Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $230 in August?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7421946b47265a3024d119e2f3e32275e4c1beabf4aa6e87af2e457f9d98936d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $781,274
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $842,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $781,274 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb68a…c568backed Yes | 16c | 79,157$12,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,920.8 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…8abebacked No | 71c | 73,899$52,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,497.17 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x104a…5b05backed Yes | 19c | 35,571$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 30c | 34,843$10,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,520.61 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed Yes | 26c | 32,028$8,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,254.35 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd2…d91ebacked No | 79c | 15,600$12,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,239.88 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed Yes | 15c | 15,221$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed No | 78c | 15,088$11,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,373.85 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f7…4899backed No | 80c | 12,460$9,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,512.63 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ba…c0eebacked No | 68c | 12,065$8,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,860.8 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xebf7…da78backed No | 70c | 11,940$8,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,594.76 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 78c | 11,204$8,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,431.16 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdab4…7b5abacked No | 74c | 10,433$7,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,735.57 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca9…ad82backed Yes | 8c | 9,510$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.05 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce8f…4400backed No | 54c | 9,384$5,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,360.28 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed No | 79c | 7,980$6,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,694.08 | 138 | 63%87 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9d…4d8bbacked No | 67c | 7,500$4,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,512.5 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…a7babacked No | 67c | 7,429$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,429.17 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…a0f9backed Yes | 16c | 7,173$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.41 | 128 | 24.2%31 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…92e7backed Yes | 23c | 5,867$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.51 | 325 | 24.3%79 W · 246 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…bf0fbacked No | 67c | 5,500$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800.03 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 27c | 5,356$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.12 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc53c…0eb4backed No | 69c | 5,015$3,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.33 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed No | 58c | 5,000$2,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100.65 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 26c | 4,344$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.07 | 81 | 16%13 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes | 33c | 4,229$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.62 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0856…a569backed No | 70c | 4,116$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…5cc5backed Yes | 50c | 3,825$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,911.97 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed Yes | 31c | 2,623$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.69 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…5295backed Yes | 2c | 2,522$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 227 | 0.9%2 W · 225 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 33c | 2,481$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.73 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df0…2bfcbacked No | 67c | 2,400$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.09 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ca…0138backed No | 68c | 2,400$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.47 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…bfc5backed No | 75c | 2,311$1,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.5 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed No | 70c | 2,288$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.9 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d40…28e9backed No | 66c | 2,236$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.34 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ea…60c2backed No | 72c | 2,143$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.32 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…54efbacked No | 70c | 2,131$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.88 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef1d…555fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e45…3662backed No | 78c | 1,809$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.83 | 32 | 84.4%27 W · 5 L | +7.9wins | +0.25per pick | 60cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd321…a77fbacked No | 69c | 1,659$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.74 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05bf…1ab0backed Yes | 20c | 1,565$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8f…0644backed No | 71c | 1,482$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.42 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a38…360bbacked Yes | 20c | 1,319$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.08 | 116 | 5.2%6 W · 110 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed No | 70c | 1,269$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.57 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 64c | 1,176$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.38 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718a…5d86backed No | 62c | 1,173$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b2…17e4backed No | 59c | 1,100$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked Yes | 26c | 1,047$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 14cpaid | -88.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2154…715cbacked No | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…2ef6backed Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +10.2wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…b36abacked Yes | 12c | 894.16$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.99 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -86%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d5…72ffbacked Yes | 12c | 825.76$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…839fbacked No | 71c | 800$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x308a…95ffbacked No | 65c | 800$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed No | 72c | 764.99$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.25 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf252…8208backed No | 76c | 673.19$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.02 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked No | 72c | 666$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.48 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…7d33backed No | 69c | 616.35$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.35 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 23c | 606.27$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.73 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 31c | 600$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x967c…5d9fbacked Yes | 34c | 417.28$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.87 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 44cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51c8…5c6bbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aef…9efebacked No | 71c | 364.24$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8b…e99fbacked No | 61c | 352$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.02 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed No | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked No | 68c | 315$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.8 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked No | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa429…a96cbacked Yes | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d7…3d6bbacked No | 72c | 287.13$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.33 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d73…d6dfbacked Yes | 4c | 284.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f59…d38cbacked No | 72c | 279.98$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b26…9bc4backed Yes | 10c | 269$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c12…93a7backed Yes | 38c | 261.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02df…22e1backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed No | 78c | 250$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ea…0a00backed No | 72c | 250$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9567…e505backed No | 69c | 250$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed No | 77c | 246.94$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.94 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5020…215fbacked Yes | 42c | 240.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172e…21d6backed Yes | 35c | 239.16$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.43 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…36bebacked Yes | 23c | 239.13$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66ef…f738backed No | 69c | 217.45$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.44 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…30b5backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…879dbacked No | 61c | 196.76$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.61 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed No | 59c | 193.59$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.37 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee50…8494backed No | 72c | 180.69$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd031…b594backed No | 67c | 163.08$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed No | 73c | 161.48$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x89d2…5579backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc3…49cabacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6fa…b69cbacked No | 77c | 154.58$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5025…dd30backed No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…4adbbacked No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb17…5d7bbacked No | 75c | 133.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7341…0cd0backed No | 75c | 132.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0dc…2d89backed Yes | 31c | 129.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4a…62b1backed Yes | 48c | 114.58$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $230 in August?this page
- Will Solana dip to $100 in August?No won
- Will Solana dip to $130 in August?No won
- Will Solana dip to $140 in August?No won
- Will Solana dip to $145 in August?No won
- Will Solana dip to $150 in August?No won
- Will Solana dip to $155 in August?No won
- Will Solana dip to $160 in August?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $165 in August?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $175 in August?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $180 in August?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $185 in August?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $190 in August?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $195 in August?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $200 in August?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $210 in August?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $220 in August?No won
- Will Solana reach $250 in August?No won
- Will Solana reach $290 in August?No won
- Will Solana reach $340 in August?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.