Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $250 in August?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4817a6477eacb25cdb7b000ce3a7478bfd323cb01f161491f994f791e9ae2f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,325,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,463,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,325,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x104a…5b05backed Yes | 9c | 160,491$13,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,800 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…c568backed Yes | 8c | 39,708$3,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,091.8 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a85…fe9dbacked Yes | 9c | 38,500$3,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,403.02 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes | 13c | 35,495$4,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,735.17 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 9c | 34,412$3,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,048.08 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed Yes | 11c | 29,963$3,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,181.38 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…3834backed Yes | 4c | 29,593$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd0…64e9backed Yes | 15c | 28,940$4,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca9…ad82backed Yes | 7c | 27,711$2,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041.06 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a4…eff2backed Yes | 11c | 26,400$2,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,996.92 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13cb…a48abacked Yes | 3c | 21,464$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.55 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…ab78backed Yes | 5c | 20,000$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…5295backed Yes | 4c | 15,609$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.03 | 227 | 0.9%2 W · 225 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5c…7d29backed Yes | 10c | 15,404$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564.7 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 15,150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdab4…7b5abacked No | 78c | 10,802$8,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,411.51 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…a0f9backed Yes | 10c | 10,461$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.4 | 128 | 24.2%31 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 9,426$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.77 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d5…72ffbacked Yes | 7c | 8,113$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.5 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc7…7e20backed Yes | 4c | 7,315$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.14 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…bf0fbacked Yes | 22c | 7,000$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb07a…98f7backed Yes | 15c | 5,870$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.16 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66d0…b3d2backed Yes | 5c | 5,066$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.78 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 7c | 4,697$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.64 | 81 | 16%13 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 9c | 4,573$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.18 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb7…44f2backed Yes | 5c | 3,581$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.89 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…da7ebacked Yes | 6c | 3,445$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.67 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -33%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa283…6309backed Yes | 5c | 3,329$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcae8…6ababacked Yes | 9c | 3,012$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbe…1c89backed Yes | 5c | 2,548$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79d4…9dafbacked No | 76c | 2,500$1,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -6.0wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b7…1efabacked Yes | 27c | 2,333$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes | 16c | 2,300$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.99 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505d…7d62backed Yes | 6c | 2,295$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 43 | 9.3%4 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3da…3d6abacked Yes | 9c | 2,278$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.76 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a38…360bbacked Yes | 11c | 2,231$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.12 | 116 | 5.2%6 W · 110 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe264…7a75backed Yes | 5c | 2,041$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…6a7cbacked Yes | 10c | 2,037$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.8 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb78b…5d40backed Yes | 12c | 2,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e9…df05backed Yes | 30c | 1,899$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 12c | 1,733$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.5 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa429…a96cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,620$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.66 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8666…d7c7backed Yes | 15c | 1,574$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.5 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe661…3cffbacked Yes | 24c | 1,525$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…b36abacked Yes | 5c | 1,289$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.23 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -86%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked Yes | 14c | 1,221$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.7 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 14cpaid | -88.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…af8bbacked No | 80c | 1,065$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.85 | 140 | 75.7%106 W · 34 L | +17.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…3727backed Yes | 26c | 1,058$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…96a7backed Yes | 7c | 1,007$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.14 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc073…ab63backed Yes | 22c | 1,007$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450a…c24fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,001$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…af55backed Yes | 6c | 989$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x773a…9f52backed Yes | 9c | 880.4$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1d…b971backed Yes | 4c | 861.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked No | 77c | 765$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.05 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1517…edb4backed Yes | 8c | 680.15$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdef6…29fdbacked Yes | 29c | 680$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1883…85f3backed No | 80c | 600$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b26…9bc4backed Yes | 10c | 542.1$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.13 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Yes | 19c | 535.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc1…1173backed Yes | 4c | 526.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f71…912dbacked Yes | 7c | 506.54$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.29 | 69 | 5.8%4 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…6c58backed Yes | 11c | 499.47$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.44 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x591f…5610backed Yes | 11c | 478.8$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.26 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf475…ee8cbacked Yes | 9c | 448.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed No | 79c | 429.18$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.84 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x837b…e8bebacked Yes | 9c | 424.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8e6dbacked Yes | 29c | 409.67$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…36bebacked Yes | 24c | 408.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8663…25d5backed Yes | 25c | 399.9$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77eb…9d5cbacked Yes | 13c | 397.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63aa…a9ccbacked No | 76c | 396.28$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.56 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89d2…5579backed Yes | 25c | 395.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2510…60adbacked No | 76c | 394.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.29 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfac9…57d2backed Yes | 8c | 387.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +186.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d0…438dbacked Yes | 6c | 372.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 305 | 31.1%95 W · 210 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd29…102cbacked Yes | 28c | 370$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.84 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Yes | 6c | 341$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1916…b8edbacked Yes | 31c | 325.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fc…df59backed Yes | 7c | 312.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…46d4backed Yes | 7c | 303.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e2…23a8backed Yes | 5c | 298.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d75…bbe7backed Yes | 8c | 297$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacaa…b7f2backed Yes | 6c | 294$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…b534backed No | 79c | 292.95$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.93 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e1…2b6abacked Yes | 5c | 291$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc355…8a90backed Yes | 9c | 275.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39b8…b619backed Yes | 8c | 260.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c66…dc0dbacked No | 78c | 255.01$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.04 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 74cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…9ce8backed Yes | 19c | 216.48$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1b…8d9abacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc149…2c8cbacked Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da7…ca6cbacked Yes | 8c | 195.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e31…0f90backed Yes | 27c | 185.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f4…aea3backed Yes | 9c | 182.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66eb…dc59backed Yes | 14c | 181.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9feb…f73ebacked Yes | 19c | 180$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea4c…241cbacked Yes | 23c | 180$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…bf19backed Yes | 28c | 176.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $250 in August?this page
- Will Solana dip to $100 in August?No won
- Will Solana dip to $130 in August?No won
- Will Solana dip to $140 in August?No won
- Will Solana dip to $145 in August?No won
- Will Solana dip to $150 in August?No won
- Will Solana dip to $155 in August?No won
- Will Solana dip to $160 in August?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $165 in August?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $175 in August?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $180 in August?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $185 in August?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $190 in August?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $195 in August?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $200 in August?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $210 in August?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $220 in August?No won
- Will Solana reach $230 in August?No won
- Will Solana reach $290 in August?No won
- Will Solana reach $340 in August?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.