TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$229,161
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$258,496

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $229,161 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6814…a9e7backed Under0c50,351$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.9361143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x912a…2e6abacked Over57c24,945$14,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,727.2560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under40c18,244$7,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,308.631,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc72d…fc21backed Over56c8,960$5,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,902.241942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under43c6,215$2,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,698.326139.3%24 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Under42c6,074$2,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,551.0420140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under43c5,986$2,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,593.861,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under43c5,080$2,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,186.772,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under44c4,880$2,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,14715757.3%90 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under43c4,652$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.1520545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2ab1…b4ecbacked Under33c4,503$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed Under42c4,500$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,879.924841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over57c4,433$2,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,915.9710765.4%70 W · 37 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over60c4,266$2,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,706.3976842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under43c4,077$1,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,753.0516753.3%89 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Over59c4,013$2,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,645.33748.6%18 W · 19 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick61cpaid-29.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over59c3,814$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,563.5610739.3%42 W · 65 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ad6…caadbacked Over79c3,479$2,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.269660.4%58 W · 38 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdda3…b20cbacked Over60c3,333$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.333941%16 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4852…67c4backed Under44c3,068$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under41c2,827$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.8635941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Under18c2,299$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.98257.3%47 W · 35 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Over60c2,007$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.842751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88019235.9%69 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over62c1,911$1,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.9220651.9%107 W · 99 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Under13c1,526$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19819426.3%51 W · 143 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Under34c1,471$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over56c1,293$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.8832345.2%146 W · 177 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Under28c1,226$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.8717327.2%47 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under41c1,200$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.4855751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over75c1,115$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.7874156.8%421 W · 320 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39082763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over56c900$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3994852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under42c876.86$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.4859445.5%270 W · 324 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe612…ee20backed Over56c857.14$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.141752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bef…485bbacked Under44c709.14$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.022650%13 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76e4…febcbacked Over57c701.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.571942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Over59c666.9$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.439061.1%55 W · 35 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+18.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x55e1…c25cbacked Over61c655.74$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.741747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…e3c2backed Under16c622.4$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.21714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over73c600.49$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.111,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under43c600$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2588756.3%49 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over61c571.8$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22314055%77 W · 63 L+18.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+29.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under43c544.23$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.029254.3%50 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27ee…b517backed Over57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.321070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc193…5160backed Over57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.32837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-36.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under42c519.83$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.8933551.3%172 W · 163 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8024047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x013d…0574backed Under3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick4cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe843…0699backed Under21c460$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.61020%2 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over57c431.8$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.4241850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0580…f78bbacked Under4c422.68$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.191010%1 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick6cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over61c409.84$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.843650%18 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1603033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.881060%6 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+53.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under41c349$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.0927752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6495…6cd7backed Under44c340.91$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.9824052.9%127 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Under10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302259.1%13 W · 9 L+3.9wins+0.18per pick41cpaid+30.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5445…439ebacked Under44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1322240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over57c293.89$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.9759247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over61c280.2$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.2819356%108 W · 85 L+21.4wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x29d3…b2edbacked Over56c267.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.86520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-64.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over61c264.7$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.2318851.6%97 W · 91 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1575…3d32backed Over68c262.03$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.81875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x333b…62dabacked Over77c257.14$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.14933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-56.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Under44c255.77$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.546758.2%39 W · 28 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under12c249.96$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294736.2%17 W · 30 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under44c249.45$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.7626444.7%118 W · 146 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under6c247.47$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.111753%62 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Under39c246.87$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3130%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6628…b24abacked Under15c238$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.71060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d61…2641backed Under44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002313%3 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.18per pick31cpaid-50%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x82ff…18acbacked Under44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Under44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005747.4%27 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over60c226.62$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.659265.2%60 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4db3…c1eabacked Under14c220.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303040%12 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under7c218.04$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9819441.8%81 W · 113 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under42c213.08$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.969851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7d…fa81backed Under14c208.81$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.81650%8 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+41.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cc4…5a94backed Under43c199.98$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.991010%1 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.32per pick42cpaid-74.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Under44c193.58$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.183215.6%5 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Under43c181.62$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.544932.7%16 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4422242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8745…4658backed Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.441450%7 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.441384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick61cpaid+42.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over57c174.56$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.069957.6%57 W · 42 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb581…1b9cbacked Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.415964.4%38 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd119…28abbacked Over59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.49650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4928859.7%172 W · 116 L+19.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b24…4247backed Over60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.674557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ce4…da39backed Over58c160$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.21643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Over78c156.59$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.49246.7%43 W · 49 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe398…ee2ebacked Over79c150$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.58259.8%49 W · 33 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-6.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x73e2…264cbacked Over57c143.74$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.81887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.8wins+0.47per pick40cpaid+166.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under15c142.71$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4139555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under43c141.62$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.891,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over58c136.24$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.225271.2%37 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8293…aaeebacked Over57c135.28$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.171060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over60c135.2$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0816053.1%85 W · 75 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.