Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana dip to $155 in August?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec06a48ccce377c2dba3e85c7040005e6f5d9bb1e86e5e60f3587214210c56c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $388,197
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $416,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $388,197 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x290e…f979backed No | 39c | 26,997$10,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,551.87 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…c568backed Yes | 13c | 19,873$2,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,608.4 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 6c | 17,938$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.99 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes | 25c | 17,877$4,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,514.38 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 23c | 11,860$2,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,743.36 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d7…3d6bbacked No | 79c | 11,474$9,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,438.05 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…a0f9backed Yes | 26c | 9,188$2,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,381.39 | 128 | 24.2%31 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…bf0fbacked Yes | 21c | 9,000$1,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,885.44 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 6,401$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf7…da78backed Yes | 55c | 5,282$2,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,885.11 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc037…7240backed No | 74c | 4,013$2,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.22 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 4,001$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.36 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed No | 78c | 3,212$2,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.59 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ea…60c2backed Yes | 74c | 2,700$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed No | 17c | 2,632$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,185.95 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1e…a7afbacked Yes | 74c | 2,400$1,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 42c | 2,276$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.46 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…eb5fbacked Yes | 18c | 2,126$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.81 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4290…e2c0backed Yes | 68c | 2,000$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.62 | 84 | 28.6%24 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaefe…d7d4backed Yes | 74c | 1,984$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.32 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Yes | 31c | 1,800$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45ef…d3f6backed No | 59c | 1,678$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.68 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…b36abacked Yes | 2c | 1,439$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -86%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…205bbacked Yes | 19c | 1,433$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.63 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…51d4backed No | 64c | 1,411$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.77 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 9c | 1,354$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.93 | 81 | 16%13 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…13bfbacked Yes | 79c | 1,135$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.38 | 181 | 62.4%113 W · 68 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed No | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f9…55f0backed Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ead…ba24backed No | 74c | 996.7$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…54efbacked Yes | 74c | 843.4$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.12 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1834…795abacked Yes | 36c | 779.14$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.95 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 78c | 702.49$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.86 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…aba5backed Yes | 15c | 568.68$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.31 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +11.1wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6395…6735backed No | 80c | 500$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes | 35c | 477.81$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.68 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7694…2b66backed Yes | 52c | 468.42$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.9 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed No | 59c | 460.63$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.68 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aef…9efebacked No | 77c | 419.88$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72cd…021fbacked Yes | 5c | 368.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482f…02cabacked Yes | 29c | 340.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6f…340bbacked No | 74c | 316.37$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.61 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x153b…654cbacked Yes | 11c | 271.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a75…db04backed Yes | 8c | 262$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce74…5a28backed No | 18c | 237.84$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.84 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +236.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…1ea8backed No | 77c | 209$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.84 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…c668backed No | 75c | 200.42$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8f…0644backed Yes | 75c | 200$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4275…f5febacked Yes | 16c | 189.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…92e7backed Yes | 25c | 167.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 325 | 24.3%79 W · 246 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…fbecbacked No | 19c | 140$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.2 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…c11dbacked No | 36c | 138.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.85 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96da…68b6backed No | 8c | 130$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…828abacked Yes | 13c | 115$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a42…246bbacked Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd124…8528backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…57febacked No | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +13.6wins | +0.32per pick | 41cpaid | +109.3%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…1d80backed No | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa98f…6a3fbacked No | 58c | 82.35$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9362…0625backed Yes | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c8…4a62backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.21per pick | 30cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked Yes | 34c | 74.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8eafbacked No | 27c | 73.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.53 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35e…050dbacked Yes | 45c | 67.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…0358backed Yes | 43c | 61.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 61 | 88.5%54 W · 7 L | +16.9wins | +0.28per pick | 61cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d8…ff32backed Yes | 74c | 59.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.39 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd078…1614backed Yes | 66c | 57.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.24 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b13…8ec2backed No | 65c | 55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…b094backed No | 27c | 51.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.11 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…a66cbacked No | 26c | 47.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab59…ea9abacked Yes | 36c | 33.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb9…44f5backed Yes | 41c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 69c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d0…438dbacked Yes | 77c | 31.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 305 | 31.1%95 W · 210 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2f…ae16backed No | 68c | 27.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf30…f368backed No | 60c | 23.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad8…4cddbacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf211…649abacked No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53da…3b44backed No | 68c | 17.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana dip to $155 in August?this page
- Will Solana dip to $100 in August?No won
- Will Solana dip to $130 in August?No won
- Will Solana dip to $140 in August?No won
- Will Solana dip to $145 in August?No won
- Will Solana dip to $150 in August?No won
- Will Solana dip to $160 in August?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $165 in August?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $175 in August?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $180 in August?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $185 in August?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $190 in August?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $195 in August?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $200 in August?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $210 in August?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $220 in August?No won
- Will Solana reach $230 in August?No won
- Will Solana reach $250 in August?No won
- Will Solana reach $290 in August?No won
- Will Solana reach $340 in August?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.