Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80026e4a0a2aad15549a47671a54aa95afc86325c60481ca11c500025f68b926
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $213,423
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $230,698
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $213,423 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 289 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked No | 22c | 41,890$9,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,146.6 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 78c | 23,486$18,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,249.35 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed No | 14c | 13,571$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,887.47 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed Yes | 76c | 9,830$7,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,325.15 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 77c | 8,575$6,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,947.52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 66c | 7,749$5,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,653.76 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…cd8ebacked Yes | 76c | 6,599$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.7 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked No | 23c | 6,449$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.29 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked No | 24c | 6,202$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.45 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Yes | 78c | 6,085$4,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…d87bbacked No | 25c | 5,699$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 72c | 5,424$3,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.33 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e55…8ffdbacked No | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 21c | 4,245$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.93 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5d…1614backed Yes | 67c | 4,000$2,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.95 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 76c | 3,555$2,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.59 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked No | 18c | 3,469$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.43 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…ef76backed Yes | 77c | 3,219$2,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.65 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 16c | 3,216$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.27 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 23c | 2,634$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe32b…626ebacked No | 29c | 2,586$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.56 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 79c | 2,300$1,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 74c | 1,914$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.64 | 154 | 31.2%48 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf842…d1bdbacked Yes | 79c | 1,776$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 29c | 1,754$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.96 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…efeebacked No | 24c | 1,666$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.34 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 25c | 1,526$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.92 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93a9…0b88backed No | 36c | 1,396$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.53 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed No | 22c | 1,350$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.42 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -92.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 30c | 1,288$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.23 | 165 | 44.2%73 W · 92 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 77c | 1,011$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.2 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be5…c1b3backed Yes | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 29c | 1,000$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 19c | 973.51$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.13 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 64c | 967.31$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.23 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a3…9b79backed Yes | 73c | 950.98$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +102.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fd…d854backed No | 29c | 945.37$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 66c | 901.04$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.17 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 15c | 880$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.9 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b97…0efebacked Yes | 77c | 875.48$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +157.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 64c | 868.77$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.54 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2925…d61dbacked Yes | 77c | 844.74$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.29 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c16…6ae7backed Yes | 75c | 831.81$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048a…9be4backed No | 23c | 800$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 30c | 726.14$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.48 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed Yes | 76c | 718$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.5 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…3895backed No | 29c | 700$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 21c | 678.61$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.43 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 67c | 650$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…8895backed No | 23c | 641.63$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.37 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…9bedbacked Yes | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…91d5backed No | 22c | 599.19$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.91 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 18c | 585.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.23 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 25c | 567.9$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.99 | 248 | 31%77 W · 171 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed Yes | 71c | 544.95$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.55 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ec…b7a9backed Yes | 65c | 536.83$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 33c | 526.83$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.06 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32fd…5c8bbacked Yes | 65c | 526$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.7 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked No | 21c | 511.57$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.84 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -10.6wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed Yes | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked No | 23c | 499.97$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.99 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…87f7backed Yes | 69c | 443.68$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.29 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked No | 16c | 421.87$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.12 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…d0dbbacked Yes | 72c | 409.9$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 34c | 409.63$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.7 | 123 | 30.9%38 W · 85 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Yes | 79c | 408.99$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.89 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 32c | 402.57$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.49 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eae…5e6dbacked Yes | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…7a6fbacked Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…0d3fbacked Yes | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 15c | 398.44$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.32 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 36c | 392.57$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.76 | 182 | 37.4%68 W · 114 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16d1…f3e6backed Yes | 75c | 389.63$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…3365backed Yes | 78c | 384$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.79 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Yes | 78c | 382.86$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.23 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Yes | 77c | 378.97$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.31 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 22c | 372.04$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.54 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 25c | 342$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.66 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…dbabbacked No | 25c | 331.44$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.86 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 78c | 320.51$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 33c | 309.08$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.77 | 334 | 21.9%73 W · 261 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 29c | 308.41$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.94 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…96f4backed Yes | 78c | 308$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 74c | 306.21$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.73 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 15c | 300.02$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b0…8501backed No | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Yes | 75c | 298.95$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c10…c33bbacked Yes | 70c | 297.64$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Yes | 75c | 293.33$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6514…3e5bbacked No | 29c | 291$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x428f…5d1bbacked No | 30c | 288.55$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Yes | 77c | 257.07$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x751a…746dbacked Yes | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked No | 6c | 255$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 45c | 253.61$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.32 | 669 | 14.8%99 W · 570 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed No | 26c | 250$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed No | 29c | 250$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe82f…a089backed Yes | 78c | 250$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 72cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4b…f574backed Yes | 78c | 232.84$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?this page
- Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.