TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Solana reach $200 in August?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$193,217
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$211,891

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,217 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xca75…657fbacked Yes59c16,378$9,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,720.963240.6%13 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-14.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x104a…5b05backed Yes41c14,155$5,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,352.518017.5%14 W · 66 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-42.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb68a…c568backed No46c12,956$5,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,969.9222216.2%36 W · 186 L-14.9wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-65.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb5fc…5ca4backed No7c10,140$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.1325824%62 W · 196 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79d4…9dafbacked No67c7,800$5,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,1962015%3 W · 17 L-6.0wins-0.30per pick45cpaid-74.5%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xcc50…4c82backed No43c7,287$3,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,117.6158126.9%156 W · 425 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-39.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x526e…3bd0backed Yes58c7,251$4,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,051.742832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b12…bf0fbacked Yes54c5,711$3,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,609.876950.7%35 W · 34 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x55be…dca3backed No4c5,453$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.3629126.5%77 W · 214 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6916…2fd4backed No46c5,136$2,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,374.2763835.4%226 W · 412 L+18.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56d8…a862backed Yes53c4,865$2,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,279.9862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No0c4,824$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.771,8444.4%81 W · 1,763 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes48c4,318$2,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,246.0815023.3%35 W · 115 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-41.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b52…4db0backed No37c4,204$1,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,561.976053.3%32 W · 28 L+7.7wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+3.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9e1e…a7afbacked No42c4,006$1,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,693.694143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf68…a25ebacked Yes55c3,018$1,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.611154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+37.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7bd8…4979backed No68c3,000$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,03010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7694…2b66backed No53c2,738$1,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,454.251936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-46.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4d2…233abacked Yes50c2,500$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2401040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3d7…7504backed No55c2,337$1,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,287.019054.4%49 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa366…54efbacked No42c2,031$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.3415754.8%86 W · 71 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4290…e2c0backed Yes66c2,000$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6908428.6%24 W · 60 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-29.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1dc…92e7backed No36c1,875$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.3332524.3%79 W · 246 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-36.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xebf7…da78backed No52c1,730$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.175761.4%35 W · 22 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x801d…d8e0backed No74c1,600$1,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,180.8813863%87 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82ea…60c2backed No36c1,400$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5044153.7%22 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a6e…0cf9backed Yes54c1,393$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd8f…0644backed No38c1,350$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.54050%20 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3283…1da9backed Yes60c1,335$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.771526.7%4 W · 11 L-4.2wins-0.28per pick55cpaid-57.4%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xd86c…98aabacked No77c1,280$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.424667.4%31 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22c6…833fbacked No54c1,100$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.9540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-44.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfeb5…a393backed No40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40016761.7%103 W · 64 L+19.6wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+36.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd6b6…af8bbacked No78c1,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78014075.7%106 W · 34 L+17.6wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+22.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed No50c1,000$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49537745.9%173 W · 204 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14ec…1b38backed Yes64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+29.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9196…c311backed No36c854.91$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.3712736.2%46 W · 81 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick29cpaid-4.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f9b…f652backed No53c754.72$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4008231.7%26 W · 56 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe264…7a75backed Yes35c714.29$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.291625%4 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-46.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1834…795abacked Yes64c645.44$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2334332.6%14 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-43.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x93d7…7423backed Yes69c576.08$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.0734848.6%169 W · 179 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b0c…935dbacked Yes31c570.97$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.97944.4%4 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick22cpaid+86.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x76bc…205bbacked No41c568.2$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.133351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x497b…aba5backed No13c548.33$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695971.2%42 W · 17 L+11.1wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+28.6%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked No20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009824.5%24 W · 74 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-23.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22af…399abacked Yes40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3002317.4%4 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-30.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66eb…dc59backed Yes62c483.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.17650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2510…60adbacked No70c413.19$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.336564.6%42 W · 23 L+6.9wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+15.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd81e…bc52backed Yes59c374.02$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.02450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5870…5a0ebacked Yes27c374$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.02333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd14c…17bebacked Yes35c360$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2343246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No25c359.37$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7864812%78 W · 570 L-61.6wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-53.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2b24…2440backed Yes28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.141931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x205c…f554backed No57c352.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick61cpaid+35.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x33b4…84ebbacked No16c293.18$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4830%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b6f…340bbacked No38c280.31$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.717540%30 W · 45 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x693d…fc7cbacked Yes42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.13336.4%12 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-21%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf750…4abbbacked Yes43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11411442.1%48 W · 66 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dda…8e6dbacked Yes41c195.12$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.121643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b1f…a73fbacked No43c187.67$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-33.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d3e…eec6backed Yes52c166.71$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.232536%9 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fbe…1c89backed Yes36c166.67$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.671931.6%6 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-30.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe661…3cffbacked Yes67c165.15$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.15250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x591f…5610backed No69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd310…be53backed Yes54c139.33$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.146777.6%52 W · 15 L+12.1wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+22%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xa3b4…2a97backed No65c130$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.51030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-51.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1916…b8edbacked Yes80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e28…4801backed Yes48c124.6$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.792100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+87.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0258…13bfbacked No50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018162.4%113 W · 68 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df0…2bfcbacked No31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313756.8%21 W · 16 L+5.3wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+33.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked No36c99.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.798239%32 W · 50 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa987…8059backed Yes61c98.65$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.072020%4 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-54%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed No55c96.31$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.978116%13 W · 68 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x864b…af59backed Yes28c89.29$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.29560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+31.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1835…f45dbacked No68c73$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501060%6 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1d0…438dbacked Yes36c71.02$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.4530531.1%95 W · 210 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b13…8ec2backed Yes55c70$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.81850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c29…06cbbacked Yes60c66.75$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.75250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5d…7af4backed No40c57.11$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234369.8%30 W · 13 L+5.1wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+14.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xcb3e…b094backed Yes43c52.9$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.92245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7676…f694backed Yes29c52.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.311346.2%6 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick23cpaid+68.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1299…f8d4backed Yes28c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbabd…3335backed No23c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.521236.8%78 W · 134 L+17.5wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6cb9…44f5backed Yes31c48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.197121.1%15 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-42.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26db…39a7backed Yes33c45.45$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.45944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x463d…85c5backed Yes34c44.69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.69450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf49d…cfefbacked Yes50c32.22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.02250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9de…1815backed No76c30$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.81361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x009b…88fabacked No39c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1072…b9f9backed No68c29.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick70cpaid-48.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd038…ff97backed No68c29.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x183f…1ea8backed Yes62c27$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.162437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf211…649abacked No42c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc077…3297backed Yes47c23.79$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe253…2f8fbacked No68c21.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick71cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc07…7641backed No68c20.17$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.79366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec0e…1e4ebacked No75c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+29.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7bd2…b69abacked Yes63c19.61$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.16650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe5…bf98backed No68c16.43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick69cpaid-48.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0dd2…3630backed Yes64c15.7$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.