TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Solana reach $250 in August?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,325,499
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,463,607

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,325,499 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x104a…5b05backed Yes9c160,491$13,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,8008017.5%14 W · 66 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-42.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb68a…c568backed Yes8c39,708$3,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,091.822216.2%36 W · 186 L-14.9wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-65.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a85…fe9dbacked Yes9c38,500$3,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,403.021010%1 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-61.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes13c35,495$4,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,735.1718425%46 W · 138 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes9c34,412$3,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,048.0825824%62 W · 196 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55be…dca3backed Yes11c29,963$3,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,181.3829126.5%77 W · 214 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2217…3834backed Yes4c29,593$1,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,256.1740%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdd0…64e9backed Yes15c28,940$4,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,3991533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+35.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ca9…ad82backed Yes7c27,711$2,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,041.06130%0 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x70a4…eff2backed Yes11c26,400$2,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,996.928713.8%12 W · 75 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-29.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13cb…a48abacked Yes3c21,464$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.559913.1%13 W · 86 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick12cpaid-54.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00b7…ab78backed Yes5c20,000$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick27cpaid-70.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x615e…5295backed Yes4c15,609$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.032270.9%2 W · 225 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d5c…7d29backed Yes10c15,404$1,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,564.77328.8%21 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick22cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6590…3a26backed Yes0c15,150$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.32290%0 W · 229 L-0.3wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdab4…7b5abacked No78c10,802$8,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,411.512871.4%20 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe3da…a0f9backed Yes10c10,461$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.412824.2%31 W · 97 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes7c9,426$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.771,8444.4%81 W · 1,763 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1d5…72ffbacked Yes7c8,113$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.51618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-62.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bc7…7e20backed Yes4c7,315$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.14166.3%1 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-75.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b12…bf0fbacked Yes22c7,000$1,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5156950.7%35 W · 34 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb07a…98f7backed Yes15c5,870$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.161816.7%3 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-43.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66d0…b3d2backed Yes5c5,066$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.7860%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes7c4,697$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.648116%13 W · 68 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc50…4c82backed Yes9c4,573$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.1858126.9%156 W · 425 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-39.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bb7…44f2backed Yes5c3,581$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.89128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick15cpaid-88.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5825…da7ebacked Yes6c3,445$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.674617.4%8 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick10cpaid-33%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa283…6309backed Yes5c3,329$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17130%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcae8…6ababacked Yes9c3,012$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fbe…1c89backed Yes5c2,548$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201931.6%6 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-30.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x79d4…9dafbacked No76c2,500$1,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6052015%3 W · 17 L-6.0wins-0.30per pick45cpaid-74.5%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xc2b7…1efabacked Yes27c2,333$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.38450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes16c2,300$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.9915023.3%35 W · 115 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-41.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x505d…7d62backed Yes6c2,295$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142439.3%4 W · 39 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-63.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3da…3d6abacked Yes9c2,278$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.762516%4 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-72.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a38…360bbacked Yes11c2,231$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.121165.2%6 W · 110 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick11cpaid-77.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe264…7a75backed Yes5c2,041$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001625%4 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-46.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10cf…6a7cbacked Yes10c2,037$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.82313%3 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-39.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb78b…5d40backed Yes12c2,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23040%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57e9…df05backed Yes30c1,899$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.95666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes12c1,733$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.564812%78 W · 570 L-61.6wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-53.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa429…a96cbacked Yes6c1,620$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6690%0 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8666…d7c7backed Yes15c1,574$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.55933.9%20 W · 39 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe661…3cffbacked Yes24c1,525$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0556…b36abacked Yes5c1,289$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.23362.8%1 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-86%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x108d…508abacked Yes14c1,221$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.7234.3%1 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick14cpaid-88.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6b6…af8bbacked No80c1,065$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.8514075.7%106 W · 34 L+17.6wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+22.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xaf33…3727backed Yes26c1,058$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.850%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bd3…96a7backed Yes7c1,007$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.143122.6%7 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-31%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc073…ab63backed Yes22c1,007$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x450a…c24fbacked Yes10c1,001$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-45.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68db…e12bbacked Yes25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e45…af55backed Yes6c989$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x773a…9f52backed Yes9c880.4$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a1d…b971backed Yes4c861.38$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50b2…c94abacked No77c765$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.054949%24 W · 25 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1517…edb4backed Yes8c680.15$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdef6…29fdbacked Yes29c680$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1883…85f3backed No80c600$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b26…9bc4backed Yes10c542.1$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.131414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-52.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Yes19c535.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xebc1…1173backed Yes4c526.69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201816.7%3 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-29.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f71…912dbacked Yes7c506.54$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.29695.8%4 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb64f…6c58backed Yes11c499.47$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.443915.4%6 W · 33 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-53.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x591f…5610backed Yes11c478.8$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.261758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf475…ee8cbacked Yes9c448.94$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40110%0 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed No79c429.18$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.841553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x837b…e8bebacked Yes9c424.79$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402313%3 W · 20 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick12cpaid-61.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dda…8e6dbacked Yes29c409.67$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…36bebacked Yes24c408.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060%0 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8663…25d5backed Yes25c399.9$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+122.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77eb…9d5cbacked Yes13c397.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63aa…a9ccbacked No76c396.28$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.561485.7%12 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick69cpaid+27.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x89d2…5579backed Yes25c395.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2510…60adbacked No76c394.29$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.296564.6%42 W · 23 L+6.9wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+15.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfac9…57d2backed Yes8c387.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30825%2 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+186.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1d0…438dbacked Yes6c372.3$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3430531.1%95 W · 210 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd29…102cbacked Yes28c370$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.8470%0 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22af…399abacked Yes6c341$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.162317.4%4 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-30.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1916…b8edbacked Yes31c325.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2fc…df59backed Yes7c312.58$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6330%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6533…46d4backed Yes7c303.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69e2…23a8backed Yes5c298.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.36110%0 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d75…bbe7backed Yes8c297$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacaa…b7f2backed Yes6c294$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa800…b534backed No79c292.95$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.931181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick72cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9e1…2b6abacked Yes5c291$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc355…8a90backed Yes9c275.3$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.751181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick60cpaid+46.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x39b8…b619backed Yes8c260.64$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.690%0 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c66…dc0dbacked No78c255.01$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.041464.3%9 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick74cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb32…9ce8backed Yes19c216.48$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a1b…8d9abacked Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1050%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc149…2c8cbacked Yes24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.440%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0da7…ca6cbacked Yes8c195.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e31…0f90backed Yes27c185.87$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+19.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3f4…aea3backed Yes9c182.24$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.56475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66eb…dc59backed Yes14c181.16$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9feb…f73ebacked Yes19c180$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea4c…241cbacked Yes23c180$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf2a…bf19backed Yes28c176.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.