Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $180 in August?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff6d2adf16292ce9b39793e8655ce7a318e6d5e49ce6385727e7f7f0807018e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $253,884
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $236,145
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $253,884 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb68a…c568backed No | 8c | 90,571$7,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,385.28 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 15c | 24,212$3,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,536.45 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 3c | 13,100$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.3 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed No | 10c | 7,942$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.69 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf7…da78backed No | 12c | 7,048$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.78 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked No | 7c | 4,188$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.56 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 3,621$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.54 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed No | 5c | 3,500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…4db0backed No | 9c | 3,464$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.17 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7694…2b66backed No | 17c | 3,137$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.98 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…bf0fbacked Yes | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked No | 29c | 1,314$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.49 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…92e7backed No | 15c | 1,046$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.58 | 325 | 24.3%79 W · 246 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed No | 15c | 848.8$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.5 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79d4…9dafbacked No | 36c | 717.62$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.86 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -6.0wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x57e9…df05backed Yes | 64c | 709$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 10c | 655.44$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.74 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1e…a7afbacked No | 16c | 597.26$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.56 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 62c | 482.26$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.26 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…3335backed No | 11c | 465.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d0…438dbacked No | 6c | 444.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 305 | 31.1%95 W · 210 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 8c | 312.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 43c | 300$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.83 | 81 | 16%13 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…51d4backed No | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe662…c372backed Yes | 57c | 253.91$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391e…d930backed No | 51c | 174.25$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.87 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbe…1c89backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Yes | 57c | 168$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.24 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe264…7a75backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x114a…8aa2backed Yes | 63c | 160$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…1d80backed No | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb1…fb84backed No | 45c | 94.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.62 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd310…be53backed Yes | 77c | 74$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 67 | 77.6%52 W · 15 L | +12.1wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +22%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8b…1ea1backed Yes | 57c | 65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f00…56a7backed Yes | 53c | 25.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9460…7b3cbacked Yes | 61c | 18.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b1…7105backed Yes | 80c | 13.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $180 in August?this page
- Will Solana dip to $100 in August?No won
- Will Solana dip to $130 in August?No won
- Will Solana dip to $140 in August?No won
- Will Solana dip to $145 in August?No won
- Will Solana dip to $150 in August?No won
- Will Solana dip to $155 in August?No won
- Will Solana dip to $160 in August?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $165 in August?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $175 in August?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $185 in August?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $190 in August?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $195 in August?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $200 in August?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $210 in August?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $220 in August?No won
- Will Solana reach $230 in August?No won
- Will Solana reach $250 in August?No won
- Will Solana reach $290 in August?No won
- Will Solana reach $340 in August?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.