Fifa International · resolved market
France leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c76158722fca7aca8a1e38c5f1692c02c1c91b2a4e388eb6109bb39e5d6e321
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $571,084
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $633,208
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $571,084 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 377 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 51c | 69,094$35,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,027.89 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 43c | 64,643$27,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,474.38 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 49c | 49,044$24,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,938.27 | 187 | 38%71 W · 116 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 43,401$25,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,606.77 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…e3bcbacked Yes | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 49c | 39,038$19,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,909.31 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x800f…3586backed Yes | 51c | 32,610$16,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,631.24 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -76%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2739…fd7cbacked Yes | 50c | 29,705$14,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,900 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed No | 50c | 29,412$14,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,706 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9538…edb2backed Yes | 0c | 27,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 50c | 25,853$12,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,926.44 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 51c | 20,402$10,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,041.19 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 43c | 15,469$6,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,674.41 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed No | 49c | 15,032$7,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,666.22 | 203 | 33.5%68 W · 135 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 34c | 14,055$4,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,828.07 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 50c | 13,372$6,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,686 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…ca95backed No | 50c | 11,634$5,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,874.11 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa487…6924backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…a70ebacked No | 50c | 9,605$4,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,802.43 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 50c | 7,020$3,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,510.07 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…248bbacked No | 50c | 6,010$3,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,004.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 50c | 5,281$2,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,663.54 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bf…f74bbacked Yes | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 50c | 4,312$2,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,143.02 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed Yes | 49c | 4,235$2,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,075.03 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 50c | 3,631$1,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,827.5 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Yes | 50c | 3,420$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.89 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 50c | 3,176$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.94 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 63c | 3,101$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.9 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc0…dcd8backed Yes | 49c | 3,010$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.83 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +8.2wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.04 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.98 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac2b…f419backed No | 57c | 2,949$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.2 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed No | 52c | 2,606$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.08 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed No | 50c | 2,581$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.35 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 49c | 2,387$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.24 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 278 | 20.1%56 W · 222 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15ec…267dbacked Yes | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.99 | 278 | 45.7%127 W · 151 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…2378backed Yes | 38c | 2,000$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.93 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Yes | 49c | 1,920$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.8 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 49c | 1,850$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.65 | 258 | 44.6%115 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6072…a182backed No | 49c | 1,657$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.09 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +6.1wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 390 | 50.8%198 W · 192 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…92b8backed Yes | 49c | 1,538$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.84 | 144 | 61.1%88 W · 56 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4911…7ba8backed Yes | 34c | 1,458$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea7…7fc0backed No | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 20c | 1,380$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 51c | 1,376$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…9b69backed Yes | 50c | 1,288$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644 | 473 | 21.6%102 W · 371 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc876…9903backed Yes | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 124 | 30.6%38 W · 86 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d8…a577backed No | 50c | 1,197$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.54 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…5a83backed No | 51c | 1,132$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.85 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc217…fd5abacked Yes | 49c | 1,122$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Yes | 48c | 1,000$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.02 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 366 | 31.1%114 W · 252 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 226 | 39.4%89 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d90…7e0abacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…57c8backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 326 | 47.9%156 W · 170 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b1…36dbbacked Yes | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Yes | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 250 | 38.8%97 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d4…7345backed No | 49c | 999.97$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.99 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x662b…73a8backed Yes | 51c | 988.76$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 272 | 36%98 W · 174 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed No | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 50c | 816$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 143 | 44.8%64 W · 79 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 50c | 812.24$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.4 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed No | 51c | 800$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c1…a09ebacked Yes | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f84…be62backed Yes | 13c | 766.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 49c | 765.67$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.59 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 54c | 754.09$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.19 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda20…cb8dbacked No | 49c | 750$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.5 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 50c | 746.27$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.14 | 399 | 51.4%205 W · 194 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 49c | 703.79$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.86 | 344 | 55.5%191 W · 153 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabea…72aebacked No | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e8…ab35backed Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…f85bbacked Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 58c | 658.13$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.28 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 49c | 602.96$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.51 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d7…7a20backed Yes | 50c | 593.8$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.39per pick | 21cpaid | +351%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 46c | 577$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.42 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Yes | 30c | 575.03$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.38 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 49c | 553.83$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.11 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ac…afa1backed Yes | 49c | 539$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.11 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…914ebacked Yes | 49c | 531.02$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.2 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2248…cad0backed Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8919…d64ebacked No | 50c | 510.67$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.34 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked No | 49c | 501.23$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.63 | 210 | 46.7%98 W · 112 L | +12.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09c1…0ddfbacked No | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked No | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23ee…15cbbacked No | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1f…6465backed No | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 136 | 41.2%56 W · 80 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde41…58bdbacked No | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…68b5backed Yes | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ab…178dbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 198 | 23.7%47 W · 151 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6347…4390backed Yes | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France leading at halftime?this page
- France vs. Senegal: Draw at halftime?Yes won
- Senegal leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.