TailMyPicks
Market

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Solana reach $220 in August?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$550,938
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$571,239

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $550,938 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb68a…c568backed Yes40c36,380$14,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,504.9122216.2%36 W · 186 L-14.9wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-65.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2678…c52fbacked No32c17,642$5,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,970.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+211.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes35c16,758$5,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,805.8555032.5%179 W · 371 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28ae…15e0backed Yes30c12,537$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7001822.2%4 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebf7…da78backed No62c11,665$7,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,443.485761.4%35 W · 22 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x104a…5b05backed Yes27c11,051$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0008017.5%14 W · 66 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-42.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0da…a7babacked No50c9,916$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,915.9977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1dc…92e7backed Yes31c8,654$2,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,689.3632524.3%79 W · 246 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-36.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd1…2365backed No51c7,891$3,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,904.421060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0a5…2ef6backed Yes37c7,753$2,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,849.487949.4%39 W · 40 L+10.2wins+0.13per pick36cpaid+35.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes35c7,317$2,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,569.0625824%62 W · 196 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f7a…7ec7backed No46c6,560$2,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,560.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd38a…ffb5backed No20c5,495$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,418.27250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick12cpaid+155.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce8f…4400backed No35c5,000$1,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2704839.6%19 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bdb…14d8backed No78c5,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-67.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3da…a0f9backed No61c5,000$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,95012824.2%31 W · 97 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6916…2fd4backed No74c4,376$3,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.5463835.4%226 W · 412 L+18.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfeb5…a393backed No17c4,045$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,345.2916761.7%103 W · 64 L+19.6wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+36.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No23c4,000$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,075.712025%30 W · 90 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x801d…d8e0backed No78c4,000$3,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89013863%87 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce69…3e08backed No58c4,000$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6801050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-18.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c3,761$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.491,8444.4%81 W · 1,763 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6793…f557backed Yes45c3,420$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,539.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5d2…90abbacked No63c3,420$2,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,268.851080%8 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b12…bf0fbacked No40c3,300$1,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,983.186950.7%35 W · 34 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1f50…b9c8backed Yes59c3,000$1,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,782450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc53c…0eb4backed Yes36c2,873$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.527652.6%40 W · 36 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+20.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5ca9…ad82backed Yes19c2,737$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.48130%0 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9196…c311backed No34c2,637$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,753.4412736.2%46 W · 81 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick29cpaid-4.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x61d0…1d86backed No30c2,526$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,758.6219439.2%76 W · 118 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x277f…ed32backed Yes24c2,498$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55be…dca3backed No64c2,417$1,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.9329126.5%77 W · 214 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ea4…4bf3backed Yes55c2,312$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,271.552821.4%6 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf750…4abbbacked No47c2,150$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134.111442.1%48 W · 66 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d40…28e9backed No61c2,142$1,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.945058%29 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed No31c2,012$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.749041.1%37 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1d5…72ffbacked Yes20c1,884$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.351618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-62.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd8f…0644backed Yes36c1,802$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.884050%20 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50f7…7272backed No60c1,659$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.6966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0385…8b6fbacked Yes49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-48.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c12…93a7backed No54c1,448$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.612231.8%7 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick22cpaid+23.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e45…3662backed No62c1,303$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.693284.4%27 W · 5 L+7.9wins+0.25per pick60cpaid+59.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xa366…54efbacked Yes37c1,270$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.5315754.8%86 W · 71 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67b8…2449backed No80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2502850%14 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93d7…7423backed No45c1,225$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.9334848.6%169 W · 179 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a25…d373backed No69c1,200$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9e0…5d24backed Yes2c1,176$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8666…d7c7backed Yes35c1,062$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.375933.9%20 W · 39 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x82ea…60c2backed Yes35c1,037$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.74153.7%22 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x57e9…df05backed Yes37c1,028$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff3d…3fddbacked No39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6101573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+32.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5cd5…ac33backed No54c999$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.953253.1%17 W · 15 L-4.6wins-0.14per pick67cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf98b…bfc5backed No55c989.15$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.1324654.9%135 W · 111 L+16.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd14c…17bebacked Yes47c984.99$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.253246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb32b…0ea7backed Yes22c908.3$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20090%0 W · 9 L-3.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes59c900$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.812326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a38…360bbacked Yes26c899.07$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.071165.2%6 W · 110 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick11cpaid-77.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf8ca…0138backed Yes49c892.26$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.232060%12 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+34.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8cd0…62dfbacked No58c868$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x108d…508abacked Yes37c815.97$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302234.3%1 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick14cpaid-88.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed No53c809.99$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.911658.6%68 W · 48 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa941…ec2ebacked No46c800$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6df0…2bfcbacked Yes33c800$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2643756.8%21 W · 16 L+5.3wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+33.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xf17a…8abebacked No78c795.32$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.973100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bb1…3e03backed No27c784.02$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+221%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1883…85f3backed No66c760$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.9580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88a4…510cbacked No27c750$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+94.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb468…a91fbacked No54c744.22$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.82850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e85…8030backed No71c700$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ae…f72fbacked No37c651.63$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.29250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+34.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a0…4469backed No54c628.3$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.57250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb17…5d7bbacked No66c562.63$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.182441.7%10 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e8b…e99fbacked No27c548.4$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.17642.1%32 W · 44 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick36cpaid-7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x39a4…1ba5backed No38c533.04$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…c11dbacked No48c500$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2622450%12 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f9b…f652backed No28c500$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3608231.7%26 W · 56 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54f0…0234backed No45c470.42$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.42250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaf6…722ebacked No80c465.24$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.55250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b74…e8d7backed Yes65c449.99$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.351546.7%7 W · 8 L-3.4wins-0.23per pick69cpaid-34.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5bad…cc4cbacked Yes48c418.02$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b26…9bc4backed Yes19c416.51$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.441414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-52.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ffb…3c0ebacked No70c398.22$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.22757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fe2…87c5backed No63c386$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.824759.6%28 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No70c384.79$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.447163.4%45 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8aef…9efebacked No63c362.92$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.873100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5020…215fbacked Yes42c361.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes28c341.43$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.358116%13 W · 68 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8015…69e3backed No59c339.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cdc…ae37backed No46c336.84$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.795822.4%13 W · 45 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-44.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33c0…b5acbacked No60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.33560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21b2…b602backed No79c330$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6995…99f9backed No71c329.75$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.633281.3%26 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick71cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x36ed…f21abacked No77c324.68$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.68580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3d7…7504backed No56c320.71$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.719054.4%49 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcbc0…c9e8backed No78c320.51$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x967c…5d9fbacked Yes66c303.1$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001010%1 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.34per pick44cpaid-68.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5d5d…6be6backed No66c300$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1032483.3%20 W · 4 L+6.4wins+0.27per pick57cpaid+58%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xc0ee…fe51backed No80c287.94$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.594100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1275…203cbacked Yes80c250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001040%4 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-41.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3b6f…340bbacked Yes44c243.26$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.957540%30 W · 45 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.