Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 November 17-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09e557032361e59ac327330db5a2dba3b1f74f7af10f2e96412af32f6c3f8c26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $398,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $422,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $398,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ff3…b0febacked Yes | 32c | 57,217$18,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,647.8 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5461…742fbacked No | 2c | 42,998$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed No | 42c | 22,095$9,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,382 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d08backed Yes | 46c | 14,191$6,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,598.4 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a92…071ebacked Yes | 57c | 10,963$6,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,678.58 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +9.0wins | +0.30per pick | 47cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Yes | 68c | 10,164$6,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,236.28 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa81e…03dcbacked No | 71c | 9,545$6,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,777.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 59c | 6,069$3,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,491.52 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc12a…dc73backed No | 67c | 5,688$3,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,810.96 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked No | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d0c…1e5dbacked Yes | 42c | 4,900$2,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,851.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +161.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x790e…76afbacked Yes | 36c | 4,351$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,782.19 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 55c | 4,180$2,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,312.98 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes | 50c | 4,032$2,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,018.05 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed No | 23c | 3,710$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84e8…d6c3backed Yes | 27c | 3,500$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,569.86 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dba…b54dbacked No | 60c | 3,331$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked No | 60c | 3,200$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…025bbacked No | 51c | 2,787$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.02 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b0…bd69backed Yes | 62c | 2,582$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed No | 56c | 2,207$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.96 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd47b…35d7backed Yes | 70c | 2,143$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b0…1f9abacked Yes | 19c | 2,000$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,627 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 15cpaid | +162.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b98…7545backed Yes | 30c | 1,264$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc006…1c7abacked Yes | 78c | 1,110$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.95 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f47…338ebacked Yes | 35c | 999.31$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.55 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc2…d2afbacked No | 67c | 968.66$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0b…fae6backed No | 72c | 961.11$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Yes | 61c | 933.94$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.41 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +5.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…7d33backed No | 67c | 894.46$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e0…b240backed No | 51c | 774.3$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 65cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x302e…00b6backed Yes | 61c | 754.1$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…cb3ebacked Yes | 51c | 750$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.5 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd99f…4768backed Yes | 46c | 647.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.06 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f87…c701backed Yes | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked No | 28c | 568.07$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.8 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 29c | 530.68$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.32 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 55c | 522.59$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.21 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…8f58backed No | 72c | 490$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd3…6279backed No | 68c | 489$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.03 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07e7…4f28backed Yes | 32c | 476.01$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.69 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a89…38e5backed No | 72c | 469$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d43…bec0backed No | 75c | 460$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5262…d072backed Yes | 35c | 451.43$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d71…87d5backed No | 72c | 450$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e6…d077backed Yes | 78c | 437.12$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.12 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +107.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98a9…5defbacked No | 71c | 424$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 34c | 407$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.9 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52fb…41dfbacked No | 72c | 377$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed No | 53c | 373.98$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb613…33afbacked No | 72c | 356$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5f…52e3backed No | 72c | 349$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee0…f452backed No | 72c | 345$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5738…5ca3backed Yes | 65c | 343.94$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.85 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 42c | 335$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.58 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf45e…962ebacked No | 72c | 329$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c4…0216backed Yes | 80c | 325$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x619e…3849backed No | 13c | 315.52$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a65…4e9fbacked Yes | 29c | 308.1$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +184.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed No | 46c | 301.87$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9d…889cbacked Yes | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +63%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf7…e8b1backed Yes | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0476…af71backed Yes | 60c | 300$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb18…1845backed Yes | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +63%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…e259backed Yes | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…6a83backed Yes | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7da2…27c7backed Yes | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…13e9backed Yes | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf1…51e2backed No | 73c | 297.55$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked No | 65c | 274.69$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked No | 43c | 265$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.95 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0d…118fbacked Yes | 72c | 255.02$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.77 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +47%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked Yes | 64c | 241$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.12 | 172 | 29.7%51 W · 121 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdff…806ebacked Yes | 47c | 220.43$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.56 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f1…5743backed Yes | 48c | 208.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.16 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf188…56f6backed Yes | 44c | 207.48$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a18…badcbacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf15f…37f7backed No | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked No | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…421abacked Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…644cbacked Yes | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9324…34f4backed Yes | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4de6…7048backed Yes | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ac…3bf7backed Yes | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71d…63d2backed No | 66c | 199.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb210…3d52backed No | 72c | 193$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50bc…0f1fbacked No | 70c | 189$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eeb…c3d7backed No | 55c | 160$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1f…3537backed Yes | 45c | 160$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51c…6142backed Yes | 76c | 154.34$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x897d…90c9backed No | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c4…d1d5backed Yes | 77c | 149.96$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.49 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa53e…0009backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b4…6f14backed Yes | 41c | 147.61$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.61 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +7.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccf6…50afbacked Yes | 68c | 145.7$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5f…f5d0backed Yes | 68c | 145.7$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6819…a670backed Yes | 68c | 145.7$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x402e…5d12backed Yes | 28c | 145.12$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.49 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0e…ce41backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 November 17-23?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 November 17-23?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 November 17-23?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 November 17-23?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 November 17-23?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $92,000 November 17-23?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $94,000 November 17-23?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 November 17-23?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $102,000 November 17-23?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $104,000 November 17-23?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $106,000 November 17-23?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $108,000 November 17-23?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 November 17-23?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 November 17-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.