Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $195 in August?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b7d92d53fedce57d1691775dc470055bdebe408f66d04fb1087ea49b52467e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,531
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,187
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,531 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xca75…657fbacked Yes | 69c | 19,705$13,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,176.06 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…c568backed No | 34c | 14,468$4,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,908.13 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79d4…9dafbacked No | 43c | 6,584$2,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,809.82 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -6.0wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2e…13cbbacked No | 30c | 5,261$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.45 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed No | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…bf0fbacked Yes | 64c | 5,000$3,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7694…2b66backed No | 33c | 4,252$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.96 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed No | 7c | 3,526$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.84 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 60c | 3,023$1,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.2 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes | 48c | 3,016$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.88 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 62c | 2,814$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.27 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 31c | 1,717$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.15 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed No | 9c | 1,423$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.04 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 1,080$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d2…233abacked Yes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…cb3ebacked Yes | 69c | 770.42$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.42 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ea…60c2backed No | 32c | 720$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.6 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1e…a7afbacked No | 32c | 700$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…92e7backed No | 35c | 678.54$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.73 | 325 | 24.3%79 W · 246 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e9…df05backed Yes | 53c | 650$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1834…795abacked Yes | 65c | 648.9$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.49 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…e8d7backed Yes | 68c | 624.59$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.6 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 69cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33b4…84ebbacked No | 6c | 574.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 78c | 514.04$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.04 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e28…4801backed Yes | 60c | 408.92$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 19c | 361.35$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…54efbacked No | 32c | 350$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebf7…da78backed Yes | 75c | 346.3$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.63 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5020…215fbacked Yes | 66c | 304.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.11 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b7…98aebacked Yes | 80c | 291.58$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.32 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fd…bf90backed Yes | 79c | 287.35$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.34 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbe…1c89backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 33c | 243.48$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.27 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32f2…8a1fbacked Yes | 78c | 240$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x693d…fc7cbacked Yes | 53c | 239.62$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.62 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…4abbbacked Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 51c | 196$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.04 | 81 | 16%13 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ca…7ce5backed Yes | 71c | 186.39$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.05 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x536a…7de2backed Yes | 40c | 147.5$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…1ea8backed No | 28c | 146$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8e6dbacked Yes | 67c | 144.64$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.73 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8321…22c9backed No | 67c | 143.27$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc4…3075backed Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8f…0644backed No | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d1…1211backed No | 66c | 95$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b13…8ec2backed Yes | 63c | 90$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…989cbacked No | 38c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…c5f9backed Yes | 62c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9362…0625backed Yes | 63c | 68.96$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da7…ca6cbacked Yes | 63c | 63.88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d0…438dbacked Yes | 43c | 62.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 305 | 31.1%95 W · 210 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41cb…a5dfbacked Yes | 65c | 55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +94%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x648c…3719backed Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…8afdbacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…6f5cbacked No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…3bd0backed Yes | 79c | 33.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06f3…7855backed No | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ff…1c5abacked No | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2067…6affbacked No | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda27…fcb5backed Yes | 71c | 16.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x504b…1ea0backed Yes | 66c | 15.77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $195 in August?this page
- Will Solana dip to $100 in August?No won
- Will Solana dip to $130 in August?No won
- Will Solana dip to $140 in August?No won
- Will Solana dip to $145 in August?No won
- Will Solana dip to $150 in August?No won
- Will Solana dip to $155 in August?No won
- Will Solana dip to $160 in August?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $165 in August?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $175 in August?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $180 in August?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $185 in August?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $190 in August?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $200 in August?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $210 in August?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $220 in August?No won
- Will Solana reach $230 in August?No won
- Will Solana reach $250 in August?No won
- Will Solana reach $290 in August?No won
- Will Solana reach $340 in August?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.