Commodities · resolved market
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19858b84600b9ce0c64fb5b2a127921169dad7c8a216a0260f3d5662f2db6b28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,857,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,658,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,857,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb47a…6d60backed No | 58c | 68,999$40,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,714.75 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.5wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 10c | 60,226$5,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,933.9 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25db…28debacked Yes | 12c | 56,592$6,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,794.91 | 93 | 17.2%16 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 4c | 50,679$1,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,964.22 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 6c | 38,374$2,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,247.75 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…9b5cbacked Yes | 5c | 37,826$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefb3…02bfbacked No | 71c | 34,142$24,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,066.89 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x063b…7328backed Yes | 20c | 29,685$5,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,992.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Yes | 12c | 28,858$3,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,498.45 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…39eebacked Yes | 2c | 25,800$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes | 18c | 25,687$4,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,590.14 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…5b3fbacked Yes | 8c | 25,085$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4343…3be2backed Yes | 2c | 24,497$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 5cpaid | +182.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 16c | 22,448$3,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,552.7 | 117 | 34.2%40 W · 77 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dec…6205backed Yes | 33c | 22,159$7,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,310 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf600…5015backed Yes | 12c | 20,554$2,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,540.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac5…cf2ebacked Yes | 25c | 20,006$5,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,019.74 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 4c | 19,291$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.14 | 130 | 6.2%8 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274a…2246backed Yes | 2c | 18,825$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.56 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c6…6daabacked Yes | 2c | 17,450$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.35 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe661…b679backed Yes | 24c | 17,042$4,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,162.21 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 3c | 15,897$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.28 | 77 | 11.7%9 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc0…da93backed Yes | 20c | 15,335$3,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,090 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda71…9351backed Yes | 23c | 14,901$3,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,409.11 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -77%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Yes | 12c | 14,671$1,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820.92 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…5a25backed Yes | 2c | 14,500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…e203backed Yes | 42c | 14,178$5,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,954.63 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Yes | 4c | 14,045$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.19 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684f…d400backed Yes | 43c | 13,710$5,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,895.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x770e…7640backed Yes | 8c | 13,325$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.56 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a73…c046backed Yes | 10c | 13,250$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.54 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -4.4wins | -0.34per pick | 42cpaid | -88.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8e…9293backed Yes | 4c | 12,450$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdc…e19ebacked Yes | 24c | 12,449$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…e647backed Yes | 41c | 12,173$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f8…316dbacked No | 59c | 12,000$7,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,919.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +1,234.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x662b…8a95backed No | 59c | 11,337$6,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,617.39 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 11c | 11,086$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.6 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 12c | 10,761$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.77 | 46 | 10.9%5 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f42…205bbacked Yes | 1c | 10,199$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…aad7backed Yes | 1c | 10,119$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…5ababacked Yes | 5c | 10,056$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked Yes | 2c | 9,590$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.87 | 150 | 20.7%31 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 9,493$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.22 | 232 | 4.3%10 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecf…c870backed Yes | 16c | 9,335$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.22 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5007…eddabacked Yes | 22c | 9,064$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,993.98 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 2c | 8,880$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.33 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -55%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5226…8554backed No | 67c | 8,777$5,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,925.64 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +13.6wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 2c | 8,432$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.22 | 91 | 2.2%2 W · 89 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 25c | 8,256$2,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,056.04 | 307 | 18.6%57 W · 250 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf969…7ce8backed Yes | 13c | 8,065$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.57 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…7751backed Yes | 2c | 7,905$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 24c | 7,351$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.69 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes | 17c | 7,027$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.46 | 70 | 11.4%8 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…2c4ebacked Yes | 14c | 6,998$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 3c | 6,998$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.54 | 121 | 2.5%3 W · 118 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 58c | 6,619$3,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,780.13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +201.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fa…1a14backed Yes | 17c | 6,458$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.96 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7334…81dabacked Yes | 43c | 6,346$2,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,711.8 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed Yes | 5c | 6,338$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.29 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11bd…811abacked Yes | 2c | 6,175$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…ad9fbacked Yes | 19c | 6,155$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.9 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb935…204bbacked Yes | 3c | 5,949$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.35 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ee…a8aebacked Yes | 32c | 5,931$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904.77 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -4.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…c658backed Yes | 8c | 5,920$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.1 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd4…cd4abacked Yes | 12c | 5,917$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.68 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6739…72c0backed Yes | 12c | 5,833$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.79 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd5…b329backed Yes | 4c | 5,535$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.41 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd4…0796backed Yes | 21c | 5,456$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.75 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 18c | 5,443$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 2c | 5,442$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.67 | 81 | 2.5%2 W · 79 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78c3…7003backed No | 65c | 5,275$3,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…8145backed Yes | 16c | 5,140$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.63 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +197.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d9…ec6bbacked Yes | 1c | 5,100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9136…eec3backed Yes | 24c | 5,029$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46c7…47d9backed Yes | 13c | 5,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5abd…b58fbacked Yes | 8c | 4,933$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 24cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…c868backed Yes | 43c | 4,890$2,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,102.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa241…45f7backed Yes | 41c | 4,841$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc25…63e6backed Yes | 15c | 4,837$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.52 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -77%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda5…5fbebacked Yes | 2c | 4,769$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e80…9eadbacked Yes | 12c | 4,730$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.07 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca44…6d4ebacked Yes | 18c | 4,718$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.79 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbed…804ebacked Yes | 2c | 4,695$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.44 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 12c | 4,449$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.78 | 210 | 11.9%25 W · 185 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bff…ffbebacked No | 59c | 4,445$2,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,822.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…396dbacked Yes | 24c | 4,292$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a2…a06dbacked Yes | 1c | 4,236$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Yes | 2c | 4,203$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75f…433abacked Yes | 13c | 4,000$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Yes | 29c | 4,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.99 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 11c | 3,945$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.07 | 210 | 15.7%33 W · 177 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked Yes | 3c | 3,885$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.76 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,818$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18dc…03a2backed Yes | 21c | 3,751$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14a7…f75abacked Yes | 15c | 3,678$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…9f97backed Yes | 14c | 3,571$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b1…cffbbacked Yes | 5c | 3,519$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked Yes | 22c | 3,500$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa50b…74b2backed Yes | 43c | 3,488$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3af2…ddfcbacked Yes | 10c | 3,488$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?this page
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.