TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

49ers vs. Buccaneers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Buccaneersof 49ers, Buccaneers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,675,890
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,682,948

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,675,890 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 549 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xed88…f3c4backed Buccaneers64c1,251,333$800,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450,479.738344.6%37 W · 46 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5681…e113backed 49ers36c988,597$355,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355,894.831546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked 49ers35c241,216$83,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83,401.9147738.6%184 W · 293 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3672…edbdbacked Buccaneers79c163,561$128,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,071.224250%21 W · 21 L-5.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked 49ers36c123,324$44,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,396.7114351%73 W · 70 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked 49ers36c75,732$27,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,263.497554.7%41 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed 49ers18c61,632$10,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,979.159944.4%44 W · 55 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed 49ers36c55,000$19,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,80024957%142 W · 107 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed 49ers32c53,000$17,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,007.0613843.5%60 W · 78 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Buccaneers64c52,791$33,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,004.62661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed 49ers31c42,105$13,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,025.6720755.1%114 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked 49ers37c40,000$14,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,80024652%128 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked 49ers37c40,000$14,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,8005048%24 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Buccaneers67c29,831$20,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,709.8741947.3%198 W · 221 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed 49ers37c27,027$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00018650%93 W · 93 L+9.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed Buccaneers63c26,000$16,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,62016545.5%75 W · 90 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Buccaneers67c24,495$16,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,037.1644652.9%236 W · 210 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed 49ers37c24,401$8,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,922.5914951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Buccaneers68c24,211$16,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,833.6530043.7%131 W · 169 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed 49ers27c22,078$5,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,948.212138.8%47 W · 74 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed 49ers40c20,000$8,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,085.8413654.4%74 W · 62 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Buccaneers63c17,978$11,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,651.8230743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed 49ers37c17,500$6,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,474.998946.1%41 W · 48 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed 49ers36c17,337$6,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,291.222450%112 W · 112 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Buccaneers64c16,563$10,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,957.8654451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfcc…441bbacked Buccaneers64c15,625$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,6253138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-29.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked 49ers9c15,443$1,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,456.8920026%52 W · 148 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaf0…153ebacked Buccaneers67c15,090$10,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,973.41154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed 49ers36c13,504$4,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,804.2922950.2%115 W · 114 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Buccaneers59c13,218$7,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,420.8225956.8%147 W · 112 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed 49ers36c12,986$4,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,67513142%55 W · 76 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Buccaneers64c10,625$6,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,82511649.1%57 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Buccaneers60c10,624$6,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,260.6461148.6%297 W · 314 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed 49ers32c10,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,20010333%34 W · 69 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Buccaneers64c9,825$6,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5376965.2%45 W · 24 L+9.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+30.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Buccaneers69c9,531$6,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,938.2419235.4%68 W · 124 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-35%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked 49ers37c8,000$2,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,96051352.2%268 W · 245 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Buccaneers70c7,618$5,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,291.1331056.8%176 W · 134 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed 49ers36c7,500$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70014450%72 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked 49ers37c7,195$2,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,697.851225%3 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b1…968abacked 49ers37c6,757$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5007939.2%31 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed 49ers30c6,676$2,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,002.853056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked 49ers36c6,645$2,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,392.3683147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b86…0669backed 49ers37c6,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20010434.6%36 W · 68 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Buccaneers62c6,000$3,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,279.9514757.1%84 W · 63 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed 49ers1c5,951$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.517733.8%26 W · 51 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ac1…45dbbacked Buccaneers63c5,549$3,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,026.487754.5%42 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed 49ers36c5,500$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9808845.5%40 W · 48 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked 49ers35c5,449$1,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9071,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked 49ers36c5,382$1,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,943.2641248.5%200 W · 212 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Buccaneers63c5,137$3,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,900.816544.6%29 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf05…70dabacked Buccaneers69c5,093$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,592.5714763.9%94 W · 53 L+12.0wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked 49ers6c5,044$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.9120634.5%71 W · 135 L-0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x532f…83ccbacked 49ers37c5,003$1,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,851.11520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed 49ers36c5,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80014342%60 W · 83 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Buccaneers63c5,000$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,85010552.4%55 W · 50 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked 49ers37c5,000$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8503452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Buccaneers63c5,000$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,849.972556%14 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+31.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf341…d026backed 49ers39c4,910$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9001855.6%10 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick37cpaid+32.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked 49ers39c4,780$1,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,857.224456.6%138 W · 106 L+17.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf8df…2521backed Buccaneers63c4,698$2,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,738.26580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+30%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed 49ers24c4,605$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.1768446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcec6…47c1backed Buccaneers75c4,558$3,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.961566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+50.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x63c6…4cc5backed Buccaneers65c4,400$2,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,560.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Buccaneers71c4,225$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.356459.4%38 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Buccaneers71c4,207$3,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.927348.7%133 W · 140 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68ce…d06dbacked 49ers31c4,157$1,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,306.462030%6 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-43.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x68db…e12bbacked 49ers20c4,103$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.1313435.8%48 W · 86 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x194f…3d95backed 49ers38c3,947$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-50%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed 49ers32c3,906$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2508648.8%42 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ff9…bb89backed 49ers37c3,800$1,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4069952.5%52 W · 47 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Buccaneers59c3,741$2,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,533.8810462.5%65 W · 39 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+45.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4c86…366bbacked Buccaneers67c3,716$2,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,223.582245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed 49ers36c3,500$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,27025744.4%114 W · 143 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked 49ers1c3,270$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.71486.8%10 W · 138 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick2cpaid+296.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98b1…d855backed 49ers28c3,235$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.22560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked 49ers1c3,217$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.471128%9 W · 103 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick4cpaid+413.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2e0…4983backed Buccaneers75c3,128$2,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.892560%15 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Buccaneers72c3,079$2,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.2527644.2%122 W · 154 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Buccaneers64c3,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08017144.4%76 W · 95 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Buccaneers71c3,000$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.995459.3%32 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3d8c…1eb7backed 49ers37c2,975$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.63922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-66.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Buccaneers61c2,751$1,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.7753348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked 49ers39c2,706$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.2432050.9%163 W · 157 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed 49ers36c2,705$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.831854.7%174 W · 144 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9195…72a4backed 49ers37c2,703$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+35.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x14cf…0856backed 49ers34c2,665$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9008451.2%43 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Buccaneers64c2,579$1,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.2518140.9%74 W · 107 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+42.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed 49ers36c2,500$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90018435.9%66 W · 118 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5df…2f2dbacked Buccaneers64c2,344$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.751040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-37.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked 49ers32c2,145$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.054247.6%20 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed 49ers37c2,027$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.9937350.9%190 W · 183 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a8b…b1c8backed 49ers21c2,010$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.414445.8%66 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x205b…dd3cbacked Buccaneers58c2,000$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.6614148.2%68 W · 73 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked 49ers37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7408622.1%19 W · 67 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ff3…7d00backed 49ers38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7604327.9%12 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6d5…1ccbbacked 49ers37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7403372.7%24 W · 9 L+6.0wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+29.7%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed 49ers42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cc1…6653backed 49ers37c1,950$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e9a…5b99backed Buccaneers64c1,924$1,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.743360.6%20 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.