Bundesliga · resolved market
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20acbe16ab180278e7659aa8210cdff4fdb053704c77c4ec74663904b88f4e09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $347,036
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $385,368
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $347,036 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 285 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 22c | 64,545$14,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,199.81 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 78c | 20,147$15,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,399.12 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 79c | 16,714$13,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,511.18 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4900…4a72backed No | 70c | 13,050$9,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked No | 80c | 11,205$8,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240.9 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 10,605$2,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,359.05 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed No | 78c | 9,558$7,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.58 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…1d63backed No | 79c | 8,765$6,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,876.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed No | 55c | 8,519$4,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,833.75 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 79c | 7,562$5,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.21 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 39c | 7,049$2,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750.56 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 78c | 6,964$5,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.68 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes | 21c | 6,162$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 28cpaid | +74%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 21c | 5,050$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.5 | 71 | 11.3%8 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 4,747$3,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.28 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked No | 55c | 4,720$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 20c | 4,550$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f7…232cbacked Yes | 21c | 4,450$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2682…582abacked No | 79c | 4,005$3,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +48%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 79c | 4,000$3,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 20c | 3,806$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.24 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5793…a3e5backed Yes | 1c | 3,752$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed No | 79c | 3,500$2,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f20…96a8backed No | 79c | 3,322$2,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.62 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8675…e850backed Yes | 21c | 3,137$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.78 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed No | 56c | 3,088$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.5 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 79c | 3,000$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…b06bbacked Yes | 23c | 2,626$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed No | 51c | 2,600$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Yes | 18c | 2,439$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.08 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed No | 56c | 2,366$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.04 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 1c | 2,158$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 78c | 2,064$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.07 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 33c | 1,890$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.41 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed No | 59c | 1,862$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.71 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed No | 57c | 1,755$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.6 | 49 | 75.5%37 W · 12 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked No | 55c | 1,576$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 79c | 1,500$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.99 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Yes | 17c | 1,451$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.37 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 54c | 1,394$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.17 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed No | 78c | 1,350$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 46c | 1,172$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.12 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked No | 54c | 1,019$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.52 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 79c | 1,006$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.23 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae12…cbd0backed No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 37c | 908.54$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.16 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01bd…8357backed Yes | 23c | 823.67$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 10c | 748.98$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.46 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 9c | 685.52$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.76 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 21c | 678.1$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 72c | 652.4$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.69 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…99f7backed Yes | 4c | 634.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8529…b973backed Yes | 10c | 625.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.26 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…9e54backed Yes | 43c | 585.32$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Yes | 20c | 540$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes | 14c | 527.35$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.88 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 20c | 514.76$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 20c | 509.29$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.86 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 78c | 503.01$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db1…d726backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…f0babacked Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 18c | 496.54$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.46 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Yes | 5c | 487.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…4f62backed No | 64c | 484.29$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.53 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed No | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 35c | 440.29$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.04 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed Yes | 23c | 434$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f0…790cbacked Yes | 20c | 425$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…2c59backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked No | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed No | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecad…875cbacked Yes | 21c | 335$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.35 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd261…b663backed Yes | 20c | 320$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 39c | 315.48$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97a1…1dc5backed Yes | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 79c | 299.97$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.99 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…af03backed Yes | 21c | 295$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47d2…662abacked Yes | 10c | 286.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Yes | 25c | 281.46$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.16 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44a…8da6backed Yes | 23c | 278.26$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3b…0cf9backed No | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 79c | 270$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…19e9backed Yes | 22c | 269.05$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.19 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed No | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 45c | 253.91$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.26 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 29c | 252.84$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.47 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 61c | 249.98$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.49 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked No | 55c | 245.45$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.45 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e4…5e4ebacked Yes | 42c | 238.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 79c | 230$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bac6backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-28?this page
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.