Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8f19832fd11ad8968e947c4e4fbed6059075efb73f9d1c9133ce6235a291fd0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,436,907
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,740,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,436,907 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf57…77c7backed Yes | 1c | 104,263$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.98 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -78%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebaa…abacbacked Yes | 0c | 99,997$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…bac2backed Yes | 9c | 88,797$7,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,686.35 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 3c | 64,908$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.51 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…d901backed Yes | 0c | 47,248$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.49 | 107 | 0%0 W · 107 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf399…0129backed Yes | 1c | 41,300$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a0…60c3backed Yes | 1c | 36,635$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.48 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Yes | 6c | 35,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.99 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fe…f135backed Yes | 3c | 32,652$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.11 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 23cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63a9…9a69backed Yes | 2c | 32,258$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.87 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 9c | 30,028$2,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,754.54 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 1c | 27,647$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.52 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…04b9backed Yes | 1c | 20,610$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.42 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc33…633ebacked Yes | 1c | 16,333$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 15,554$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 79 | 2.5%2 W · 77 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -96%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c98…ef88backed Yes | 2c | 15,191$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 49 | 4.1%2 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x807e…50d6backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f3…f66ebacked Yes | 1c | 14,286$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbef…7de2backed Yes | 8c | 13,917$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.39 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3a…783ebacked Yes | 7c | 13,393$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 13,147$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07bd…d1cdbacked Yes | 0c | 12,936$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.63 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e2…4dd4backed Yes | 0c | 12,230$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f26…d136backed Yes | 2c | 11,419$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.52 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b59…58e6backed Yes | 3c | 10,458$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 100 | 1%1 W · 99 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -96.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa694…3f17backed Yes | 3c | 10,392$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 10,255$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x285a…fd1bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,176$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 80 | 0%0 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd380…0700backed Yes | 1c | 10,104$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 11c | 10,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -95%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf212…28c7backed Yes | 1c | 9,685$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.99 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3301…4dd8backed Yes | 1c | 7,926$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.19 | 102 | 4.9%5 W · 97 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 5c | 7,620$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.13 | 143 | 1.4%2 W · 141 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 2c | 7,601$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.54 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…8184backed Yes | 7c | 6,759$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bd…b05abacked Yes | 2c | 6,666$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9e…509cbacked Yes | 2c | 6,551$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6402…2fa1backed Yes | 8c | 6,298$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.82 | 64 | 3.1%2 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 1c | 6,058$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.73 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 6,015$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.01 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc46…c7c5backed Yes | 11c | 5,289$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…6e23backed Yes | 10c | 5,192$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc9…7361backed Yes | 8c | 5,069$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 83 | 2.4%2 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…1119backed Yes | 1c | 4,644$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked Yes | 1c | 4,641$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 4,432$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 1c | 4,332$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 5c | 4,185$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.52 | 61 | 11.5%7 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…04b2backed Yes | 7c | 4,165$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 1c | 4,123$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.31 | 212 | 5.7%12 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc1…dfcdbacked Yes | 1c | 4,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 1c | 3,554$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 146 | 3.4%5 W · 141 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce2…3c96backed Yes | 2c | 3,429$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffa6…08a2backed Yes | 1c | 3,333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb23…da17backed Yes | 1c | 3,333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…ca8bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,219$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -72%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b9…b319backed Yes | 2c | 3,125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,084$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.79 | 120 | 3.3%4 W · 116 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 3c | 3,016$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.52 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d90…f272backed Yes | 2c | 3,006$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.36 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7575…6a41backed Yes | 2c | 2,919$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.92 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…fbbebacked Yes | 7c | 2,863$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8c…92e8backed Yes | 10c | 2,798$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…7388backed Yes | 2c | 2,746$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.78 | 78 | 1.3%1 W · 77 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 6cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd133…972cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,732$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ed…a349backed Yes | 1c | 2,727$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 2c | 2,668$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.21 | 107 | 3.7%4 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a8…9f9abacked Yes | 10c | 2,615$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.44 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4104…e39abacked Yes | 1c | 2,562$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes | 3c | 2,554$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.68 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…55b5backed Yes | 4c | 2,523$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.7 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…e383backed Yes | 2c | 2,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 4.4%4 W · 86 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1139…0471backed Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd3…14a7backed Yes | 6c | 2,499$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f07…fbdebacked Yes | 2c | 2,396$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ad…9186backed Yes | 7c | 2,381$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…8735backed Yes | 11c | 2,284$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.55 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5b…84e8backed Yes | 1c | 2,166$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc274…f637backed Yes | 2c | 2,158$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.31 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a4…fcd4backed Yes | 1c | 2,094$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…4e63backed Yes | 3c | 2,032$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,999$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 68 | 10.3%7 W · 61 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd762…b6f3backed Yes | 6c | 1,957$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3af…1aa6backed Yes | 5c | 1,954$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.35 | 36 | 11.1%4 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32b…6d74backed Yes | 2c | 1,902$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb900…3d9abacked Yes | 5c | 1,885$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a2…2ab4backed Yes | 11c | 1,876$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…2d2dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,869$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef3…acdfbacked Yes | 6c | 1,807$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0066…f2e4backed Yes | 6c | 1,777$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Yes | 3c | 1,766$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.48 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…6be7backed Yes | 5c | 1,713$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.09 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b04…6274backed Yes | 6c | 1,668$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd33f…33e1backed Yes | 2c | 1,593$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…ec12backed Yes | 13c | 1,538$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.36 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9622…c630backed Yes | 7c | 1,527$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5479…a49abacked Yes | 7c | 1,449$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65e7…89ffbacked Yes | 13c | 1,431$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.45 | 59 | 8.5%5 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.