Fifa International · resolved market
Senegal leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d0bae4a9033d5e07012ba7b8adef88024d3984e49e39ee500e35e79e9dc5e9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $160,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $159,653
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 12c | 24,988$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050.49 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa487…6924backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 13c | 7,973$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.55 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 13c | 7,446$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.69 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x654a…cc32backed Yes | 10c | 4,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 12c | 3,748$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.56 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa94…3601backed Yes | 13c | 3,512$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.52 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd5…5fddbacked Yes | 1c | 2,840$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 6c | 2,822$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.62 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46dd…257ebacked Yes | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 12c | 2,488$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.6 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd217…b3f3backed Yes | 12c | 1,500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 13c | 1,475$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.8 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f64…e6d1backed Yes | 12c | 1,282$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 12c | 1,183$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.96 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes | 10c | 999.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.91 | 366 | 31.1%114 W · 252 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 356 | 14.3%51 W · 305 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55cb…275abacked Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 8.7%9 W · 94 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -44%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 12c | 761.5$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.38 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed Yes | 13c | 627$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.51 | 203 | 33.5%68 W · 135 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0908…7355backed Yes | 13c | 600$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d36…3a47backed Yes | 14c | 540$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 14c | 500.92$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.13 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Yes | 13c | 461.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a6…08bfbacked Yes | 7c | 381.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf91…4c43backed Yes | 9c | 342.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes | 12c | 309$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Yes | 12c | 269.86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ec…1481backed Yes | 8c | 247.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 66 | 18.2%12 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b3…4779backed Yes | 8c | 235.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64f7…6e9abacked Yes | 7c | 224.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…43ddbacked Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 90 | 31.1%28 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf85…2785backed Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 13c | 154$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3019…631ebacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…dc7cbacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…236ebacked Yes | 13c | 146.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x375f…b494backed Yes | 13c | 144.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…2fc0backed Yes | 13c | 141.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 13c | 130.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 165 | 9.7%16 W · 149 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 12c | 121.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…428cbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 373 | 20.9%78 W · 295 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x684c…92f4backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Yes | 13c | 107.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f48…0e01backed Yes | 18c | 105.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 151 | 30.5%46 W · 105 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e9…1682backed Yes | 13c | 100.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x372e…4453backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 148 | 29.1%43 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e92…e4fcbacked Yes | 12c | 91.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Yes | 12c | 86.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 142 | 34.5%49 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc8…4bf5backed Yes | 13c | 84.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senegal leading at halftime?this page
- France leading at halftime?No won
- France vs. Senegal: Draw at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.