TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Solana reach $210 in August?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$830,083
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$832,763

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $830,083 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x104a…5b05backed Yes33c93,107$30,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62,606.638017.5%14 W · 66 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-42.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb68a…c568backed No44c56,251$24,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,623.8122216.2%36 W · 186 L-14.9wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-65.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0da…a7babacked No42c45,545$18,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,999.47977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67f9…d241backed No2c39,881$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.3230%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed No47c35,275$16,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,602.2437745.9%173 W · 204 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x880a…308ebacked No1c30,727$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.253650%18 W · 18 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+3.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb2e…13cbbacked No17c20,075$3,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,442.591233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-36.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79d4…9dafbacked No39c18,361$7,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,094.492015%3 W · 17 L-6.0wins-0.30per pick45cpaid-74.5%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x2b12…bf0fbacked Yes72c16,500$11,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,587.856950.7%35 W · 34 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb0a5…2ef6backed Yes54c15,870$8,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,318.017949.4%39 W · 40 L+10.2wins+0.13per pick36cpaid+35.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No66c14,471$9,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,619.17163.4%45 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes54c14,154$7,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,540.2755032.5%179 W · 371 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6916…2fd4backed No45c13,621$6,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,166.0863835.4%226 W · 412 L+18.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes75c12,367$9,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,084.0318425%46 W · 138 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x526e…3bd0backed Yes65c10,318$6,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,583.982832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5cd5…ac33backed No74c10,029$7,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,467.373253.1%17 W · 15 L-4.6wins-0.14per pick67cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcc50…4c82backed No64c9,078$5,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,817.8658126.9%156 W · 425 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-39.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5fc…5ca4backed No22c8,017$1,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,793.1125824%62 W · 196 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x277f…ed32backed Yes74c6,863$5,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,761.641553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebf7…da78backed No56c6,087$3,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,406.495761.4%35 W · 22 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x05bf…1ab0backed Yes38c6,043$2,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,718.28560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+23.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ea4…4bf3backed Yes51c5,972$3,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,951.152821.4%6 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x55be…dca3backed Yes61c5,654$3,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,201.5329126.5%77 W · 214 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e1e…a7afbacked No66c5,387$3,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,537.214143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9196…c311backed No7c5,353$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.6712736.2%46 W · 81 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick29cpaid-4.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x497b…aba5backed No9c4,186$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.15971.2%42 W · 17 L+11.1wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+28.6%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x7bb4…acb6backed No51c3,934$1,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,989.51425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-57.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8666…d7c7backed Yes73c3,776$2,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.085933.9%20 W · 39 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1dc…92e7backed No39c3,722$1,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,468.7932524.3%79 W · 246 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-36.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fe2…87c5backed No67c3,432$2,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,286.64759.6%28 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa366…54efbacked No60c3,165$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,900.4815754.8%86 W · 71 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x147a…cc62backed No46c3,110$1,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,431.89475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff3d…3fddbacked No43c3,046$1,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.11573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+32.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x82ea…60c2backed No53c2,847$1,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,507.254153.7%22 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdd0…64e9backed Yes26c2,643$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,943.261533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+35.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7694…2b66backed No53c2,254$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.881936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-46.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf68…a25ebacked Yes35c2,187$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,415.151154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+37.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe9a8…c987backed Yes32c2,185$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,489.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick34cpaid+61.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0385…8b6fbacked Yes71c2,019$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.9633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-48.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce8f…4400backed No63c2,000$1,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2644839.6%19 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes36c2,000$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.6715023.3%35 W · 115 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-41.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc30…096abacked No50c1,984$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.79837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-41.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd8f…0644backed No58c1,753$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.634050%20 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No26c1,513$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.8764812%78 W · 570 L-61.6wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-53.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x14ec…1b38backed Yes73c1,400$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+29.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No9c1,295$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.991,8444.4%81 W · 1,763 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2510…60adbacked No74c1,164$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.996564.6%42 W · 23 L+6.9wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+15.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x31ff…0d37backed Yes70c1,147$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.141163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b0c…935dbacked Yes21c1,076$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.19944.4%4 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick22cpaid+86.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-63.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6b6…af8bbacked No77c1,000$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77014075.7%106 W · 34 L+17.6wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+22.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x22c6…833fbacked No30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.95540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-44.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00b7…ab78backed Yes38c1,000$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick27cpaid-70.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6815…a799backed Yes38c1,000$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6201315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-61.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64de…25a1backed No20c974.03$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-44.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x153b…654cbacked No19c961.33$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801650%8 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+55.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf327…0b68backed Yes72c957$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.552759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x08d7…0eecbacked No53c948.4$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.61346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfbb…dc2bbacked No14c938.91$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1332020%4 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-50.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd14c…17bebacked Yes50c920.44$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.613246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x25b8…87fbbacked Yes76c882.51$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.34560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87e6…882ebacked Yes48c864.23$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed No34c823.14$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.458116%13 W · 68 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed No66c821.02$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.611553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93d7…7423backed Yes50c798$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39934848.6%169 W · 179 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d40…28e9backed No62c769.8$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.695058%29 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Yes27c738.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.58714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-47.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33b4…84ebbacked No38c710.01$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26930%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0d6…d491backed No28c707.6$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-62.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked No8c700$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.59824.5%24 W · 74 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-23.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc53c…0eb4backed No18c700$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1267652.6%40 W · 36 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+20.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1883…85f3backed No68c700$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.3580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Yes77c676.94$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.44136.6%15 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-29.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7614…ac0abacked Yes76c660.68$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.682850%14 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed Yes65c630$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.449041.1%37 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8485…c13ebacked No36c600$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2165545.5%25 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x37ef…a37abacked No66c600$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3d7…7504backed No37c556.88$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.129054.4%49 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2763…7776backed No36c542$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.383633.3%12 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+20.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe52e…8ca1backed Yes71c540.12$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.351656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf750…4abbbacked Yes30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35011442.1%48 W · 66 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb74b…f6b7backed Yes71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-27.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x57e9…df05backed Yes54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0258…13bfbacked No70c500$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.7518162.4%113 W · 68 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1834…795abacked Yes45c479.91$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.14332.6%14 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-43.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x183f…1ea8backed Yes51c475.08$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.122437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x33c0…b5acbacked No66c454.23$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.88560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed No76c440$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.411658.6%68 W · 48 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf0d…c7bebacked Yes71c420.17$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.171560%9 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94fc…ac00backed Yes62c419.99$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.6771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1d0…438dbacked No32c405.83$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.2930531.1%95 W · 210 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b54…d034backed No69c400$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2761457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick71cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0556…b36abacked Yes20c370.99$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.34362.8%1 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-86%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x201c…c302backed Yes21c355$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2821442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+31.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x615e…5295backed Yes19c342.86$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.182270.9%2 W · 225 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd031…b594backed No62c324.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003941%16 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa0b…8eb3backed No64c315$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ac4…c8ccbacked No33c302.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb468…a91fbacked Yes61c302.39$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.65850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a2e…a373backed No37c299.99$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.5933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+44.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.