Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24027d1eae340ad8e656fd3070b53052792009d08a18268029cd8320b6b07404
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,694
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 78c | 17,267$13,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,858.66 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 23c | 12,817$2,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,925.62 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Yes | 29c | 8,625$2,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,468.59 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 77c | 7,543$5,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,734.89 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed Yes | 22c | 7,178$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.12 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…644ebacked Yes | 22c | 4,826$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed Yes | 14c | 4,664$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.82 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…d87bbacked Yes | 23c | 4,580$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 79c | 3,357$2,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.53 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed No | 77c | 3,278$2,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.29 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 74c | 2,955$2,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.88 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 32c | 2,360$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.37 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5d…1614backed No | 68c | 2,000$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.38 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 23c | 1,860$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.9 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 21c | 1,741$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.29 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 23c | 1,712$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.19 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 68c | 1,696$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.77 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 42c | 1,631$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.49 | 165 | 44.2%73 W · 92 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed No | 77c | 1,483$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.73 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked No | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.82 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 69c | 1,228$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.2 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Yes | 23c | 1,127$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.46 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -92.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2d…f0d4backed No | 78c | 1,125$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 29c | 999.94$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.99 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed No | 74c | 968.29$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 22c | 907.4$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.63 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 76c | 900$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 71c | 845.01$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.18 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea1…c38ebacked No | 77c | 800$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 70c | 776.15$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.66 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b97…0efebacked No | 77c | 761.21$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +157.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 78c | 753.52$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.66 | 248 | 31%77 W · 171 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 69c | 733.98$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.42 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 72c | 690.28$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.51 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 22c | 629$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.92 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x202d…c3b1backed No | 68c | 556$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked No | 77c | 550$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…efeebacked No | 76c | 550$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 66c | 527.39$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.36 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a3…9b79backed No | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +102.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes | 15c | 471.74$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.83 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa95a…cc43backed Yes | 14c | 461.37$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…91d5backed No | 77c | 454.33$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 55c | 446.34$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.46 | 272 | 22.1%60 W · 212 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked No | 37c | 422.79$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.21 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 78c | 418.58$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.89 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 65c | 409.96$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.69 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed No | 77c | 407$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.61 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 26c | 399.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 64c | 388.1$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.13 | 182 | 37.4%68 W · 114 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabca…8cd7backed Yes | 40c | 382.5$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed No | 66c | 379$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.86 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 63c | 371.79$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 123 | 30.9%38 W · 85 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 75c | 330$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32fd…5c8bbacked No | 66c | 312$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05ac…6d71backed No | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked No | 78c | 288$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…dbabbacked Yes | 25c | 285.72$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.43 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked No | 77c | 279.66$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.02 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 69c | 276.61$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.83 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc697…412bbacked Yes | 26c | 264$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 45c | 250.16$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.46 | 334 | 21.9%73 W · 261 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 77c | 250$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed Yes | 23c | 250$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa532…cc03backed No | 67c | 239.98$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.59 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…96f4backed No | 79c | 232$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4b…f574backed No | 77c | 226.63$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b34…4c88backed Yes | 25c | 225$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 25cpaid | +161.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed No | 67c | 222.42$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.09 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f6…e3f8backed Yes | 23c | 215.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed No | 78c | 211$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.42 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9e…6944backed No | 48c | 210.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.42 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 31c | 202.51$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.77 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbc…e435backed No | 77c | 200.91$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +119.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ab…a0efbacked No | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d57…419cbacked Yes | 15c | 198.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes | 34c | 184.5$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.89 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed No | 75c | 181.32$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 78c | 179.58$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.86 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked No | 75c | 177.33$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 43c | 172$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 154 | 31.2%48 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…0357backed Yes | 53c | 171.45$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.87 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Yes | 33c | 162.23$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.15 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed No | 78c | 160$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -7.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x789a…1ddabacked Yes | 15c | 155.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 65c | 155$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.97 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…ee24backed No | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…5e20backed No | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239f…8b82backed No | 74c | 150$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 66c | 144.28$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f72…22c7backed Yes | 23c | 143.63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 20c | 143.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 107 | 22.4%24 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 33c | 142.26$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.14 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x833a…dd63backed Yes | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed No | 40c | 132$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked No | 78c | 130$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…f8c9backed Yes | 9c | 125.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 13cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…fa20backed Yes | 21c | 125$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -5.0wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?this page
- Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.