Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $200 in January?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccfb4b94c5f3c7faf6759c142785e25ff31748cd71a0dfef28da1f5b3ec3f66a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $618,583
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $807,586
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $618,583 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 24,763$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 79 | 2.5%2 W · 77 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -96%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1e…bb8cbacked Yes | 3c | 23,809$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.36 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…d901backed Yes | 0c | 17,464$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.39 | 107 | 0%0 W · 107 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 9,656$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec38…fdfcbacked Yes | 4c | 8,700$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd8…3524backed Yes | 3c | 8,444$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.52 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 2c | 8,000$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 2c | 7,733$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.64 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 7,045$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.18 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd980…5be0backed Yes | 2c | 6,208$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.02 | 112 | 10.7%12 W · 100 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd016…373dbacked Yes | 1c | 6,141$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x277f…ed32backed Yes | 2c | 5,272$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4da…f756backed Yes | 3c | 5,033$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.75 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +6.7wins | +0.18per pick | 12cpaid | +349.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…5a39backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cde…374ebacked Yes | 2c | 4,361$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes | 0c | 3,460$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd3…7e6abacked Yes | 4c | 2,704$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22c2…85a2backed Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 3c | 2,125$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.26 | 85 | 5.9%5 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7991…24adbacked Yes | 2c | 2,125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 2c | 2,026$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 212 | 5.7%12 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4075…8fb8backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 4cpaid | +700%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 2c | 1,864$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +8.5wins | +0.15per pick | 3cpaid | +321.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf11c…72ffbacked Yes | 3c | 1,812$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb76f…970cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,750$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0294…e54fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,691$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7c…4094backed Yes | 3c | 1,521$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…b686backed Yes | 2c | 1,500$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 1c | 1,492$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb67f…e726backed Yes | 1c | 1,409$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…bb47backed Yes | 1c | 1,380$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 15.2%10 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb78a…8743backed Yes | 1c | 1,318$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 3c | 1,303$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 63 | 6.3%4 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,253$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x984d…b682backed Yes | 2c | 1,090$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…645bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,072$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa15e…b53bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,007$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa88d…221cbacked Yes | 2c | 999.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…5295backed Yes | 2c | 869.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 227 | 0.9%2 W · 225 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…b2eebacked Yes | 2c | 843.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcab9…2eccbacked Yes | 2c | 833.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 2c | 767.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 120 | 3.3%4 W · 116 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 3c | 682.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 107 | 3.7%4 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6f…5e44backed Yes | 3c | 668.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 4cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 3c | 637.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 146 | 3.4%5 W · 141 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 557.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 3c | 542.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 149 | 9.4%14 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…83d3backed Yes | 2c | 526.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0563…124dbacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 3c | 484.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce6…9c43backed Yes | 3c | 375.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…45edbacked Yes | 4c | 316.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4171…777bbacked Yes | 4c | 289.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $200 in January?this page
- Will Solana dip to $100 in January?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $110 in January?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $120 in January?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $30 in January?No won
- Will Solana dip to $40 in January?No won
- Will Solana dip to $50 in January?No won
- Will Solana dip to $60 in January?No won
- Will Solana dip to $80 in January?No won
- Will Solana dip to $90 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $130 in January?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $140 in January?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $150 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $160 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $170 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $180 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $190 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $210 in January?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.