Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $190 in August?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdab4d71e1a3fa45b45681de85ee065260a5602b0504e8f5c3ca3beab6f9d4743
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $148,121
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $138,650
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,121 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xca75…657fbacked Yes | 77c | 36,358$27,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,492.93 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…c568backed No | 28c | 13,719$3,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,849.02 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb74b…f6b7backed No | 17c | 10,293$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…bf0fbacked Yes | 70c | 10,000$6,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,014.34 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bb…a429backed No | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa92c…b4d6backed No | 13c | 8,291$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed No | 26c | 8,064$2,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,071.35 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7694…2b66backed No | 28c | 4,406$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.17 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 64c | 3,769$2,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.19 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf7…da78backed No | 34c | 3,442$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.92 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 24c | 3,326$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.68 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked No | 20c | 3,079$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.28 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed No | 54c | 2,736$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.45 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed No | 17c | 2,511$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.68 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked No | 23c | 2,390$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.18 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x104a…5b05backed Yes | 42c | 2,144$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.4 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79d4…9dafbacked No | 60c | 1,522$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.73 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -6.0wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed No | 6c | 1,291$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.43 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1e…a7afbacked No | 19c | 1,095$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.28 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 24c | 1,060$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.87 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…4abbbacked Yes | 60c | 1,000$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…54efbacked No | 19c | 700$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82ea…60c2backed No | 22c | 700$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…51d4backed No | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57e9…df05backed Yes | 64c | 559.45$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…92e7backed No | 24c | 551.41$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.38 | 325 | 24.3%79 W · 246 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8e6dbacked Yes | 67c | 522.39$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.39 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1834…795abacked Yes | 78c | 471.79$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.91 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1f…a73fbacked No | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…57febacked Yes | 42c | 270$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.7 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +13.6wins | +0.32per pick | 41cpaid | +109.3%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbe…1c89backed Yes | 42c | 239.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.64 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdc…ae37backed No | 9c | 234.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…0b68backed Yes | 78c | 199.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ad…dca6backed Yes | 66c | 150.98$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc4…3075backed Yes | 77c | 150$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…1ea8backed No | 16c | 136$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec0…40dabacked No | 60c | 125$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x513f…1492backed No | 26c | 120$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 23c | 109$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x391e…d930backed No | 67c | 104.48$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d0…438dbacked Yes | 59c | 102.48$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.56 | 305 | 31.1%95 W · 210 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8f…0644backed No | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b13…8ec2backed Yes | 68c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2063…1eedbacked Yes | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd310…be53backed Yes | 74c | 71.55$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 67 | 77.6%52 W · 15 L | +12.1wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +22%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2e…1d9bbacked Yes | 62c | 66.13$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9362…0625backed Yes | 72c | 65.55$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6231…ee7cbacked Yes | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 20c | 62.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d4…9cfcbacked Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 80cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41cb…a5dfbacked Yes | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +94%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc22…ee03backed Yes | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d9…78c3backed Yes | 78c | 48.72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x112e…0aafbacked Yes | 47c | 45.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe17…b4bdbacked Yes | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…d798backed No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…2464backed Yes | 78c | 35.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd2…b69abacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb610…99a1backed Yes | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71ba…596cbacked No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a3…c6e8backed Yes | 78c | 29.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…b527backed Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…d7a6backed Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32f…5866backed Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…afcbbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde3…719abacked Yes | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $190 in August?this page
- Will Solana dip to $100 in August?No won
- Will Solana dip to $130 in August?No won
- Will Solana dip to $140 in August?No won
- Will Solana dip to $145 in August?No won
- Will Solana dip to $150 in August?No won
- Will Solana dip to $155 in August?No won
- Will Solana dip to $160 in August?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $165 in August?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $175 in August?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $180 in August?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $185 in August?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $195 in August?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $200 in August?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $210 in August?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $220 in August?No won
- Will Solana reach $230 in August?No won
- Will Solana reach $250 in August?No won
- Will Solana reach $290 in August?No won
- Will Solana reach $340 in August?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.