Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22c3ce96a88bf01d0c5e320d029e7f8418c81d5be28f025b6ab07465bb508fb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,257,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,099,466
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,257,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 837 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99e2…b7bebacked Yes | 1c | 214,158$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf57…77c7backed Yes | 1c | 153,852$1,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,992.02 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -78%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 3c | 149,664$4,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,285.98 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…9872backed Yes | 1c | 124,944$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c98…ef88backed Yes | 1c | 104,014$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.66 | 49 | 4.1%2 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…0434backed Yes | 1c | 101,880$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebaa…abacbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…bac2backed Yes | 6c | 99,347$5,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,657.51 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e40…3a12backed Yes | 4c | 79,000$3,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,002 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe62d…c34dbacked Yes | 1c | 71,726$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.16 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +4.7wins | +0.27per pick | 61cpaid | +38%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…bb68backed Yes | 14c | 70,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,800 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe976…68d1backed Yes | 9c | 69,445$6,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,178.82 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 3c | 68,254$1,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.04 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 4c | 65,668$2,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,615.03 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 1c | 65,086$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.61 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…8c6ebacked Yes | 4c | 58,782$2,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,436.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…d901backed Yes | 0c | 55,778$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.49 | 107 | 0%0 W · 107 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a0…60c3backed Yes | 1c | 53,139$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.3 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 4c | 51,878$2,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,203.12 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa66c…f291backed Yes | 1c | 50,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6207…5259backed Yes | 3c | 50,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf212…28c7backed Yes | 1c | 48,451$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.29 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63a9…9a69backed Yes | 1c | 47,619$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.81 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6402…2fa1backed Yes | 6c | 43,898$2,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,819.49 | 64 | 3.1%2 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fe…f135backed Yes | 5c | 41,057$2,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,095.33 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 23cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Yes | 4c | 40,000$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf445…1f8abacked Yes | 1c | 39,530$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.33 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…e73fbacked Yes | 3c | 39,423$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd0…93dcbacked Yes | 7c | 38,498$2,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,604.36 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff3…b0febacked Yes | 18c | 37,335$6,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,876.61 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 2c | 35,500$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 2c | 34,090$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.95 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fbf6backed Yes | 7c | 33,962$2,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,377.37 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…d5bdbacked Yes | 37c | 33,554$12,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,345.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd980…5be0backed Yes | 3c | 30,082$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.85 | 112 | 10.7%12 W · 100 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 5c | 30,076$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587.95 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf915…8720backed No | 79c | 30,032$23,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,398.52 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 62cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked No | 75c | 30,020$22,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,506.66 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 6c | 30,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -95%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb15…7329backed Yes | 19c | 29,445$5,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,594.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x244a…a6c5backed Yes | 1c | 28,984$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6e…c7e1backed Yes | 1c | 27,938$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…8e65backed Yes | 0c | 26,119$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9c…5303backed Yes | 2c | 25,979$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf25…3b7fbacked No | 62c | 25,793$15,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,862.05 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…8b38backed Yes | 26c | 24,613$6,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,425.24 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d10…957cbacked Yes | 20c | 23,879$4,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,891.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…55b5backed Yes | 3c | 21,058$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.29 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 19c | 20,545$3,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,889.73 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…70cfbacked Yes | 6c | 20,064$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x285a…fd1bbacked Yes | 0c | 19,611$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 80 | 0%0 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa392…1415backed No | 61c | 19,477$11,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,655.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb238…d5bdbacked Yes | 1c | 19,020$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ba…a8ccbacked Yes | 0c | 19,000$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6212…322cbacked Yes | 5c | 18,738$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbef5…1c5abacked No | 80c | 18,270$14,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,675.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…c38cbacked No | 67c | 18,041$12,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,034.78 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3301…4dd8backed Yes | 1c | 17,033$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.25 | 102 | 4.9%5 W · 97 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 4c | 16,731$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.16 | 143 | 1.4%2 W · 141 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bc…e6fcbacked Yes | 8c | 16,562$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…8477backed Yes | 6c | 16,511$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa944…461abacked Yes | 6c | 16,013$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc1…dfcdbacked Yes | 0c | 15,948$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.79 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…ee4cbacked Yes | 1c | 15,873$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22b4…9cc0backed Yes | 5c | 15,664$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551b…dfd1backed Yes | 14c | 15,278$2,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,063.33 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc665…8c1ebacked Yes | 5c | 15,011$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…f5b9backed Yes | 2c | 15,004$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…71ecbacked Yes | 7c | 15,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…565bbacked Yes | 9c | 14,310$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…04b9backed Yes | 1c | 14,173$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.42 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8926…5aacbacked Yes | 15c | 13,763$2,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,082.08 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 19cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes | 2c | 13,502$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.79 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 13,332$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 79 | 2.5%2 W · 77 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -96%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a00…a0c0backed Yes | 1c | 12,494$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd380…0700backed Yes | 1c | 12,286$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dc…d1dfbacked Yes | 22c | 11,899$2,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,630 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f26…d136backed Yes | 1c | 11,187$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.9 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ce…865cbacked Yes | 1c | 11,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b91…e572backed Yes | 26c | 11,017$2,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,825.67 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…18eabacked Yes | 2c | 10,776$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e2…6078backed Yes | 7c | 10,698$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.45 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a8…2631backed Yes | 0c | 10,670$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 71c | 10,607$7,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,124.08 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc9…7361backed Yes | 12c | 10,017$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201 | 83 | 2.4%2 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c66…fcc1backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6550…d966backed Yes | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e77…c4f3backed No | 79c | 10,000$7,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,144.99 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…ca8bbacked Yes | 0c | 9,768$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -72%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ee…7b23backed Yes | 4c | 9,695$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…ec12backed Yes | 7c | 9,624$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.71 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8763…4c54backed Yes | 3c | 9,287$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 0c | 9,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c21…d6bfbacked Yes | 15c | 8,700$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffde…c665backed No | 69c | 8,660$5,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,679.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe590…b056backed Yes | 15c | 8,234$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed3…343cbacked Yes | 10c | 8,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea44…1e17backed Yes | 9c | 7,547$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…2d96backed Yes | 0c | 7,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked No | 79c | 7,246$5,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.54 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.