Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $290 in August?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4e9248fab0162bb00bbc58e4bac9826490cb4f767fd6d40ec91992009b1e12a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $408,520
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $445,182
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $408,520 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb68a…c568backed Yes | 2c | 45,562$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.7 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13cb…a48abacked Yes | 1c | 36,987$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.03 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 2c | 25,845$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.4 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a4…eff2backed Yes | 10c | 16,864$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.6 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 15,066$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.59 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…a0f9backed Yes | 3c | 14,125$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.61 | 128 | 24.2%31 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x104a…5b05backed Yes | 12c | 12,053$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d7…3d6bbacked Yes | 3c | 9,812$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.37 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed Yes | 4c | 9,666$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.32 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…5295backed Yes | 3c | 7,221$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.46 | 227 | 0.9%2 W · 225 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca9…ad82backed Yes | 3c | 5,880$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.23 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb07a…98f7backed Yes | 6c | 5,764$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.9 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a85…fe9dbacked Yes | 4c | 5,300$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.36 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes | 3c | 4,389$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.49 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x658d…b95dbacked Yes | 4c | 2,892$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.11 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d5…72ffbacked Yes | 2c | 2,873$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.15 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…da7ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,779$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.18 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -33%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,705$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.19 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x627f…9556backed Yes | 1c | 1,629$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2030…6bb0backed Yes | 4c | 1,625$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.48 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…b36abacked Yes | 5c | 1,559$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.42 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -86%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1916…b8edbacked Yes | 7c | 1,506$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa429…a96cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,500$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5c…7d29backed Yes | 4c | 1,120$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.29 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a38…360bbacked Yes | 12c | 1,103$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 116 | 5.2%6 W · 110 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f71…912dbacked Yes | 5c | 971.12$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 69 | 5.8%4 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 3c | 705.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 81 | 16%13 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d78…ffa6backed Yes | 4c | 564.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 33cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd29…102cbacked Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…46d4backed Yes | 4c | 488.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x837b…e8bebacked Yes | 4c | 450.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb08a…0cf0backed Yes | 4c | 444.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbe…1c89backed Yes | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3a…48f8backed Yes | 10c | 307.42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b8…b619backed Yes | 8c | 257.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x153b…654cbacked Yes | 13c | 238.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8e6dbacked Yes | 10c | 201.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e31…0f90backed Yes | 10c | 195.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $290 in August?this page
- Will Solana dip to $100 in August?No won
- Will Solana dip to $130 in August?No won
- Will Solana dip to $140 in August?No won
- Will Solana dip to $145 in August?No won
- Will Solana dip to $150 in August?No won
- Will Solana dip to $155 in August?No won
- Will Solana dip to $160 in August?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $165 in August?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $175 in August?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $180 in August?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $185 in August?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $190 in August?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $195 in August?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $200 in August?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $210 in August?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $220 in August?No won
- Will Solana reach $230 in August?No won
- Will Solana reach $250 in August?No won
- Will Solana reach $340 in August?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.