TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Spread: Manchester United (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
West Hamof Manchester United, West Ham
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$92,321
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$115,723

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,321 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x07c8…2696backed West Ham56c14,360$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,360.482450%12 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Manchester United44c5,173$2,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,270.914,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Manchester United36c4,871$1,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,732.256,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked West Ham55c3,640$2,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,638.182846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3aff…c55ebacked Manchester United46c3,107$1,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,428.14540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae1d…45ccbacked West Ham56c2,160$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2518…45f4backed West Ham75c2,086$1,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.43850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd71a…9498backed Manchester United44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8802552%13 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Manchester United36c1,447$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.492,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac71…d8cabacked Manchester United45c1,298$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.841637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed West Ham65c1,151$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.755448.1%26 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked West Ham67c1,119$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.278257.3%47 W · 35 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6b4…1014backed Manchester United46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9925…e33ebacked Manchester United47c1,063$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.54825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-53.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Manchester United45c1,014$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.521040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked West Ham55c1,000$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.1534628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked Manchester United46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46010148.5%49 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed West Ham56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44017544%77 W · 98 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked West Ham55c987.6$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.982,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc363…9fd8backed Manchester United40c887.98$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.191947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+56.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed West Ham56c823.55$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.554146.3%19 W · 22 L-6.0wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-25.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa573…f034backed Manchester United45c822.22$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3701338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick27cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Manchester United35c820.03$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.8311727.4%32 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Manchester United46c700$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3225560%33 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Manchester United45c624.05$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.822250%11 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Manchester United44c612.48$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.41,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2b6…032cbacked Manchester United46c543.48$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502040%8 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed West Ham59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.4753134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Manchester United23c500.2$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.6551542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Manchester United45c499.99$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2256838.2%26 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad1e…3f64backed West Ham55c490.71$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.82475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+67.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Manchester United35c425.63$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.4823435.9%84 W · 150 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8bd…ec2dbacked West Ham56c383$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.355100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+60.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa198…9601backed Manchester United44c353.47$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1563253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc6…bfb4backed Manchester United43c315.42$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.63728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-41.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Manchester United45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1355352.8%28 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Manchester United43c294$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.451,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Manchester United46c289.15$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1331136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed West Ham56c284$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.9629259.2%173 W · 119 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ed…617ebacked West Ham54c276.77$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.772552%13 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed Manchester United46c262.32$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.6713249.2%65 W · 67 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Manchester United45c250$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.518646.8%87 W · 99 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ae8…5794backed West Ham56c228.57$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.572445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd7c…6d35backed Manchester United45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bf9…e3e8backed Manchester United46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+22.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb966…cac6backed Manchester United46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005832.8%19 W · 39 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdddc…9eb0backed West Ham55c210.2$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.591758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef44…86a5backed West Ham60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed West Ham56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8837342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed West Ham55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9017337.6%65 W · 108 L-0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e7f…bce6backed Manchester United33c199.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675545.5%25 W · 30 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+75.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Manchester United42c167.65$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.2637036.2%134 W · 236 L-18.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9804…d512backed West Ham59c160$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.63161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x19bc…7d78backed West Ham65c155.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8712646.8%59 W · 67 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Manchester United40c149.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6059958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a09…cdffbacked West Ham68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.061136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-43.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x680b…276abacked Manchester United46c143.73$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.124250%21 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Manchester United45c136.04$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.61,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2e7d…eedcbacked Manchester United45c110.6$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.778242.7%35 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Manchester United46c110$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.69938.4%38 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed West Ham65c109.04$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6757744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4862…1a17backed Manchester United45c108.89$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Manchester United47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509436.2%34 W · 60 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd619…fcf3backed Manchester United46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick46cpaid-75.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x09e3…cf81backed Manchester United46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Manchester United47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477447.3%35 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ba…f30dbacked Manchester United45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4515245.4%69 W · 83 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebb1…e7afbacked Manchester United46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461546.7%7 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dbe…b1b1backed West Ham54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4612250%61 W · 61 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Manchester United40c94$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.61,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51f6…368cbacked West Ham55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.912142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x455f…bd63backed West Ham56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.291643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Manchester United46c87.87$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016236.4%59 W · 103 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7795…1db8backed Manchester United46c86.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406955.1%38 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6fe…c8c2backed Manchester United45c71.11$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326149.2%30 W · 31 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd612…0bc1backed West Ham55c71$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9517254.1%93 W · 79 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Manchester United45c71$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.955034%17 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6d7…b646backed Manchester United45c55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.751625%4 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0127…3ef6backed West Ham58c54.93$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.241861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe09e…9f48backed Manchester United46c52.43$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.12650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1a0…9b88backed Manchester United47c51.06$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed West Ham56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2242048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Manchester United44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2038040.5%154 W · 226 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed Manchester United45c44.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.93333.3%11 W · 22 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Manchester United46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2028950.9%147 W · 142 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc394…315dbacked Manchester United46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202343.5%10 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick29cpaid+33.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x71c6…38a9backed Manchester United47c42.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Manchester United33c41$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3420239.6%80 W · 122 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f7…e0a3backed West Ham54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.04540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85a4…7412backed West Ham55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.365954.2%32 W · 27 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcde2…67afbacked West Ham55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.361747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe05e…7aa6backed West Ham55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb745…981bbacked West Ham56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.712352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e7e…425ebacked Manchester United43c35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155145.1%23 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc65…49d8backed West Ham57c32.76$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.24847.9%23 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb089…a271backed Manchester United46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155440.7%22 W · 32 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e3e…7fccbacked Manchester United46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156045%27 W · 33 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fd2…8759backed West Ham76c31.92$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.661471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x19f5…0fcdbacked West Ham56c30.36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Manchester United46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.815949.7%79 W · 80 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.