.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 150 | 46%69 W · 81 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 22c | 108.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Over | 19c | 102.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Over | 17c | 100.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1ab4backed Over | 48c | 100.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 136 | 30.9%42 W · 94 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0031backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)Chelsea FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.