Us Politics · resolved market
Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x860bf1f8ef6db53cbc9c73f86ef292947f5cf5769827bf1fc0c939be001c19f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $761,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $797,699
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $761,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 495 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 76c | 51,022$38,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,331.07 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed No | 12c | 36,054$4,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,401.03 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed No | 13c | 24,481$3,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,164.07 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 20c | 24,407$4,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,816.44 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 33c | 22,794$7,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,530.63 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 11c | 22,577$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480.46 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ce…beecbacked No | 32c | 21,282$6,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,905.28 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 15c | 19,046$2,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,871.25 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…422abacked No | 18c | 18,759$3,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,464.89 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 12c | 15,583$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,932.61 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed No | 33c | 12,600$4,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,141.68 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 0c | 11,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 61 | 0%0 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 42c | 10,229$4,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,297.03 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d2…2280backed No | 48c | 9,905$4,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,729.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -54%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed No | 15c | 8,691$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 67c | 8,220$5,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,546.19 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…fd8dbacked No | 16c | 5,881$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 17cpaid | +237.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed No | 6c | 5,750$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.08 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ce…16ecbacked No | 46c | 5,600$2,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,575.98 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed No | 33c | 4,314$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.87 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700c…9368backed No | 15c | 4,082$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…bf33backed No | 40c | 3,798$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7d…6cc4backed Yes | 77c | 3,704$2,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.02 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 69cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0518…5da2backed Yes | 56c | 3,657$2,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.86 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Yes | 76c | 3,500$2,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.27 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x183a…d514backed Yes | 77c | 3,386$2,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.9 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed Yes | 61c | 3,030$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.86 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22c…bfc7backed No | 2c | 2,945$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8d…84bcbacked No | 20c | 2,923$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.93 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aac…dfadbacked Yes | 53c | 2,886$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.18 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x705b…7483backed Yes | 66c | 2,777$1,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.39 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…45efbacked No | 8c | 2,756$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…04e4backed No | 10c | 2,678$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.85 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71dd…d61cbacked No | 76c | 2,669$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e08…9726backed No | 19c | 2,564$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed No | 75c | 2,475$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848.4 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe51…c0d3backed No | 11c | 2,429$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.23 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09d6…0fdabacked Yes | 54c | 2,207$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.39 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Yes | 47c | 2,069$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fb…71b7backed Yes | 26c | 1,932$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee29…8c8bbacked Yes | 53c | 1,905$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.74 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e59…a17cbacked Yes | 78c | 1,813$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.34 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…ef5fbacked Yes | 19c | 1,780$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +143.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 1,771$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.94 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cff…b104backed No | 29c | 1,670$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Yes | 61c | 1,666$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.74 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0282…d571backed No | 3c | 1,605$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc5…247cbacked Yes | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6256…7181backed No | 41c | 1,580$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c799backed No | 9c | 1,510$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed No | 13c | 1,500$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.35 | 187 | 25.1%47 W · 140 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed No | 42c | 1,475$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed No | 31c | 1,475$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd16c…60e9backed Yes | 69c | 1,355$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 27c | 1,346$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.56 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…dd1dbacked Yes | 73c | 1,221$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fec…c965backed Yes | 75c | 1,213$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.06 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 65c | 1,200$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…c908backed No | 50c | 1,200$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef67…2a33backed No | 10c | 1,146$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.65 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c8…e7acbacked No | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.89 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5950…8c48backed Yes | 55c | 1,100$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 13c | 1,076$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.88 | 111 | 20.7%23 W · 88 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +212.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…5243backed Yes | 64c | 1,063$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.77 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +1,019.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…ba8abacked No | 14c | 1,052$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc06f…ac41backed Yes | 78c | 1,046$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…0ebabacked No | 29c | 1,022$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed No | 18c | 1,013$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.15 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb1…b027backed No | 31c | 1,012$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.19 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 26cpaid | -71%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed No | 11c | 1,005$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed Yes | 19c | 1,004$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b64…49bdbacked Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked No | 13c | 991.17$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.85 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked No | 15c | 978.59$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…aa73backed No | 2c | 974.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…6c5bbacked Yes | 27c | 960.41$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 60c | 956.86$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.32 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed No | 73c | 948.38$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.31 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 68cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 80c | 948.06$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.31 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…81d5backed Yes | 22c | 927.06$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed No | 12c | 876.63$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a5…5f3cbacked Yes | 59c | 872.69$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.39 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 77c | 849.49$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.99 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef5…9e19backed Yes | 23c | 816.65$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.85 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 22cpaid | +171.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 31c | 808.46$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.11 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd02e…4cf2backed Yes | 61c | 803.25$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.75 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4e…31cbbacked Yes | 74c | 800.58$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.09 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c85…9e34backed No | 3c | 800.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…c3dabacked Yes | 65c | 800$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f3…05a3backed No | 26c | 795.19$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…e3e2backed No | 39c | 791$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.68 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7964…f585backed No | 46c | 769.57$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…ea94backed No | 22c | 767.82$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes | 50c | 752.46$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.23 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1eb…7afebacked Yes | 75c | 750$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f31…c075backed No | 17c | 745.2$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe14f…c1a0backed No | 2c | 734.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +36%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 20c | 733.59$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.41 | 149 | 35.6%53 W · 96 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed No | 77c | 728.61$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.49 | 219 | 35.2%77 W · 142 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa2…453ebacked Yes | 56c | 674.96$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.21 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.