Us Politics · resolved market
Will Eric Adams drop out?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91dbde104fee004a34f638f9a49d7fb8d4e8bc75e213aab92cd853cbbc4c9c90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,524,518
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,561,294
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,524,518 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,539 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe1e7…5fb6backed Yes | 57c | 108,831$61,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,335.87 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed No | 33c | 98,157$32,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,865.38 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 45c | 80,859$36,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,592.01 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x955c…990fbacked No | 45c | 69,151$31,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,347.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 39c | 68,198$26,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,700.74 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfe…0845backed No | 25c | 67,491$16,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,600.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…c7c3backed No | 56c | 66,069$37,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,061.72 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc284…55dbbacked Yes | 64c | 60,864$38,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,883.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +130.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed No | 27c | 54,026$14,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,853.58 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +6.1wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +55%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 31c | 48,818$15,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,241.26 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 71c | 46,867$33,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,659.13 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6d…1e7cbacked No | 1c | 42,600$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Yes | 56c | 40,171$22,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,630.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45e…605fbacked No | 37c | 35,491$13,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,061.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 41c | 33,170$13,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,761.28 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 46c | 32,146$14,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,851.32 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…758ebacked Yes | 71c | 30,849$21,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,052.97 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c9…6ef7backed Yes | 51c | 28,343$14,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,003.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 46c | 21,253$9,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,709.59 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Yes | 76c | 20,000$15,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,804.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b1…d224backed Yes | 59c | 19,028$11,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,792.49 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 36cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes | 49c | 17,772$8,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,988.67 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…97d6backed Yes | 60c | 15,944$9,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,334.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed No | 40c | 15,646$6,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,289.39 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b44…264ebacked Yes | 63c | 15,374$9,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,678.45 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +7.5wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed No | 34c | 15,269$5,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,177.81 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…2f22backed No | 33c | 15,147$4,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,991.63 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +6.9wins | +0.17per pick | 31cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Yes | 48c | 14,717$7,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,689.07 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 66c | 14,069$9,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,746.04 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 25c | 13,996$3,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,539.07 | 137 | 14.6%20 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Yes | 63c | 13,707$8,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,021.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db7…7e1fbacked No | 24c | 13,418$3,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,220.41 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xed7c…da06backed No | 33c | 13,358$4,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,460.67 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked No | 28c | 13,001$3,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,692.72 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b2…1f2cbacked Yes | 63c | 11,981$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,481.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1295…640dbacked Yes | 80c | 10,975$8,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +135.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 29c | 10,875$3,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,205.31 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x488e…ffd8backed Yes | 33c | 10,321$3,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,932.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +204.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1de…5834backed No | 35c | 10,139$3,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,505.91 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed No | 27c | 10,083$2,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,697.35 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c9…2e68backed Yes | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,999.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +210.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71e5…d10bbacked No | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.98 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed No | 22c | 9,890$2,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,166.11 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +9.9wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked Yes | 55c | 9,850$5,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,466.4 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +12.8wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4453…1f25backed Yes | 63c | 9,142$5,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,418.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +213.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bcc9backed Yes | 54c | 9,000$4,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,168.63 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 45c | 8,798$3,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,962.11 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b66…26c9backed No | 46c | 8,616$3,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,949.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…819ebacked Yes | 64c | 8,568$5,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,123.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 31c | 8,180$2,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,529.32 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…5896backed Yes | 70c | 7,908$5,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,395.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 66c | 7,860$5,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,646.2 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf501…8852backed No | 52c | 7,712$4,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,045.12 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked No | 33c | 7,525$2,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,515.58 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 23c | 7,484$1,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720.65 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes | 69c | 7,250$4,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,254.48 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked No | 45c | 7,237$3,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,286.12 | 103 | 24.3%25 W · 78 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 41c | 7,227$2,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,938.19 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 69c | 7,170$4,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,216.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ea…7a3dbacked Yes | 69c | 7,106$4,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,202.34 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked No | 43c | 7,091$3,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,021.83 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c9…ab2ebacked Yes | 64c | 7,000$4,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,535.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54bb…35e5backed Yes | 59c | 6,959$4,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,849.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27a…4cdebacked Yes | 58c | 6,852$4,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,851.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 42c | 6,834$2,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,837.91 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed No | 43c | 6,698$2,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,861.04 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 40c | 6,670$2,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,667.33 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed Yes | 41c | 6,594$2,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,915.14 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1537…c480backed Yes | 44c | 6,523$2,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,621.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…fe12backed Yes | 69c | 6,217$4,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,935.67 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked No | 42c | 6,142$2,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,593.85 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…2657backed No | 44c | 6,123$2,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,694.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c87…9bd4backed Yes | 33c | 6,036$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,064.54 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…7771backed Yes | 65c | 5,988$3,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +161.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed No | 42c | 5,908$2,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,473.4 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…e8d7backed Yes | 76c | 5,826$4,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.8 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 49c | 5,699$2,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,780.62 | 216 | 34.3%74 W · 142 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked No | 2c | 5,556$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.1 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x700c…9368backed Yes | 59c | 5,525$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,275.48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d73…bae7backed Yes | 65c | 5,509$3,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,942.29 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e7c…596cbacked Yes | 60c | 5,363$3,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.81 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…e63bbacked Yes | 63c | 5,044$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked No | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed No | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 64c | 4,987$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,787.86 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30f…f4ddbacked Yes | 75c | 4,868$3,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 60c | 4,800$2,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,889.56 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0e…434ebacked Yes | 63c | 4,781$3,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,767.86 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 10c | 4,700$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 132 | 16.7%22 W · 110 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ff…55bdbacked Yes | 59c | 4,592$2,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904.79 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…df43backed No | 41c | 4,499$1,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,844.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…658ebacked Yes | 66c | 4,475$2,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,528.54 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 35c | 4,357$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.25 | 236 | 39.4%93 W · 143 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…adabbacked No | 27c | 4,343$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.55 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…9ff2backed Yes | 63c | 4,321$2,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.34 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db7…c901backed Yes | 68c | 4,291$2,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.01 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…7bd8backed No | 27c | 4,187$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d2…d685backed No | 27c | 4,174$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed No | 36c | 4,122$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.25 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…2ab2backed Yes | 32c | 3,901$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,647.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 23cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.