TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$128,434
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$158,293

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,434 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 237 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No25c14,285$3,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,525.556,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed Yes76c12,171$9,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,926.982286.4%19 W · 3 L+4.2wins+0.19per pick67cpaid+52.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No41c5,864$2,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,388.294,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No42c4,819$2,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,037.131,92342.4%815 W · 1,108 L-42.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ff…35ccbacked Yes54c4,727$2,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,174.643847.4%18 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Yes58c4,310$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,810.342161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes57c2,267$1,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.5696445.4%438 W · 526 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No47c1,716$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.6820545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No44c1,616$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.3435941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No43c1,584$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.4641850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked No38c1,504$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.4634428.8%99 W · 245 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc294…570ebacked Yes54c1,367$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.112030%6 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-26.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes77c1,295$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.373154.8%17 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No43c1,292$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.1558446.1%269 W · 315 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No44c1,122$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.0355351.9%287 W · 266 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes57c1,000$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.3582763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xac20…a68abacked Yes46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5402236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fd6…95e3backed Yes53c971.7$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.73141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1967…4f82backed Yes53c943.16$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes59c942.57$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.120651.9%107 W · 99 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe84a…702dbacked Yes58c844.83$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.832748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed No43c751.02$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.393661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No16c693.89$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.377236.4%281 W · 491 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x308d…3519backed Yes48c600$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3121643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No45c577.22$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.756142.6%26 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4de…424cbacked Yes52c565.25$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.25875%6 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+54.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Yes54c551.44$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.666056.7%34 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca1c…02eabacked No4c447.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No45c438.16$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.9957847.8%276 W · 302 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes54c425.93$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.9323632.2%76 W · 160 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No44c416.82$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.131,58953.3%847 W · 742 L+39.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed Yes70c407.6$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.095044%22 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x684c…93dfbacked Yes53c402.82$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.33837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-25.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Yes53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1885650%28 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No43c386.98$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.162,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes50c354.86$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.311,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef3a…dc6bbacked Yes58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.834850%24 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe454…8b7dbacked Yes76c330.92$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.422560%15 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed No8c329.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.725543.6%24 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-15.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…ffcabacked No31c323.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No42c321.72$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.8369651.1%356 W · 340 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No15c320.21$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0321254.2%115 W · 97 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No42c306.03$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.5332345.2%146 W · 177 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes35c300$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19513721.2%29 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked No17c293.59$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5417327.2%47 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e29…5777backed No10c292$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.7828859.7%172 W · 116 L+19.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x28ff…d56cbacked Yes54c277.78$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.781936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed No15c270.31$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.429246.7%43 W · 49 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Yes61c269.98$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.292100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0470…387ebacked Yes53c264.62$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.372100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+119.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2e3…d1ffbacked Yes57c263.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.162744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xafb2…0942backed Yes59c254.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.24475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+37.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes36c250.28$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.1815952.8%84 W · 75 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No11c249.86$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6622443.8%98 W · 126 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Yes54c229.63$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.637150.7%36 W · 35 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes53c213.66$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.425646.4%26 W · 30 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x73e2…264cbacked Yes58c206.9$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.9887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.8wins+0.47per pick40cpaid+166.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x53ac…4025backed No10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202450%12 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf775…7334backed No32c200$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd92e…fcbdbacked No53c198.29$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1061040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4829…97ebbacked Yes77c194.81$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.811546.7%7 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b55…1167backed No68c194.37$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick71cpaid-55%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8f5…1a48backed Yes54c186.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.581369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.6wins+0.28per pick42cpaid+65%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4b37…17bdbacked Yes54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1910125.7%26 W · 75 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes58c180.43$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.7820956%117 W · 92 L+15.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+24.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Yes57c174.56$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.069957.6%57 W · 42 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2cf0…df85backed No58c173.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002737%10 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes76c173.76$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.415470.8%109 W · 45 L+22.5wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+29.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x50f2…a5b1backed Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5672…d3dabacked Yes58c172.05$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.26540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x013f…0911backed No56c171.2$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No42c170.23$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.580853.6%433 W · 375 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bba…a2eabacked Yes52c168.9$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd236…533cbacked Yes57c165.72$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.261540%6 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…47cdbacked Yes48c165.7$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.72475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+93%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Yes45c164.12$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.5222156.1%124 W · 97 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2f…cf58backed Yes56c160.71$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.711040%4 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4676…1639backed No38c157.89$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7757…120cbacked No68c148$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.64757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x806a…62d7backed Yes56c144.64$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.644535.6%16 W · 29 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7e86…0fa7backed Yes80c142.11$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.112100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+68.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No42c141$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.221,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes54c138.89$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.8935347.6%168 W · 185 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes36c138.88$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.8939555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc5b…c668backed Yes54c120.37$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.37366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0705…a86fbacked No25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303745.9%17 W · 20 L+5.4wins+0.15per pick31cpaid+58.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7ebc…01c6backed No12c116.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x333b…62dabacked No62c115.33$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.45933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-56.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No46c113.94$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9626444.7%118 W · 146 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x69c1…da5fbacked No55c113.57$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-65.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b46…b8ecbacked Yes58c112.07$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.07250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x550d…f1ffbacked No47c104.47$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.12070%14 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf39d…a5e9backed Yes53c103.77$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.772360.9%14 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed No43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436053.3%32 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507248.6%35 W · 37 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+35.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d8b…e621backed No10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4310051%51 W · 49 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b5d…6096backed No79c100$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79560%3 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick74cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5258…534ebacked Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.